NBA Rankings - 25 Mar

The Philadelphia 76ers have been making a strong move over the past several weeks, and they are now up to #3 in my overall rankings, and projected to finish at #3 in the East as well. Dallas has been slipping since trading for Kyrie Irving, and is now projected to miss the playoffs altogether. Here are my full current rankings and playoff picks:

				Record		Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L	Seed
1	2	Boston	-5.364	51	23	56	26	E2
2	1	Cleveland	-5.244	47	28	52	30	E4
3	6	Philadelphia	-4.527	49	24	54	28	E3
4	3	Milwaukee	-4.396	53	20	59	23	E1
5	5	Memphis	-3.612	46	27	51	31	W2
6	4	Denver	-3.312	49	24	54	28	W1
7	7	New York	-2.504	42	33	45	37	E5
8	9	Sacramento	-1.994	44	29	49	33	W3
9	8	Phoenix	-1.457	38	35	43	39	W4
10	11	Brooklyn	-1.046	39	34	45	37	E6
11	16	Chicago	-0.99	35	38	41	41	E8
12	10	Oklahoma City	-0.912	36	38	41	41	W9
13	18	Toronto	-0.747	36	38	40	42	E10
14	12	Golden State	-0.686	39	36	43	39	W5
15	13	New Orleans	-0.524	36	37	40	42	W10
16	20	LA Clippers	-0.3	39	35	43	39	W6
17	17	Atlanta	-0.015	36	37	40	42	E9
18	15	Dallas	-0.009	36	38	40	42
19	22	Miami	0.1447	40	34	44	38	E7
20	23	LA Lakers	0.2571	37	37	41	41	W8
21	21	Minnesota	0.3707	37	37	41	41	W7
22	19	Utah	0.4595	35	38	39	43
23	14	Washington	0.4995	33	41	37	45
24	24	Portland	2.0113	32	41	36	46
25	25	Indiana	2.2803	33	41	36	46
26	26	Orlando	2.3748	31	43	34	48
27	27	Charlotte	5.2966	24	51	27	55
28	28	Detroit	6.9353	16	58	18	64
29	29	Houston	7.6059	18	56	20	62
30	30	San Antonio	8.5152	19	55	21	61

Playoff Picks

Play In

(8) Bulls over (7) Heat

(9) Hawks over (10) Raptors

(7) Heat over (9) Hawks

(7) Timberwolves over (8) Lakers

(9) Thunder over (10) Pelicans

(8) Lakers over (9) Thunder

First Round

(1) Bucks over (7) Heat in 5

(2) Celtics over (8) Bulls in 5

(3) 76ers over (6) Nets in 5

(4) Cavaliers over (5) Knicks in 7

(1) Nuggets over (8) Lakers in 6

(2) Grizzlies over (7) Timberwolves in 6

(3) Kings over (6) Clippers in 5

(4) Suns over (5) Warriors in 5

Second Round

(1) Bucks over (4) Cavaliers in 7

(2) Celtics over (3) 76ers in 5

(1) Nuggets over (4) Suns in 5

(2) Grizzlies over (3) Kings in 6

Conference Finals

(1) Bucks over (2) Celtics in 7

(1) Nuggets over (2) Grizzlies in 6

NBA Finals

(1) Bucks over (1) Nuggets in 7

NBA MVP Rankings - 18 Mar

We're down to the final weeks of the NBA season, and it looks like a two man race for MVP, with Joel Embiid trying to make a late push to join the party as well. Here are my current rankings for MVP, with previous rank in parentheses, along with some changes to my All-Time Player rankings:

Most Valuable Player

1 (1) Nikola Jokic - C - DEN

24.8 Pts (#17), 11.9 Reb (#3), 9.9 Ast (#4), 1.2 Stl, 0.7 Blk, .633 FG% (#7), .402 3P%, .816 FT%

2 (3) Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF - MIL

31.4 Pts (#4), 11.9 Reb (#2), 5.5 Ast, 0.7 Stl, 0.8 Blk, .542 FG%, .284 3P%, .651 FT%

3 (6) Joel Embiid - C - PHI

33.5 Pts (#1), 10.2 Reb (#8), 4.1 Ast, 1.1 Stl, 1.7 Blk (#6), .545 FG% (#20), .355 3P%, .856 FT%

4 (7) Trae Young - PG - ATL

27.0 Pts (#10), 3.1 Reb, 10.1 Ast (#3), 1.1 Stl, 0.1 Blk, .436 FG%, .338 3P%, .891 FT% (#12)

5 (4) Luka Doncic - PG - DAL

33.0 Pts (#2), 8.6 Reb, 8.0 Ast (#6), 1.5 Stl (#11), 0.5 Blk, .500 FG%, .349 3P%, .736 FT%

6 (10) Domantas Sabonis - C - SAC

19.0 Pts, 12.6 Reb (#1), 7.1 Ast (#11), 0.8 Stl, 0.5 Blk, .609 FG% (#10), .360 3P%, .766 FT%

7 (2) Jayson Tatum - PF - BOS

30.2 Pts (#6), 9.0 Reb (#20), 4.7 Ast, 1.0 Stl, 0.7 Blk, .458 FG%, .345 3P%, .861 FT%

8 (5) Ja Morant - PG - MEM

27.1 Pts (#9), 6.0 Reb, 8.2 Ast (#5), 1.1 Stl, 0.2 Blk, .463 FG%, .316 3P%, .744 FT%

9 (NR) Damian Lillard - PG - POR

32.4 Pts (#3), 4.7 Reb, 7.2 Ast (#10), 0.9 Stl, 0.3 Blk, .467 FG%, .377 3P%, .915 FT% (#4)

10 (NR) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - PG - OKC

31.3 Pts (#5), 4.8 Reb, 5.5 Ast, 1.7 Stl (#4), 1.0 Blk, .511 FG%, .351 3P%, .906 FT% (#6)

Honorable Mention

De'Aaron Fox - PG - SAC; James Harden - PG - PHI; Tyrese Haliburton - PG - IND; Darius Garland - PG - CLE; Jrue Holiday - PG - MIL

All-Time Player Rank Changes

James Harden has passed Jason Kidd to move up to #22

Giannis Antetokounmpo has passed John Havlicek to move up to #40

Damian Lillard has passed Chauncey Billups to move up to #55

Nikola Jokic has passed Sam Jones to move up to #62

Anthony Davis has passed Alex English, Maurice Cheeks, Deron Williams, and Ben Wallace to move up to #66

Draymond Green has passed Alex English to move up to #70

NCAA Tournament Odds - 2023

There have been a total of 6109 games played this year in college basketball, with only 67 to go that matter (I'm not counting the NIT, CBI, etc.). Using the results of each of those games and plugging the teams into the bracket that was released on Sunday, I've calculated each team's odds of advancing through each round of the tournament and ending up as the champion, along with some other tips and tidbits that may help you fill out a winning bracket. Enjoy!

Best Teams Left Out

35. Rutgers

37. North Carolina

43. Liberty

44. Oklahoma State

45. Yale

Yale lost on Sunday to Princeton, which ended their chance of making the field, and Liberty fell to Kennesaw State in their tournament to suffer the same fate. Rutgers and North Carolina were popular picks to make the tournament, and Rutgers was one of the two teams I picked incorrectly to make the field. Oklahoma State was one of the official first teams out, with the committee deciding not to make them the first 15-loss team to make the field as an at-large. These teams are often good bets to win the NIT, though North Carolina turned down the invite.

Worst At-Large Teams Selected

52. Mississippi State

53. Nevada

55. Missouri

68. Arizona State

69. Pittsburgh

4 of these teams were the final 4 selected to participate. Generally these teams do not make deep tournament runs, though last year 2 of the 7 reached the Sweet 16.

Teams That are Better than their Seed

1. West Virginia

2. Utah State

3. UConn

4. Creighton

5. Arkansas

6. Memphis

7. Auburn

8. FAU

9. Iona

10. Tennessee

These teams are seeded lower than they should be given their talent, many due to weaker schedules overall, and some due to piling up losses against a strong schedule. These teams are good bets to go farther than expected in the tournament. Last season Houston made a run to the Elite 8 from the 5-seed, and Michigan reached the Sweet 16 as an 11, and both were on this list.

Teams That are Worse than their Seed

1. Virginia

2. Miami

3. Missouri

4. Kansas State

5. Indiana

6. Northwestern

7. Duke

8. TCU

9. Kentucky

10. Pittsburgh

Most of these teams either got lucky a few times and got wins they shouldn't have, or play in a conference that is weaker than usual but still has a good reputation (looking at you, ACC). 3 of the teams on this list lost on opening weekend last year in upsets, and 5 others also didn't see the second weekend.

Projected First Round Upsets

10.7

Last year's projection was only 9.8, so expect to see even more upsets this year. There ended up being 10 last season, so the projection was right on, and this year I expect to see somewhere between 9 and 13.

Most Likely First Round Upsets

(10) Utah State over (7) Missouri - 59.3%

(9) Auburn over (8) Iowa - 54.2%

(10) Boise State over (7) Northwestern - 51.92%

(9) West Virginia over (8) Maryland - 51.88%

(9) FAU over (8) Memphis - 48.0%

(11) Providence over (6) Kentucky - 47.6%

(10) USC over (7) Michigan State - 46.8%

(12) Drake over (5) Miami - 45.6%

(9) Illinois over (8) Arkansas - 45.2%

(10) Penn State over (7) Texas A&M - 44.8%

(13) Kent State over (4) Indiana - 41.9%

(11) Arizona State/Nevada over (6) TCU - 41.85%

(11) Mississippi State/Pittsburgh over (6) Iowa State - 41.77%

(12) Charleston over (5) San Diego State - 41.5%

There are 14 first round games with very strong upset potential here, including 4 where the lower seed is actually favored by my formula. 5 of the 10 first-round upsets last year were on my list, including 3 of the top 6.

Most Likely #15 or #16 to Win a Game

(15) Vermont over (2) Marquette - 25.2%

(15) Colgate over (2) Texas - 22.8%

(15) Princeton over (2) Arizona - 21.8%

(15) UNC Asheville over (2) UCLA - 11.9%

We saw another example of a 15-seed taking down a 2-seed last year with Saint Peter's, who was second on my list, and the odds of it happening this year are much higher, as last season no team on the list had more than a 14% chance of winning.

Most Likely Cinderellas

(10) Utah State - 28.3%

(11) Providence - 24.4%

(12) Charleston - 21.2%

(13) Kent State - 20.3%

(12) Drake - 20.2%

(10) USC - 20.1%

(10) Boise State - 18.4%

(11) Mississippi State/Pittsburgh - 18.3%

(10) Penn State - 18.0%

(11) NC State - 17.6%

(11) Arizona State/Nevada - 16.2%

(13) Iona - 14.3%

(12) VCU - 14.2%

(13) Furman - 14.0%

(12) Oral Roberts - 13.2%

4 double-digit seeds made it to at least the Sweet 16 last season, and 3 were among the top 10 on this list. There is a very good chance we'll see multiple teams from the list above still playing in a week.

Projected Number of Cinderellas

3.5

This is up from last season's projection of 2.9, which ultimately ended up with 4 surprise teams, so don't be surprised if you see 5 this year.

#1 Seeds in the Final Four

1.0

It's always tempting to just move the higher seed up through each round, but that may not be smart. Last season's number was 1.1, so it's dropped even more this season, and only one #1 seed made the Final Four, right on target.

Odds of a #1 Seed Winning the Tournament

34.4%

This is also down from last season's 38.1%, which did end up ultimately resulting in #1 Kansas winning, but the odds of seeing a top seed cutting down the nets is smaller this year. #1 seeds have won the last 5, but the odds of it happening have never been this low.

Most Likely Sweet 16 Teams

(1) Alabama - 65.7%

(1) Houston - 65.3%

(2) UCLA - 61.8%

(1) Purdue - 60.5%

(1) Kansas - 54.6%

(4) Tennessee - 51.6%

(3) Gonzaga - 49.7%

(2) Texas - 48.9%

(2) Arizona - 48.7%

(2) Marquette - 46.2%

(4) UConn - 43.9%

(3) Xavier - 43.7%

(3) Baylor - 39.2%

(3) Kansas State - 38.2%

(6) Creighton - 36.2%

(5) San Diego State - 34.8%

(4) Indiana - 32.9%

(6) Iowa State - 30.2%

(4) Virginia - 30.0%

9 of the 16 most likely teams actually reached the Sweet 16 last season, which is around what you would expect when you factor in the Cinderella teams. Pay attention to teams that are higher or lower than the rest of their seedmates, like Tennessee or Kansas State.

Most Likely Final Four Teams

(1) Alabama - 31.9%

(1) Houston - 31.0%

(2) UCLA - 24.0%

(1) Purdue - 22.0%

(4) Tennessee - 17.6%

(2) Texas - 16.6%

(1) Kansas - 15.8%

(2) Arizona - 14.7%

(4) UConn - 14.4%

(2) Marquette - 14.1%

(3) Gonzaga - 13.3%

(3) Xavier - 10.5%

3 of last season's Final Four teams were among the top 10 on this list, so it's a good idea to grab at least a couple of these when filling out your bracket.

Most Likely Champions

(1) Alabama - 12.6%

(1) Houston - 11.2%

(2) UCLA - 8.4%

(1) Purdue - 6.3%

(4) Tennessee - 5.0%

(2) Texas - 4.7%

(4) UConn - 4.6%

(1) Kansas - 4.4%

(2) Arizona - 4.1%

(3) Gonzaga - 3.6%

(2) Marquette - 3.4%

(3) Xavier - 2.2%

(6) Creighton - 2.1%

Since 2016, one of the top 4 teams on this list has won the tournament every year, including Kansas, who had the third-best odds last year. Alabama's top odds are the lowest of any favorite in as long as I can remember, so there are a lot of teams with a good shot of winning it all.

Most Common Nicknames

Tigers - 5

Wildcats - 4

Bulldogs - 4

Cougars/Catamounts - 3

Bears/Bruins - 2

Wolf Pack/Wolfpack - 2

Aggies - 2

Blue/Sun Devils - 2

Golden Eagles - 2

Hurricanes/Cyclones - 2

Owls - 2

Gaels - 2

Teams by State

Texas - 7

California - 5

Arizona - 3

Iowa - 3

North Carolina - 3

Alabama - 2

Florida - 2

Illinois - 2

Indiana - 2

Kansas - 2

Kentucky - 2

Missouri - 2

New Jersey - 2

New York - 2

Ohio - 2

Pennsylvania - 2

South Carolina - 2

Tennessee - 2

Virginia - 2

Arkansas - 1

Connecticut - 1

District of Columbia - 1

Georgia - 1

Idaho - 1

Louisiana - 1

Maryland - 1

Michigan - 1

Mississippi - 1

Montana - 1

Nebraska - 1

Nevada - 1

Oklahoma - 1

Rhode Island - 1

Utah - 1

Vermont - 1

Washington - 1

Wisconsin - 1

My Picks

First Round Winners

(1) Alabama

(9) West Virginia

(5) San Diego State

(4) Virginia

(6) Creighton

(3) Baylor

(10) Utah State

(2) Arizona

(1) Purdue

(9) FAU

(5) Duke

(4) Tennessee

(6) Kentucky

(3) Kansas State

(7) Michigan State

(2) Marquette

(1) Houston

(9) Auburn

(12) Drake

(13) Kent State

(6) Iowa State

(3) Xavier

(10) Penn State

(2) Texas

(1) Kansas

(9) Illinois

(12) VCU

(4) UConn

(11) Arizona State/Nevada

(3) Gonzaga

(10) Boise State

(2) UCLA

That makes 11 first-round upsets, right in the sweet spot, and nothing too crazy.

Sweet 16

(1) Alabama

(5) San Diego State

(6) Creighton

(10) Utah State

(9) FAU

(5) Duke

(6) Kentucky

(2) Marquette

(1) Houston

(12) Drake

(6) Iowa State

(2) Texas

(1) Kansas

(4) UConn

(3) Gonzaga

(2) UCLA

Only going with 2 Cinderella teams, and I feel like it's a little low, but it's tough to pick another 1 or 2.

Elite Eight

(1) Alabama

(10) Utah State

(9) FAU

(2) Marquette

(1) Houston

(2) Texas

(4) UConn

(3) Gonzaga

Final Four

(1) Alabama

(9) FAU

(2) Texas

(3) Gonzaga

Championship

(1) Alabama

(2) Texas

Champion

(2) Texas

Texas rides the high of winning the conference tournament in the toughest conference in the country to a championship.

NCAA Basketball Rankings - 13 Mar

Houston's loss in the conference title game cost it the top spot going into March Madness, with Alabama finishing the regular season at the top. Texas moved up a couple spots with a strong win over Kansas, and Memphis made a big leap after upsetting Houston. Here are my full current rankings:

Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L
1	2	Alabama	-18.4	29	5
2	1	Houston	-17.81	31	3
3	3	UCLA	-17.26	29	5
4	4	UConn	-16.26	25	8
5	5	Tennessee	-15.71	23	10
6	6	Purdue	-15.62	29	5
7	9	Texas	-15.36	26	8
8	7	Kansas	-15.01	27	7
9	8	Arizona	-14.96	28	6
10	10	Gonzaga	-14.65	28	5
11	12	Marquette	-14.05	28	6
12	11	Creighton	-13.4	21	12
13	14	Xavier	-12.93	25	9
14	13	Saint Mary's	-12.74	26	7
15	15	Baylor	-12.67	22	10
16	16	West Virginia	-12.51	19	14
17	17	Arkansas	-12.43	20	13
18	27	Memphis	-12.3	26	8
19	20	San Diego State	-12.23	27	6
20	22	Utah State	-12.01	26	8
21	19	Maryland	-11.86	21	12
22	21	Auburn	-11.71	20	12
23	18	Kansas State	-11.65	23	9
24	29	Florida Atlantic	-11.61	31	3
25	33	Duke	-11.58	26	8
26	24	Texas A&M	-11.49	25	9
27	25	Indiana	-11.45	22	11
28	23	Iowa State	-11.41	19	13
29	28	TCU	-11.34	21	12
30	26	Kentucky	-10.83	21	11
31	30	Illinois	-10.78	20	12
32	31	Michigan State	-10.49	19	12
33	32	Boise State	-10.48	24	9
34	38	Virginia	-10.48	25	7
35	37	Rutgers	-10.38	19	14
36	34	Iowa	-10.25	19	13
37	39	North Carolina	-10.09	20	13
38	36	Providence	-9.993	21	11
39	35	Miami	-9.872	25	7
40	40	Northwestern	-9.815	21	11
41	46	Iona	-9.764	27	7
42	50	Penn State	-9.697	22	13
43	42	Liberty	-9.63	26	8
44	41	Oklahoma St	-9.6	18	15
45	49	Yale	-9.478	21	8
46	43	USC	-9.381	22	10
47	48	Charleston	-9.273	31	3
48	47	NC State	-9.199	23	10
49	44	Michigan	-9.187	17	15
50	63	VCU	-9.167	27	7
51	57	Ohio State	-9.146	16	19
52	45	Mississippi St	-9.14	21	12
53	51	Nevada	-9.032	22	10
54	55	Cincinnati	-9.007	21	12
55	60	Missouri	-8.785	24	9
56	53	Oregon	-8.656	19	14
57	69	Kent State	-8.635	28	6
58	56	UAB	-8.616	25	9
59	52	New Mexico	-8.603	22	11
60	54	Texas Tech	-8.376	16	16
61	61	Drake	-8.334	27	7
62	68	Clemson	-8.247	23	10
63	59	Oklahoma	-8.227	15	17
64	62	Sam Houston St	-8.131	25	7
65	66	Florida	-8.122	16	16
66	65	Marshall	-8.112	24	8
67	67	Colorado	-8.02	17	16
68	64	Arizona State	-7.915	22	12
69	58	Pittsburgh	-7.866	22	11
70	70	UCF	-7.86	18	14
71	73	Villanova	-7.857	17	16
72	72	Washington St	-7.822	17	16
73	78	Oral Roberts	-7.786	30	4
74	76	North Texas	-7.742	26	7
75	71	Dayton	-7.599	22	12
76	74	Seton Hall	-7.416	17	15
77	77	Wisconsin	-7.279	17	14
78	81	Utah Valley	-7.158	25	8
79	75	Utah	-7.09	17	15
80	79	Virginia Tech	-6.766	19	14
81	80	Hofstra	-6.735	24	9
82	85	Vanderbilt	-6.664	20	14
83	82	Toledo	-6.625	27	7
84	83	Bradley	-6.606	25	9
85	84	BYU	-6.469	19	15
86	86	Furman	-6.355	27	7
87	89	St. John's	-6.206	18	15
88	87	Indiana State	-5.91	22	12
89	88	James Madison	-5.803	22	11
90	90	Wake Forest	-5.785	19	14
91	91	Colgate	-5.63	26	8
92	94	Louisiana	-5.586	26	7
93	93	Southern Miss	-5.472	25	7
94	92	UNLV	-5.462	19	13
95	96	UC Irvine	-5.363	23	11
96	95	Santa Clara	-5.313	23	9
97	101	Stanford	-5.291	14	19
98	102	Vermont	-5.219	23	10
99	103	Saint Louis	-5.063	21	12
100	107	Princeton	-4.838	21	8
101	98	UMass Lowell	-4.837	26	8
102	100	South Alabama	-4.765	19	16
103	97	Tulane	-4.679	20	11
104	99	Nebraska	-4.669	16	16
105	110	Akron	-4.645	22	11
106	104	UNC Greensboro	-4.513	20	12
107	108	San Jose State	-4.448	20	13
108	109	Wichita State	-4.42	17	15
109	122	Grand Canyon	-4.2	24	11
110	111	Montana State	-4.107	25	9
111	105	Youngstown St	-4.097	24	9
112	106	Southern Utah	-3.995	22	12
113	118	UC Santa Barbara	-3.908	27	7
114	112	Towson	-3.849	21	12
115	113	Kennesaw St	-3.833	26	8
116	114	Loyola Marymount	-3.827	19	12
117	121	San Francisco	-3.512	20	14
118	117	Charlotte	-3.487	18	14
119	120	Troy	-3.417	20	13
120	124	Belmont	-3.398	21	11
121	125	Washington	-3.381	16	16
122	123	Ole Miss	-3.363	12	21
123	133	Ohio	-3.341	19	14
124	128	Colorado State	-3.269	15	18
125	127	Penn	-3.223	17	13
126	115	Cornell	-3.203	17	11
127	126	Syracuse	-3.195	17	15
128	119	Temple	-3.097	16	16
129	129	UNC Asheville	-3.095	27	7
130	116	Duquesne	-3.063	20	12
131	130	Eastern Wash	-2.932	22	10
132	132	Southern Illinois	-2.913	23	10
133	131	Stephen F Austin	-2.725	19	13
134	137	Mid Tennessee	-2.706	19	14
135	134	CSU Fullerton	-2.679	20	13
136	136	Fordham	-2.404	25	8
137	138	Hawaii	-2.398	22	11
138	139	Seattle	-2.371	20	12
139	135	Butler	-2.367	14	18
140	140	Lipscomb	-2.285	20	13
141	149	UNC Wilmington	-2.128	24	10
142	148	UC Riverside	-2.082	22	12
143	142	Samford	-2.051	21	11
144	143	Longwood	-1.95	20	12
145	144	Davidson	-1.851	16	16
146	146	Radford	-1.844	19	14
147	147	Missouri State	-1.738	17	15
148	150	Stetson	-1.699	17	13
149	153	Navy	-1.611	18	13
150	141	George Mason	-1.511	20	13
151	159	N Carolina Cent	-1.44	18	12
152	157	Eastern Kentucky	-1.3	20	13
153	168	Norfolk State	-1.285	22	11
154	155	Tarleton	-1.225	17	16
155	169	Utah Tech	-1.188	14	19
156	177	Richmond	-1.177	15	18
157	163	LSU	-1.174	14	19
158	145	Quinnipiac	-1.167	20	12
159	151	UC Davis	-1.148	18	14
160	158	Georgia	-1.084	16	16
161	161	Grambling	-1.075	24	9
162	165	Florida Gulf Coast	-1.045	17	15
163	154	Ball State	-1.042	20	12
164	164	Chattanooga	-0.961	18	17
165	167	Brown	-0.951	14	13
166	156	South Florida	-0.933	14	18
167	170	Harvard	-0.92	14	14
168	166	Air Force	-0.911	14	18
169	179	Texas A&M-CC	-0.898	23	10
170	172	Fresno State	-0.832	11	20
171	152	Long Beach St	-0.824	17	16
172	185	North Kentucky	-0.801	22	12
173	160	South Dakota St	-0.785	19	13
174	182	DePaul	-0.776	10	23
175	173	Bryant	-0.766	17	13
176	162	Montana	-0.734	17	14
177	176	Cal Baptist	-0.684	17	16
178	175	Gardner-Webb	-0.668	15	16
179	178	Old Dominion	-0.453	19	12
180	180	Appalachian St	-0.403	16	16
181	171	Louisiana Tech	-0.362	15	18
182	183	Wright State	-0.332	18	15
183	174	Rider	-0.245	16	14
184	186	Queens	-0.216	18	15
185	184	Georgia Tech	-0.171	15	18
186	187	New Mexico St	-0.132	9	15
187	181	Siena	-0.088	17	15
188	188	Wyoming	-0.086	9	22
189	189	Drexel	-0.022	17	15
190	190	Detroit Mercy	-0.004	14	19
191	191	Portland	0.005	14	19
192	198	Cleveland State	0.0549	21	13
193	194	Notre Dame	0.1511	11	21
194	193	West Kentucky	0.4111	17	16
195	195	Abilene Christian	0.4445	13	17
196	203	Saint Joseph's	0.4682	16	17
197	205	East Carolina	0.5078	16	17
198	199	St. Thomas	0.5196	19	14
199	200	Boston College	0.6194	16	17
200	196	St. Bonaventure	0.6244	14	18
201	197	Northwestern St	0.6292	22	11
202	226	Howard	0.7444	22	12
203	201	UTEP	0.8734	14	18
204	208	Weber State	0.9751	18	15
205	192	UMass	1.0034	15	16
206	207	SMU	1.057	10	22
207	210	Campbell	1.2518	16	18
208	209	Georgia Southern	1.3066	17	16
209	202	Buffalo	1.3256	15	17
210	214	Jacksonville	1.4185	13	16
211	211	Wofford	1.4587	17	16
212	213	Mercer	1.4919	14	19
213	212	Murray State	1.5071	17	15
214	206	Milwaukee	1.5075	21	11
215	215	Northern Iowa	1.5641	14	18
216	216	North Florida	1.6033	14	17
217	218	Fort Wayne	1.6043	17	15
218	204	Rice	1.6848	18	15
219	219	Maryland-E Shore	1.757	18	13
220	220	West Carolina	1.7678	18	15
221	222	SIU-Edwardsville	1.824	19	14
222	224	Pepperdine	1.8419	9	22
223	217	George Washington	1.8426	16	16
224	223	Texas State	1.9711	16	19
225	225	UMBC	1.9756	18	14
226	221	North Dakota St	1.9773	16	17
227	229	Robert Morris	2.1249	16	17
228	228	Army	2.1404	17	16
229	239	North Arizona	2.2282	12	23
230	230	Florida State	2.2582	9	23
231	227	Alcorn State	2.2815	18	13
232	231	Jacksonville St	2.2938	13	18
233	232	Delaware	2.3404	17	16
234	259	La Salle	2.3574	15	19
235	235	Morehead State	2.3943	21	11
236	234	South Carolina	2.4258	11	21
237	241	Minnesota	2.4336	9	22
238	236	SE Missouri St	2.4498	19	16
239	237	Pacific	2.4879	15	18
240	238	S Carolina Upstate	2.5921	16	15
241	240	Winthrop	2.6752	15	17
242	244	North Alabama	2.7609	18	14
243	249	Oregon State	2.8129	11	21
244	256	Niagara	2.8198	16	15
245	247	East Tennessee St	2.9223	12	20
246	243	Sacramento St	2.9475	14	18
247	233	Fairfield	3.0056	13	18
248	253	Bellarmine	3.0551	15	18
249	248	Canisius	3.0642	10	20
250	252	UT Martin	3.1169	19	14
251	254	Southern Indiana	3.1211	16	16
252	242	Georgetown	3.1613	7	25
253	251	Lafayette	3.1698	11	23
254	257	Boston U	3.1803	15	17
255	255	Florida Intl	3.1819	14	18
256	245	SE Louisiana	3.1962	18	14
257	250	Nicholls	3.2049	16	15
258	258	North Colorado	3.2079	12	20
259	260	UT Arlington	3.2937	11	21
260	262	San Diego	3.3937	11	20
261	263	UT Rio Grande	3.4033	15	17
262	261	American	3.4156	17	15
263	264	Portland State	3.4525	12	19
264	246	Southern	3.4947	15	17
265	265	Maine	3.5174	13	17
266	266	Lehigh	3.5832	16	14
267	267	North Illinois	3.8477	13	19
268	270	Dartmouth	4.0275	10	18
269	269	New Hampshire	4.0307	15	15
270	273	Chicago State	4.0619	11	20
271	271	Prairie View A&M	4.1261	13	19
272	272	Idaho State	4.132	11	21
273	275	Western Illinois	4.2435	16	14
274	274	Mt. St. Mary's	4.2542	13	20
275	276	Tennessee Tech	4.2565	16	17
276	268	Rhode Island	4.3967	9	22
277	305	Marist	4.6594	13	20
278	279	Loyola-Chicago	4.7062	10	21
279	282	Fairleigh Dickinson	4.7369	19	15
280	280	North Dakota	4.769	13	20
281	278	Miami (OH)	4.7779	12	20
282	301	Texas Southern	4.7861	14	20
283	281	UL Monroe	4.8056	11	21
284	283	Tennessee St	4.8676	18	14
285	286	Bucknell	4.9226	12	20
286	277	Morgan State	4.9319	15	16
287	284	Oakland	4.9519	13	19
288	285	Wagner	5.0775	15	13
289	287	Coastal Carolina	5.0791	11	20
290	288	Bowling Green	5.2261	11	20
291	289	Charleston South	5.2761	10	21
292	307	Saint Peter's	5.3585	14	18
293	293	Georgia State	5.3634	10	21
294	290	Binghamton	5.3937	13	18
295	292	Merrimack	5.3979	18	16
296	294	Illinois State	5.4117	11	21
297	296	High Point	5.4197	14	17
298	299	Jackson State	5.491	14	19
299	298	Arkansas State	5.4914	13	20
300	291	Manhattan	5.5466	12	18
301	295	California	5.5945	3	29
302	300	UC San Diego	5.6043	10	20
303	302	Valparaiso	5.606	11	21
304	303	Texas A&M-Com	5.7115	13	20
305	297	CSU Bakersfield	5.7568	11	22
306	304	UIC	5.8562	12	20
307	306	N Carolina A&T	6.0284	13	19
308	308	Northeastern	6.2237	10	20
309	321	Cal Poly	6.2515	8	25
310	309	South Dakota	6.2755	12	19
311	312	Idaho	6.3383	10	22
312	310	Sacred Heart	6.3491	16	17
313	311	William & Mary	6.356	13	20
314	313	Denver	6.4017	15	17
315	314	Stonehill	6.5329	14	17
316	315	Loyola (MD)	6.609	13	20
317	317	Ark-Pine Bluff	6.6129	10	21
318	319	Austin Peay	6.7917	9	22
319	318	UMKC	6.8256	11	21
320	320	Alabama A&M	6.9035	15	18
321	316	Louisville	7.0823	4	28
322	325	Little Rock	7.1923	10	21
323	322	West Michigan	7.2112	8	23
324	323	Stony Brook	7.2256	11	22
325	326	NJIT	7.2465	7	23
326	324	Omaha	7.3073	9	23
327	328	The Citadel	7.3106	10	22
328	327	St. Francis (PA)	7.377	13	18
329	330	UT San Antonio	7.4979	10	22
330	329	Tulsa	7.7067	5	25
331	331	Central Conn	7.916	10	22
332	333	Eastern Michigan	8.1428	8	23
333	332	CSU Northridge	8.1944	7	25
334	335	Lindenwood	8.3131	11	21
335	334	McNeese	8.4276	11	23
336	337	Elon	8.607	8	24
337	339	Presbyterian	8.708	5	27
338	338	Incarnate Word	8.7509	12	19
339	340	Central Arkansas	8.7579	9	22
340	336	Coppin State	8.8056	9	23
341	342	Central Michigan	8.9012	10	21
342	343	Eastern Illinois	8.9086	9	22
343	345	Albany	8.9156	8	23
344	344	Holy Cross	8.9635	10	22
345	346	Columbia	9.283	7	22
346	341	South Carolina St	9.4237	5	26
347	347	Bethune-Cookman	9.6376	12	20
348	352	New Orleans	9.8068	12	20
349	349	Alabama State	9.9125	8	23
350	348	St. Francis (BKN)	9.9146	14	16
351	350	Hampton	9.9701	8	24
352	351	VMI	10.09	7	25
353	353	Monmouth	10.36	7	26
354	354	Houston Baptist	10.735	10	22
355	355	Delaware State	11.234	6	24
356	356	Evansville	11.341	5	27
357	357	Miss Valley St	11.343	5	27
358	358	Florida A&M	11.949	7	22
359	359	Lamar	12.02	9	22
360	360	IUPUI	12.755	5	27
361	361	Hartford	14.93	5	23
362	362	Green Bay	15.42	3	29
363	363	Long Island	15.967	3	26