Saturday, January 10, 2015

NBA Rankings - 10 Jan

Two weeks ago, the Golden State Warriors had lost 2 straight games and were dropped from the #1 spot in the rankings of most experts, but I kept them at #1 even with the losses, and they have proven me right since then, winning 6 straight games by double digits, beating Toronto and Oklahoma City in the process. Of their 3 matchups this week, only one looks frightening at all, a trip to OKC on Friday. Here are this week's full rankings:





Rec
Proj

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
PO Seed
1
1
Golden State
-10.7178
29
5
68
14
W1
2
4
LA Clippers
-6.72104
24
12
56
26
W3
3
3
Dallas
-5.76087
26
11
55
27
W4
4
2
Portland
-5.75245
28
8
58
24
W2
5
7
Atlanta
-4.83588
28
8
60
22
E1
6
13
Houston
-3.82577
25
11
52
30
W5
7
5
Toronto
-3.64607
24
11
55
27
E2
8
10
San Antonio
-2.97674
22
15
48
34
W7
9
11
Phoenix
-2.91879
22
17
46
36
W8
10
8
Memphis
-2.19666
25
11
50
32
W6
11
6
Chicago
-2.09171
26
11
52
30
E3
12
14
Milwaukee
-1.81582
20
18
46
36
E5
13
9
Oklahoma City
-1.74598
18
19
43
39

14
12
New Orleans
-1.68606
18
18
44
38

15
16
Washington
-1.34848
25
11
51
31
E4
16
17
Indiana
0.022555
14
24
39
43
E7
17
19
Detroit
0.368647
12
24
36
46
E8
18
23
Denver
0.883006
17
20
37
45

19
20
Utah
0.896437
13
24
33
49

20
15
Cleveland
1.36593
19
18
40
42
E6
21
21
Sacramento
2.319907
15
21
33
49

22
18
Boston
2.476147
12
22
33
49

23
24
LA Lakers
2.961609
13
24
32
50

24
27
Charlotte
3.033301
13
25
32
50

25
22
Brooklyn
4.079943
17
19
33
49

26
26
Orlando
5.460481
13
26
27
55

27
25
Miami
5.65774
15
21
30
52

28
28
New York
8.910616
5
34
16
66

29
29
Minnesota
9.388396
4
31
13
69

30
30
Philadelphia
11.7853
6
29
14
68


As hot as the Warriors have been, the East-leading Hawks may be even hotter. They have won 7 in a row, winning at Portland and the LA Clippers, taking out Memphis at home, then winning in Detroit, becoming the first team to beat the Pistons since Josh Smith left town. The Hawks now own a 3-game lead in the East, and they face the other three top contenders in the next 8 days, which will show the true Eastern hierarchy.

Houston made a big move this week despite not beating a good team since December 26. They've lost to all 4 good opponents since then, but they've also beaten all 4 bad opponents, which means that they are winning when they are supposed to, and they are good enough to make the playoffs, but definitely not good enough to win a title this year.

Playoff Picks

First Round

(1) Hawks over (8) Pistons
(2) Raptors over (7) Pacers
(3) Bulls over (6) Cavaliers
(5) Bucks over (4) Wizards
(1) Warriors over (8) Suns
(2) Trail Blazers over (7) Spurs
(3) Clippers over (6) Grizzlies
(5) Rockets over (4) Mavericks

Second Round

(1) Hawks over (5) Bucks
(3) Bulls over (2) Raptors
(1) Warriors over (5) Rockets
(3) Clippers over (2) Trail Blazers

Conference Finals

(1) Hawks over (3) Bulls
(1) Warriors over (3) Clippers

NBA Finals

(1) Warriors over (1) Hawks

NFL Playoff Odds

Odds of Making Conference Championships

1. Seattle - 81.2% (-2.4)
2. New England - 70.8% (-5.1)
3. Denver - 70.5% (-2.5)
4. Green Bay - 62.5% (-3.6)
5. Dallas - 37.5% (+9.3)
6. Indianapolis - 29.5% (+13.5)
7. Baltimore - 29.2% (+18.9)
8. Carolina - 18.8% (+7.6)

Odds of Making Super Bowl

1. Seattle - 53.1% (-2.6)
2. New England - 45.0% (-3.2)
3. Denver - 34.2% (-1.3)
4. Green Bay - 27.3% (-0.9)
5. Dallas - 14.7% (+3.7)
6. Indianapolis - 10.6% (+5.6)
7. Baltimore - 10.2% (+7.0)
8. Carolina - 4.8% (+2.1)

Odds of Winning Super Bowl

1. Seattle - 30.7% (-1.6)
2. New England - 22.6% (-1.4)
3. Denver - 16.5% (-0.6)
4. Green Bay - 14.2% (-0.3)
5. Dallas - 6.9% (+1.7)
6. Baltimore - 3.8% (+2.7)
7. Indianapolis - 3.7% (+2.1)
8. Carolina - 1.6% (+0.8)

As the only team to pull off an upset last week, Baltimore gained the most in the playoff odds this week, but they still face an uphill battle the rest of the way, with no chance of playing a home game again this year.

My Picks

Divisional Round

New England 29, Baltimore 20
Denver 30, Indianapolis 21
Seattle 27, Carolina 14
Green Bay 28, Dallas 24

Conference Championships

Denver 24, New England 23
Seattle 24, Green Bay 17

Super Bowl

Denver 27, Seattle 24

Predictions 

Upset picks are in italics.

NFL

Baltimore at New England - Patriots by 9
Carolina at Seattle - Seahawks by 13

NBA

Charlotte at New York - Hornets by 4
Dallas at LA Clippers - Clippers by 3
Brooklyn at Detroit - Pistons by 6
Indiana at Philadelphia - Pacers by 10
Boston at Toronto - Raptors by 8
Milwaukee at Chicago - Bulls by 3
Utah at Houston - Rockets by 7
San Antonio at Minnesota - Spurs by 10
Orlando at Portland - Trail Blazers by 13

College Basketball

Cincinnati at Connecticut - Huskies by 5
(22) Ohio State at Indiana - Buckeyes by 7
Navy at Army - Black Knights by 14
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 4
Clemson at Pittsburgh - Panthers by 8
Georgetown at Providence - Friars by 4
Stony Brook at Vermont - Catamounts by 3
George Washington at La Salle - Colonials by 1
(1) Kentucky at Texas A&M - Wildcats by 16
Denver at IUPUI - Jaguars by 2
Lafayette at Boston U - Terriers by 3
Buffalo at Western Michigan - Bulls by 6
Rhode Island at Duquesne - Rams by 7
Minnesota at Michigan - Golden Gophers by 4
(5) Louisville at (18) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 9
Saint Joseph's at (20) VCU - Rams by 23
Canisius at Iona - Gaels by 13
St. Peter's at Rider - Broncs by 4
Evansville at Bradley - Aces by 5
Loyola (MD) at Lehigh - Mountain Hawks by 17
Kennesaw State at USC Upstate - Spartans by 25
Alfred State at Cornell - Big Red by 31
Colorado State at Air Force - Rams by 1
St. Francis (NY) at Mount St. Mary's - Terriers by 3
Troy at Georgia State - Panthers by 21
Albany at UMass Lowell - River Hawks by 2
Alabama at Tennessee - Volunteers by 5
Northeastern at Towson - Huskies by 2
Bucknell at Holy Cross - Crusaders by 5
(19) Seton Hall at Creighton - Pirates by 4
Maine at Binghamton - Bearcats by 3
(11) Maryland at Purdue - Boilermakers by 1
Texas Tech at (12) Kansas - Jayhawks by 18
Portland State at North Dakota - No Nicknames by 8
Tulsa at Temple - Owls by 11
North Florida at Jacksonville - Ospreys by 9
FIU at UAB - Blazers by 4
Louisiana Tech at UTSA - Bulldogs by 10
North Texas at Rice - Owls by 6
Washington State at Washington - Huskies by 15
Oakland at Detroit - Titans by 5
Robert Morris at Central Connecticut State - Colonials by 4
St. Francis (PA) at Sacred Heart - Pioneers by 2
DePaul at (8) Villanova - Wildcats by 26
(21) Baylor at TCU - Bears by 1
Southern Utah at Northern Arizona - Lumberjacks by 13
Northern Iowa at Drake - Panthers by 15
Colgate at American - Eagles by 6
San Francisco at Portland - Pilots by 6
Ohio at Bowling Green - Falcons by 11
Boston College at Miami (FL) - Hurricanes by 13
Chattanooga at East Tennessee State - Buccaneers by 7
VMI at Furman - Keydets by 3
The Citadel at Mercer - Bears by 11
Presbyterian at Radford - Highlanders by 19
Fairleigh Dickinson at Bryant - Bulldogs by 8
LIU Brooklyn at Wagner - Seahawks by 1
Incarnate Word at Northwestern State - Demons by 1
James Madison at William & Mary - Tribe by 15
Morgan State at Delaware State - Hornets by 9
South Carolina State at NC Central - Eagles by 26
Hampton at Bethune-Cookman - Wildcats by 2
Coppin State at Howard - Bison by 13
Indiana State at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 6
Belmont at Eastern Illinois - Panthers by 3
Vanderbilt at (23) Arkansas - Razorbacks by 11
Central Michigan at Ball State - Chippewas by 7
Xavier at Butler - Bulldogs by 7
UNC Greensboro at Western Carolina - Catamounts by 12
(10) Texas at Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 1
Pennsylvania at Princeton - Tigers by 10
Arizona State at Oregon - Ducks by 4
Nicholls State at Abilene Christian - Wildcats by 10
South Carolina at Ole Miss - Rebels by 2
Georgia Southern at South Alabama - Eagles by 7
(25) Old Dominion at Western Kentucky - Monarchs by 3
South Dakota State at Omaha - Jackrabbits by 1
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) - Eagles by 5
Longwood at Charleston Southern - Buccaneers by 12
UL Monroe at Texas State - Bobcats by 7
(3) Virginia at (13) Notre Dame - Fighting Irish by 1
Pepperdine at San Diego - Toreros by 6
Southern at Grambling State - Jaguars by 15
Fresno State at Nevada - Wolf Pack by 5
Boise State at Wyoming - Cowboys by 3
Appalachian State at Arkansas-Little Rock - Trojans by 4
Delaware at Charleston - Cougars by 10
Savannah State at North Carolina A&T - Aggies by 9
Norfolk State at Florida A&M - Spartans by 19
Alabama A&M at Mississippi Valley State - Bulldogs by 3
Alcorn State at Jackson State - Tigers by 17
Kansas State at (16) Oklahoma - Sooners by 19
Niagara at Manhattan - Jaspers by 10
South Dakota at IPFW - Mastodons by 6
Stetson at Florida Gulf Coast - Eagles by 18
Samford at Wofford - Terriers by 11
Winthrop at Gardner-Webb - Runnin Bulldogs by 7
Campbell at High Point - Panthers by 8
Coastal Carolina at Liberty - Chanticleers by 9
Dayton at Fordham - Flyers by 9
Saint Louis at Davidson - Wildcats by 23
Central Penn at Columbia - Lions by 35
Harvard at Dartmouth - Big Green by 2
Daniel Webster at Yale - Bulldogs by 37
Charlotte at Marshall - 49ers by 9
Central Arkansas at Lamar - Cardinals by 20
Morehead State at UT Martin - Skyhawks by 8
Eastern Kentucky at SE Missouri State - Colonels by 10
Missouri at Auburn - Auburn Tigers by 5
Mississippi State at Florida - Gators by 24
Drexel at UNC Wilmington - Seahawks by 13
Sam Houston at New Orleans - Bearkats by 11
Northern Kentucky at Lipscomb - Norse by 5
Santa Clara at (6) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 33
(17) Iowa State at (14) West Virginia - Mountaineers by 10
Oral Roberts at Western Illinois - Golden Eagles by 4
Kent State at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 5
Chicago State at UT Pan American - Broncs by 4
FAU at Middle Tennessee - Blue Raiders by 5
Houston Baptist at SE Louisiana - Lions by 5
McNeese State at Texas A&M-CC - Islanders by 5
Tennessee State at SIU Edwardsville - Cougars by 17
Hofstra at Elon - Pride by 3
Cleveland State at Valparaiso - Crusaders by 9
Arkansas State at UT Arlington - Mavericks by 9
Austin Peay at Tennessee Tech - Golden Eagles by 15
Alabama State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff - Hornets by 4
Texas Southern at Prairie View - Tigers by 5
Montana State at Weber State - Wildcats by 14
Sacramento State at Northern Colorado - Bears by 3
Loyola Marymount at BYU - Cougars by 26
CS Bakersfield at Grand Canyon - Antelopes by 1
UMKC at New Mexico State - Aggies by 13
Southern Miss at UTEP - Miners by 23
New Mexico at Utah State - Aggies by 1
Georgia at LSU - Tigers by 1
Montana at Idaho State - Bengals by 1
Seattle at Utah Valley - Wolverines by 1
Eastern Washington at Idaho - Eagles by 1
San Jose State at UNLV - Rebels by 27
UC Riverside at UC Irvine - Anteaters by 12
UC Santa Barbara at Cal Poly - Mustangs by 1
Saint Mary's at Pacific - Gaels by 4
Long Beach State at UC Davis - Aggies by 2
CS Northridge at Hawaii - Warriors by 11

Prediction Results

NBA: 9-2 (.818) 375-173 overall (.684)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 34-47 overall (.420)
College Basketball: 2-2 (.500) 2160-635 overall (.773)
Pick of the Day: 54-1

Pick of the Day

UNLV

The Rebels are hosting San Jose State tonight, and though UNLV has lost 3 in a row, the Spartans haven't beaten a Division I team this season, so the losing streak will end for the Rebels.

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