The NBA Playoffs begin this afternoon, and while the Golden State Warriors are the clear favorites to win the title, there are plenty of other good teams in the West, and the defending champs in the East, each of which is looking to upset the Warriors. I have broken down each team's odds of beating any opponent, as well as their odds of meeting that opponent, to determine the most likely champs. I have also included my picks for the playoff bracket and the major awards.
Odds of Winning First Round
1. Warriors - 98.3%
2. Spurs - 87.8%
3. Rockets - 81.2%
4. Raptors - 80.1%
5. Wizards - 72.3%
6. Cavaliers - 71.9%
7. Celtics - 70.3%
8. Clippers - 56.8%
9. Jazz - 43.2%
10. Bulls - 29.7%
11. Pacers - 28.1%
12. Hawks - 27.7%
13. Bucks - 19.9%
14. Thunder - 18.8%
15. Grizzlies - 12.2%
16. Trail Blazers - 1.7%
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
1. Warriors - 89.3%
2. Spurs - 59.8%
3. Raptors - 48.8%
4. Celtics - 44.1%
5. Cavaliers - 37.0%
6. Wizards - 35.7%
7. Rockets - 34.3%
8. Bulls - 11.2%
9. Hawks - 8.4%
10. Pacers - 7.9%
11. Bucks - 6.35%
12. Clippers - 6.31%
13. Jazz - 4.0%
14. Thunder - 3.3%
15. Grizzlies - 2.7%
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
1. Warriors - 74.0%
2. Raptors - 31.3%
3. Celtics - 22.4%
4. Cavaliers - 21.3%
5. Spurs - 15.6%
6. Wizards - 14.8%
7. Rockets - 6.4%
8. Bulls - 3.4%
9. Pacers - 2.8%
10. Clippers - 2.3%
11. Bucks - 2.1%
12. Hawks - 2.0%
13. Jazz - 1.3%
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
1. Warriors - 70.6%
2. Spurs - 12.9%
3. Rockets - 4.8%
4. Raptors - 3.9%
5. Celtics - 2.03%
6. Cavaliers - 2.01%
7. Clippers - 1.5%
8. Wizards - 1.1%
My Picks
First Round
(1) Celtics over (8) Bulls in 7
(2) Cavaliers over (7) Pacers in 7
(3) Raptors over (6) Bucks in 6
(4) Wizards over (5) Hawks in 7
(1) Warriors over (8) Trail Blazers in 4
(2) Spurs over (7) Grizzlies in 6
(3) Rockets over (6) Thunder in 5
(5) Jazz over (4) Clippers in 7
Second Round
(4) Wizards over (1) Celtics in 7
(3) Raptors over (2) Cavaliers in 6
(1) Warriors over (5) Jazz in 5
(2) Spurs over (3) Rockets in 6
Conference Finals
(3) Raptors over (4) Wizards in 6
(1) Warriors over (2) Spurs in 5
NBA Finals
(1) Warriors over (3) Raptors in 5
MVP
Previous Rank is in parentheses.
1. (1) Russell Westbrook - OKC - 31.6 P, 10.7 R, 10.4 A, 1.6 S, .425 FG, .343 3P, .845 FT
Triple-double average (42 overall)
Career highs in scoring, rebounds, assists, 3-point %, free throw %
#1 in scoring, #10 in rebounds, #3 in assists
2. (2) James Harden - HOU - 29.1 P, 8.1 R, 11.2 A, 1.5 S, .440 FG, .347 3P, .847 FT
Career highs in scoring, rebounds, assists
#2 in scoring, #1 in assists
3. (3) LeBron James - CLE - 26.4 P, 8.6 R, 8.7 A, 1.2 S, .548 FG, .363 3P, .674 FT
Career highs in rebounds and assists
#8 in scoring, #6 in assists, #10 in FG%
4. (4) Stephen Curry - GSW - 25.3 P, 4.5 R, 6.6 A, 1.8 S, .468 FG, .411 3P, .898 FT
#10 in scoring, #7 in steals, #6 in FT%
5. (7) Isaiah Thomas - BOS - 28.9 P, 2.7 R, 5.9 A, .463 FG, .379 3P, .909 FT
Career highs in scoring, field goal %, 3-point %, and free throw %
#3 in scoring, #2 in FT%
6. (6) Kawhi Leonard - SAS - 25.5 P, 5.8 R, 3.5 A, 1.8 S, .485 FG, .381 3P, .880 FT
Career highs in scoring, assists, and free throw %
#9 in scoring, #8 in steals
7. (5) Kevin Durant - GSW - 25.1 P, 8.3 R, 4.9 A, 1.1 S, 1.6 B, .537 FG, .375 3P, .875 FT
Career highs in rebounds, blocks, field goal %
#9 in blocks
8. (9) John Wall - WAS - 23.1 P, 4.2 R, 10.7 A, 2.1 S, .451 FG, .327 3P, .801 FT
Career highs in scoring, assists, steals, field goal %
#2 in assists, #1 in steals
9. (10) DeMar DeRozan - TOR - 27.3 P, 5.2 R, 3.9 A, 1.1 S, .467 FG, .842 FT
Career highs in scoring and rebounds
#5 in scoring
10. (NR) Giannis Antetokounmpo - MIL - 22.9 P, 8.7 R, 5.4 A, 1.6 S, 1.9 B, .522 FG, .770 FT
Career highs in scoring, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, field goal %, free throw %
#6 in blocks
Honorable Mention: Karl-Anthony Towns - MIN, Klay Thompson - GSW, Jimmy Butler - CHI
Rookie of the Year
1. (1) Dario Saric - PHI - 12.8 P, 6.3 R, 2.2 A, .411 FG, .311 3P, .782 FT
2. (2) Malcolm Brogdon - MIL - 10.2 P, 2.8 R, 4.2 A, 1.1 S, .457 FG, .404 3P, .865 FT
3. (3) Buddy Hield - SAC - 10.6 P, 3.3 R, 1.5 A, .426 FG, .391 3P, .842 FT
4. (4) Jamal Murray - DEN - 9.9 P, 2.6 R, 2.1 A, .405 FG, .334 3P, .883 FT
5. (NR) Willy Hernangomez - NYK - 8.2 P, 7.0 R, 1.3 A, .530 FG, .728 FT
Honorable Mention: Brandon Ingram - LAL, Marquese Chriss - PHX, Joel Embiid - PHI
Sixth Man of the Year
1. (1) Lou Williams - HOU - 17.5 P, 2.5 R, 3.0 A, 1.0 S, .428 FG, .365 3P, .880 FT
2. (2) Greg Monroe - MIL - 11.7 P, 6.6 R, 2.3 A, 1.1 S, .533 FG, .741 FT
3. (NR) Jordan Clarkson - LAL - 14.7 P, 3.0 R, 2.6 A, 1.1 S, .445 FG, .329 3P, .798 FT
4. (3) Zach Randolph - MEM - 14.1 P, 8.2 R, 1.7 A, .449 FG, .731 FT
5. (4) Tyler Johnson - MIA - 13.7 P, 4.0 R, 3.2 A, 1.2 S, .433 FG, .372 3P, .768 FT
Honorable Mention: Eric Gordon - HOU, Tim Hardaway Jr - ATL - Enes Kanter - OKC
Showing posts with label Dario Saric. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dario Saric. Show all posts
Saturday, April 15, 2017
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
NBA MVP Rankings - 22 Mar
We are down to the final month of the NBA regular season, and the MVP rankings have seen a shift due to the injury to Kevin Durant and the rise of several other teams. Two Eastern Conference point guards reached the top ten while the top 6 players remain the same, just in a different order. Here are my current MVP, Rookie of the Year, and Sixth Man rankings (previous rank in parentheses):
MVP
1 (3) Russell Westbrook - OKC - 31.4 P, 10.5 R, 10.3 A, 1.7 S, .418 FG, .336 3P, .842 FT
It's impossible to ignore what Westbrook has done to this point in the season, with the second-most triple-doubles in a season in history and a chance to become the second player to average a triple-double for an entire season. Even though most MVP's come from the top 2 teams, Russ has a real chance to break that trend.
2 (2) James Harden - HOU - 29.4 P, 8.1 R, 11.2 A, 1.5 S, .446 FG, .352 3P, .849 FT
The only argument for picking Harden over Westbrook is team success, and while he is the league leader in assists and has helped the Rockets make a huge leap over last year, he is just a step behind Westbrook this season.
3 (4) LeBron James - CLE - 26.2 P, 8.4 R, 8.8 A, 1.3 S, .543 FG, .385 3P, .676 FT
James is averaging career highs in rebounds and assists, and the Cavaliers are again at the top of the East. While his performance is kind of expected at this point, we should all be paying a little more attention to the best player of this generation.
4 (5) Stephen Curry - GSW - 24.9 P, 4.4 R, 6.3 A, 1.7 S, .463 FG, .399 3P, .917 FT
Curry is back in the race after Durant went down, and he could still take a 3rd straight MVP if he can dominate the next month and keep the Warriors far ahead of anyone else, though it may be too late at this point.
5 (1) Kevin Durant - GSW - 25.3 P, 8.2 R, 4.8 A, 1.6 B, 1.1 S, .537 FG, .378 3P, .876 FT
Durant had a strong position in the MVP race until his injury a few weeks ago, and he has probably lost his chance unless he comes back early and at full strength.
6 (6) Kawhi Leonard - SAS - 26.0 P, 5.9 R, 3.4 A, 1.9 S, .483 FG, .376 3P, .892 FT
Leonard's numbers aren't as impressive as the ones above him on this list, but if he is able to get the Spurs to the top record in the league, there could be a chance.
7 (NR) Isaiah Thomas - BOS - 29.1 P, 2.6 R, 6.0 A, 1.0 S, .460 FG, .380 3P, .909 FT
Thomas has been on fire lately, with the Celtics now looking like the #2 seed in the East, while Thomas is #3 in the league in scoring despite being one of the league's shortest players.
8 (NR) Kyrie Irving - CLE - 25.5 P, 3.4 R, 5.8 A, 1.1 S, .474 FG, .393 3P, .905 FT
Irving has been coming on strong of late, with 46 points against the Lakers on Sunday, and the Cavs are in 1st place again in the East, but he can't win the MVP as long as LeBron is playing.
9 (10) John Wall - WAS - 22.9 P, 4.3 R, 10.8 A, 2.0 S, .446 FG, .314 3P, .805 FT
Wall has the Wizards in the running for the top spot in the East, though it appears that their loss to the Celtics may have cost them a chance at that spot.
10 (7) DeMar DeRozan - TOR - 27.0 P, 5.4 R, 3.8 A, 1.1 S, .463 FG, .846 FT
The Raptors have been slipping, which is partially due to Kyle Lowry's injury, but with DeRozan unable to keep them afloat in his absence, his chance to win has all but disappeared.
Honorable Mention: Giannis Antetokounmpo - MIL, Klay Thompson - GSW, Anthony Davis - NOP
Rookie of the Year
1 (3) Dario Saric - PHI - 12.6 P, 6.3 R, 2.2 A, .416 FG, .324 3P, .783 FT
2 (2) Malcolm Brogdon - MIL - 10.0 P, 2.8 R, 4.1 A, 1.1 S, .449 FG, .403 3P, .857 FT
3 (5) Buddy Hield - SAC - 9.5 P, 3.0 R, 1.3 A, .416 FG, .388 3P, .868 FT
4 (4) Jamal Murray - DEN - 9.4 P, 2.6 R, 1.8 A, .401 FG, .340 3P, .866 FT
5 (NR) Brandon Ingram - LAL - 9.0 P, 4.1 R, 2.1 A, .398 FG, .617 FT
Joel Embiid seemed like a runaway Rookie of the Year a month ago, but another season-ending injury left him with only 31 games played, which doesn't seem to be enough to give him the award, especially after his teammate, Dario Saric, stepped up in his absence.
Sixth Man of the Year
1 (1) Lou Williams - HOU - 17.8 P, 2.3 R, 3.0 A, 1.1 S, .436 FG, .382 3P, .880 FT
2 (NR) Greg Monroe - MIL - 11.8 P, 6.7 R, 2.3 A, 1.2 S, .528 FG, .742 FT
3 (4) Zach Randolph - MEM - 14.0 P, 8.2 R, 1.6 A, .456 FG, .729 FT
4 (NR) Tyler Johnson - MIA - 13.8 P, 4.1 R, 3.4 A, 1.2 S, .436 FG, .355 3P, .773 FT
5 (2) Wilson Chandler - DEN - 16.1 P, 6.6 R, 2.1 A, .456 FG, .333 3P, .733 FT
Lou Williams is starting to distance himself from the rest of the field, with many of the other leaders starting to slip and Lou keeping up his high level of play after his trade to the Rockets.
MVP
1 (3) Russell Westbrook - OKC - 31.4 P, 10.5 R, 10.3 A, 1.7 S, .418 FG, .336 3P, .842 FT
It's impossible to ignore what Westbrook has done to this point in the season, with the second-most triple-doubles in a season in history and a chance to become the second player to average a triple-double for an entire season. Even though most MVP's come from the top 2 teams, Russ has a real chance to break that trend.
2 (2) James Harden - HOU - 29.4 P, 8.1 R, 11.2 A, 1.5 S, .446 FG, .352 3P, .849 FT
The only argument for picking Harden over Westbrook is team success, and while he is the league leader in assists and has helped the Rockets make a huge leap over last year, he is just a step behind Westbrook this season.
3 (4) LeBron James - CLE - 26.2 P, 8.4 R, 8.8 A, 1.3 S, .543 FG, .385 3P, .676 FT
James is averaging career highs in rebounds and assists, and the Cavaliers are again at the top of the East. While his performance is kind of expected at this point, we should all be paying a little more attention to the best player of this generation.
4 (5) Stephen Curry - GSW - 24.9 P, 4.4 R, 6.3 A, 1.7 S, .463 FG, .399 3P, .917 FT
Curry is back in the race after Durant went down, and he could still take a 3rd straight MVP if he can dominate the next month and keep the Warriors far ahead of anyone else, though it may be too late at this point.
5 (1) Kevin Durant - GSW - 25.3 P, 8.2 R, 4.8 A, 1.6 B, 1.1 S, .537 FG, .378 3P, .876 FT
Durant had a strong position in the MVP race until his injury a few weeks ago, and he has probably lost his chance unless he comes back early and at full strength.
6 (6) Kawhi Leonard - SAS - 26.0 P, 5.9 R, 3.4 A, 1.9 S, .483 FG, .376 3P, .892 FT
Leonard's numbers aren't as impressive as the ones above him on this list, but if he is able to get the Spurs to the top record in the league, there could be a chance.
7 (NR) Isaiah Thomas - BOS - 29.1 P, 2.6 R, 6.0 A, 1.0 S, .460 FG, .380 3P, .909 FT
Thomas has been on fire lately, with the Celtics now looking like the #2 seed in the East, while Thomas is #3 in the league in scoring despite being one of the league's shortest players.
8 (NR) Kyrie Irving - CLE - 25.5 P, 3.4 R, 5.8 A, 1.1 S, .474 FG, .393 3P, .905 FT
Irving has been coming on strong of late, with 46 points against the Lakers on Sunday, and the Cavs are in 1st place again in the East, but he can't win the MVP as long as LeBron is playing.
9 (10) John Wall - WAS - 22.9 P, 4.3 R, 10.8 A, 2.0 S, .446 FG, .314 3P, .805 FT
Wall has the Wizards in the running for the top spot in the East, though it appears that their loss to the Celtics may have cost them a chance at that spot.
10 (7) DeMar DeRozan - TOR - 27.0 P, 5.4 R, 3.8 A, 1.1 S, .463 FG, .846 FT
The Raptors have been slipping, which is partially due to Kyle Lowry's injury, but with DeRozan unable to keep them afloat in his absence, his chance to win has all but disappeared.
Honorable Mention: Giannis Antetokounmpo - MIL, Klay Thompson - GSW, Anthony Davis - NOP
Rookie of the Year
1 (3) Dario Saric - PHI - 12.6 P, 6.3 R, 2.2 A, .416 FG, .324 3P, .783 FT
2 (2) Malcolm Brogdon - MIL - 10.0 P, 2.8 R, 4.1 A, 1.1 S, .449 FG, .403 3P, .857 FT
3 (5) Buddy Hield - SAC - 9.5 P, 3.0 R, 1.3 A, .416 FG, .388 3P, .868 FT
4 (4) Jamal Murray - DEN - 9.4 P, 2.6 R, 1.8 A, .401 FG, .340 3P, .866 FT
5 (NR) Brandon Ingram - LAL - 9.0 P, 4.1 R, 2.1 A, .398 FG, .617 FT
Joel Embiid seemed like a runaway Rookie of the Year a month ago, but another season-ending injury left him with only 31 games played, which doesn't seem to be enough to give him the award, especially after his teammate, Dario Saric, stepped up in his absence.
Sixth Man of the Year
1 (1) Lou Williams - HOU - 17.8 P, 2.3 R, 3.0 A, 1.1 S, .436 FG, .382 3P, .880 FT
2 (NR) Greg Monroe - MIL - 11.8 P, 6.7 R, 2.3 A, 1.2 S, .528 FG, .742 FT
3 (4) Zach Randolph - MEM - 14.0 P, 8.2 R, 1.6 A, .456 FG, .729 FT
4 (NR) Tyler Johnson - MIA - 13.8 P, 4.1 R, 3.4 A, 1.2 S, .436 FG, .355 3P, .773 FT
5 (2) Wilson Chandler - DEN - 16.1 P, 6.6 R, 2.1 A, .456 FG, .333 3P, .733 FT
Lou Williams is starting to distance himself from the rest of the field, with many of the other leaders starting to slip and Lou keeping up his high level of play after his trade to the Rockets.
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