Tuesday, September 27, 2011

NFL Rankings - 27 Sep

There are only three undefeated teams left in the NFL after week 3, and two of them are huge surprises, teams that haven't made the playoffs in more than a decade. The other is the defending Super Bowl champion, which is fitting. On the other side, two of last season's playoff qualifiers are among the five teams that have yet to win a game, which just goes to show what a difference one major injury can make.

TW - LW - Team - Record
1. (2) Oakland (2-1)
2. (1) Green Bay (3-0)
3. (4) NY Jets (2-1)
4. (6) Buffalo (3-0)
5. (3) New Orleans (2-1)
6. (7) Dallas (2-1)
7. (10) Baltimore (2-1)
8. (12) New England (2-1)
9. (5) Detroit (3-0)
10. (9) Tennessee (2-1)
11. (15) Houston (2-1)
12. (11) Denver (1-2)
13. (21) San Francisco (2-1)
14. (22) Washington (2-1)
15. (8) Cincinnati (1-2)
16. (13) Chicago (1-2)
17. (16) Carolina (1-2)
18. (17) Arizona (1-2)
19. (19) Jacksonville (1-2)
20. (14) Tampa Bay (2-1)
21. (26) Pittsburgh (2-1)
22. (28) NY Giants (2-1)
23. (27) Miami (0-3)
24. (25) Minnesota (0-3)
25. (24) Cleveland (2-1)
26. (23) Atlanta (1-2)
27. (20) San Diego (2-1)
28. (30) Seattle (1-2)
29. (18) Philadelphia (1-2)
30. (29) Indianapolis (0-3)
31. (32) Kansas City (0-3)
32. (31) Saint Louis (0-3)

The Oakland Raiders took over the top spot even though they already have a loss, but that one loss came on the road to the Buffalo Bills, the only remaining undefeated team in the AFC. That loss was by 3 points, and since home field advantage is currently worth about 3.2, that game basically counts as a draw for the Raiders. What propelled them past Green Bay was their 10 point win over the Jets, who are once again one of the best teams in the league. And in case you missed it, I correctly predicted the Raiders upset.

Buffalo surprised everybody but me with their last-second win over New England this weekend, but they have beaten two of the top teams in the league already, and their 34-point win over Kansas City to open the season was an omen of things to come for both teams. It may seem strange that they are one of the final unbeatens, but they have shown that they are a real threat this year, even in the super strong AFC East.

The Philadelphia Eagles, who were supposed to be unbeatable heading into this season, are looking like mere mortals after losing two straight games to underachieving teams. Their season-opening victory over the Rams isn't looking that great anymore either, since St. Louis is not looking at all like the team that was expected to win the weak NFC West.

The state of Missouri is the laughingstock of professional football, with its two teams starting a combined 0-6 and being outscored by an average score of 34-10 so far. Kansas City made the playoffs last season as division champs, but injuries have them preparing for the draft already, and St. Louis has had a very difficult early season schedule, although they haven't even come close to beating any of those teams which they could potentially have met in the playoffs.

Prediction Results

NFL: 13-3 (.813) 32-16 overall (.667)
Upsets: 5-0 (1.000) 13-19 overall (.406)

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