The NBA Playoffs begin this afternoon, and while the Golden State Warriors are the clear favorites to win the title, there are plenty of other good teams in the West, and the defending champs in the East, each of which is looking to upset the Warriors. I have broken down each team's odds of beating any opponent, as well as their odds of meeting that opponent, to determine the most likely champs. I have also included my picks for the playoff bracket and the major awards.
Odds of Winning First Round
1. Warriors - 98.3%
2. Spurs - 87.8%
3. Rockets - 81.2%
4. Raptors - 80.1%
5. Wizards - 72.3%
6. Cavaliers - 71.9%
7. Celtics - 70.3%
8. Clippers - 56.8%
9. Jazz - 43.2%
10. Bulls - 29.7%
11. Pacers - 28.1%
12. Hawks - 27.7%
13. Bucks - 19.9%
14. Thunder - 18.8%
15. Grizzlies - 12.2%
16. Trail Blazers - 1.7%
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
1. Warriors - 89.3%
2. Spurs - 59.8%
3. Raptors - 48.8%
4. Celtics - 44.1%
5. Cavaliers - 37.0%
6. Wizards - 35.7%
7. Rockets - 34.3%
8. Bulls - 11.2%
9. Hawks - 8.4%
10. Pacers - 7.9%
11. Bucks - 6.35%
12. Clippers - 6.31%
13. Jazz - 4.0%
14. Thunder - 3.3%
15. Grizzlies - 2.7%
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
1. Warriors - 74.0%
2. Raptors - 31.3%
3. Celtics - 22.4%
4. Cavaliers - 21.3%
5. Spurs - 15.6%
6. Wizards - 14.8%
7. Rockets - 6.4%
8. Bulls - 3.4%
9. Pacers - 2.8%
10. Clippers - 2.3%
11. Bucks - 2.1%
12. Hawks - 2.0%
13. Jazz - 1.3%
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
1. Warriors - 70.6%
2. Spurs - 12.9%
3. Rockets - 4.8%
4. Raptors - 3.9%
5. Celtics - 2.03%
6. Cavaliers - 2.01%
7. Clippers - 1.5%
8. Wizards - 1.1%
My Picks
First Round
(1) Celtics over (8) Bulls in 7
(2) Cavaliers over (7) Pacers in 7
(3) Raptors over (6) Bucks in 6
(4) Wizards over (5) Hawks in 7
(1) Warriors over (8) Trail Blazers in 4
(2) Spurs over (7) Grizzlies in 6
(3) Rockets over (6) Thunder in 5
(5) Jazz over (4) Clippers in 7
Second Round
(4) Wizards over (1) Celtics in 7
(3) Raptors over (2) Cavaliers in 6
(1) Warriors over (5) Jazz in 5
(2) Spurs over (3) Rockets in 6
Conference Finals
(3) Raptors over (4) Wizards in 6
(1) Warriors over (2) Spurs in 5
NBA Finals
(1) Warriors over (3) Raptors in 5
MVP
Previous Rank is in parentheses.
1. (1) Russell Westbrook - OKC - 31.6 P, 10.7 R, 10.4 A, 1.6 S, .425 FG, .343 3P, .845 FT
Triple-double average (42 overall)
Career highs in scoring, rebounds, assists, 3-point %, free throw %
#1 in scoring, #10 in rebounds, #3 in assists
2. (2) James Harden - HOU - 29.1 P, 8.1 R, 11.2 A, 1.5 S, .440 FG, .347 3P, .847 FT
Career highs in scoring, rebounds, assists
#2 in scoring, #1 in assists
3. (3) LeBron James - CLE - 26.4 P, 8.6 R, 8.7 A, 1.2 S, .548 FG, .363 3P, .674 FT
Career highs in rebounds and assists
#8 in scoring, #6 in assists, #10 in FG%
4. (4) Stephen Curry - GSW - 25.3 P, 4.5 R, 6.6 A, 1.8 S, .468 FG, .411 3P, .898 FT
#10 in scoring, #7 in steals, #6 in FT%
5. (7) Isaiah Thomas - BOS - 28.9 P, 2.7 R, 5.9 A, .463 FG, .379 3P, .909 FT
Career highs in scoring, field goal %, 3-point %, and free throw %
#3 in scoring, #2 in FT%
6. (6) Kawhi Leonard - SAS - 25.5 P, 5.8 R, 3.5 A, 1.8 S, .485 FG, .381 3P, .880 FT
Career highs in scoring, assists, and free throw %
#9 in scoring, #8 in steals
7. (5) Kevin Durant - GSW - 25.1 P, 8.3 R, 4.9 A, 1.1 S, 1.6 B, .537 FG, .375 3P, .875 FT
Career highs in rebounds, blocks, field goal %
#9 in blocks
8. (9) John Wall - WAS - 23.1 P, 4.2 R, 10.7 A, 2.1 S, .451 FG, .327 3P, .801 FT
Career highs in scoring, assists, steals, field goal %
#2 in assists, #1 in steals
9. (10) DeMar DeRozan - TOR - 27.3 P, 5.2 R, 3.9 A, 1.1 S, .467 FG, .842 FT
Career highs in scoring and rebounds
#5 in scoring
10. (NR) Giannis Antetokounmpo - MIL - 22.9 P, 8.7 R, 5.4 A, 1.6 S, 1.9 B, .522 FG, .770 FT
Career highs in scoring, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, field goal %, free throw %
#6 in blocks
Honorable Mention: Karl-Anthony Towns - MIN, Klay Thompson - GSW, Jimmy Butler - CHI
Rookie of the Year
1. (1) Dario Saric - PHI - 12.8 P, 6.3 R, 2.2 A, .411 FG, .311 3P, .782 FT
2. (2) Malcolm Brogdon - MIL - 10.2 P, 2.8 R, 4.2 A, 1.1 S, .457 FG, .404 3P, .865 FT
3. (3) Buddy Hield - SAC - 10.6 P, 3.3 R, 1.5 A, .426 FG, .391 3P, .842 FT
4. (4) Jamal Murray - DEN - 9.9 P, 2.6 R, 2.1 A, .405 FG, .334 3P, .883 FT
5. (NR) Willy Hernangomez - NYK - 8.2 P, 7.0 R, 1.3 A, .530 FG, .728 FT
Honorable Mention: Brandon Ingram - LAL, Marquese Chriss - PHX, Joel Embiid - PHI
Sixth Man of the Year
1. (1) Lou Williams - HOU - 17.5 P, 2.5 R, 3.0 A, 1.0 S, .428 FG, .365 3P, .880 FT
2. (2) Greg Monroe - MIL - 11.7 P, 6.6 R, 2.3 A, 1.1 S, .533 FG, .741 FT
3. (NR) Jordan Clarkson - LAL - 14.7 P, 3.0 R, 2.6 A, 1.1 S, .445 FG, .329 3P, .798 FT
4. (3) Zach Randolph - MEM - 14.1 P, 8.2 R, 1.7 A, .449 FG, .731 FT
5. (4) Tyler Johnson - MIA - 13.7 P, 4.0 R, 3.2 A, 1.2 S, .433 FG, .372 3P, .768 FT
Honorable Mention: Eric Gordon - HOU, Tim Hardaway Jr - ATL - Enes Kanter - OKC
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