Basketball Predictions - 31 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

Gardner-Webb at Hampton - Pirates by 1

Campbell at Winthrop - Eagles by 18

McMurry at Incarnate Word - Cardinals by 14

Catawba at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 21.5

Radford at Presbyterian - Blue Hose by 2

UNC Asheville at Longwood - Bulldogs by 0.5

Utah State at Air Force - Falcons by 6

(21) Minnesota at (6) Wisconsin - Badgers by 10.5

San Diego at San Francisco - Dons by 24.5

USC Upstate at High Point - Panthers by 19.5

Utah at UCLA - Bruins by 9.5

(16) Michigan at Maryland - Terrapins by 6

Arizona at Washington - Wildcats by 5

Northern Arizona at Idaho - Vandals by 13.5

Boise State at San Jose State - Broncos by 25.5

Nevada at New Mexico - Lobos by 11

California at (21) Oregon - Ducks by 19.5

Colorado at USC - Trojans by 7.5

NBA

Cleveland at Indiana - Pacers by 3.5

Chicago at Washington - Wizards by 0.5

Philadelphia at Orlando - Magic by 2.5

Sacramento at Houston - Kings by 8

New York at Toronto - Knicks by 6

New Orleans at Oklahoma City - Pelicans by 1

Phoenix at Utah - Suns by 6.5

Results

NCAA: 25-16 (.610) 1043-303 overall (.775)

Upsets: 1-7 (.125) 68-120 overall (.362)

NBA: 4-2 (.667) 31-29 overall (.517)

Upsets: 8-9 overall (.471)

NFL Rankings - 30 Dec

There was a lot of fighting over the #2 spot this week, with Green Bay, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans each taking the spot at some point during the weekend, but the Buccaneers ended up in the lead after all the games were played, just a fraction behind Kansas City for the top overall spot. Meanwhile, the Jets moved out of the bottom spot for the first time since September, moving them ahead of the Jaguars, who have lost 14 games in a row. Here are my full current rankings, playoff odds, and playoff picks:

				Actual		Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L	Seed
1	1	Kansas City	-8.154	14	1	15	1	A1
2	3	Tampa Bay	-8.05	10	5	11	5	N5
3	4	New Orleans	-7.694	11	4	12	4	N2
4	5	Green Bay	-6.852	12	3	13	3	N1
5	2	Baltimore	-6.462	10	5	11	5	A5
6	9	Buffalo	-5.915	12	3	13	3	A2
7	10	Seattle	-4.744	11	4	12	4	N3
8	6	LA Rams	-4.62	9	6	10	6	N6
9	7	Pittsburgh	-4.553	12	3	13	3	A3
10	8	Miami	-4.503	10	5	10	6	A7
11	12	Indianapolis	-2.84	10	5	11	5	A6
12	13	Arizona	-2.702	8	7	8	8	OUT
13	11	Tennessee	-1.843	10	5	11	5	A4
14	15	Atlanta	-0.561	4	11	4	12
15	14	Chicago	-0.458	8	7	8	8	N7
16	18	San Francisco	-0.179	6	9	6	10
17	20	Carolina	0.0919	5	10	5	11
18	21	Las Vegas	0.9739	7	8	8	8
19	17	Washington	1.2566	6	9	7	9	N4
20	19	New England	1.7402	6	9	7	9
21	16	Cleveland	2.1556	10	5	10	6	OUT
22	22	Minnesota	2.3518	6	9	7	9
23	24	LA Chargers	3.2195	6	9	6	10
24	23	Philadelphia	4.5238	4.5	10.5	4.5	11.5
25	26	NY Giants	4.6459	5	10	6	10
26	29	Dallas	4.7195	6	9	6	10
27	27	Denver	5.1401	5	10	5	11
28	25	Houston	5.3127	4	11	4	12
29	28	Cincinnati	5.7102	4.5	10.5	4.5	11.5
30	30	Detroit	7.2081	5	10	5	11
31	32	NY Jets	9.9729	2	13	2	14
32	31	Jacksonville	11.107	1	14	1	15

Playoff Odds

AFC 

1. KC - 100.0%

2. BUF - 69.7%, PIT - 30.3%

3. PIT - 69.7%, BUF - 30.3%

4. TEN - 72.7%, IND - 27.3%

5. MIA - 47.4%, BAL - 42.2%, IND - 4.3%, CLE - 4.0%, TEN - 2.1%

6. BAL - 38.5%, IND - 21.2%, CLE - 17.8%, MIA - 12.0%, TEN - 10.5%

7. MIA - 28.7%, CLE - 26.0%, IND - 22.9%, BAL - 13.1%, TEN - 9.3%

Playoff Odds: TEN - 94.6%, BAL - 93.8%, MIA - 88.1%, IND - 75.7%, CLE - 47.8%

NFC

1. GB - 78.8%, NO - 14.5%, SEA - 6.7%

2. NO - 66.3%, SEA - 27.0%, GB - 6.7%

3. SEA - 66.3%, NO - 19.2%, GB - 14.5%

4. WAS - 57.5%, NYG - 21.5%, DAL - 21.0%

5. TB - 82.6%, LAR - 17.4%

6. LAR - 37.7%, AZ - 29.2%, TB - 17.4%, CHI - 15.7%

7. CHI - 55.1%, LAR - 29.2%, AZ - 15.7%

Playoff Odds: LAR - 84.3%, CHI - 70.8%, AZ - 44.9%

Playoff Picks

Wild Card

(2) Bills over (7) Dolphins

(3) Steelers over (6) Colts

(5) Ravens over (4) Titans

(2) Saints over (7) Bears

(3) Seahawks over (6) Rams

(5) Buccaneers over (4) Football Team

Divisional

(1) Chiefs over (5) Ravens

(2) Bills over (3) Steelers

(5) Buccaneers over (1) Packers

(2) Saints over (3) Seahawks

Conference

(1) Chiefs over (2) Bills

(5) Buccaneers over (2) Saints

Super Bowl

(5) Buccaneers over (1) Chiefs

Tampa Bay would be the first team to ever play a Super Bowl in its home stadium.

Basketball Predictions - 30 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

VCU at Saint Joseph's - Rams by 4

Manhattan at Delaware State - Hornets by 15

George Washington at Fordham - Rams by 18

Furman at Chattanooga - Mocs by 4.5

Bowling Green at Ohio - Bobcats by 10

SMU at Temple - Mustangs by 7

Gardner-Webb at Hampton - Bulldogs by 2

Alcorn State at (2) Baylor - Bears by 41

UNC Asheville at Longwood - Lancers by 1

Campbell at Winthrop - Eagles by 23

Fresno State at Colorado State - Rams by 16.5

St. Bonaventure at Rhode Island - Rams by 12.5

Butler at Providence - Friars by 15

Radford at Presbyterian - Blue Hose by 2

(23) Virginia at Notre Dame - Cavaliers by 6

George Mason at UMass - Minutemen by 20

USC Upstate at High Point - Panthers by 22

Nebraska at (25) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 16.5

Newman at Wichita State - Shockers by 27

Seton Hall at Xavier - Musketeers by 7.5

Tulane at UCF - Knights by 16

Duquesne at Saint Louis - Billikens by 19.5

La Salle at Dayton - Flyers by 12

Richmond at Davidson - Wildcats by 3.5

Mississippi State at Georgia - UGA Bulldogs by 11.5

Arkansas at Auburn - Tigers by 2

Murray State at Belmont - Bruins by 7

Western Carolina at East Tennessee State - Buccaneers by 2

UNC Greensboro at Citadel - Bulldogs by 7

Champion Christian at McNeese - Cowboys by 23

North Carolina at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 0.5

Boston College at NC State - Wolfpack by 20

Dallas Christian at Houston Baptist - Huskies by 15

Eastern Illinois at Eastern Kentucky - Colonels by 10

Austin Peay at Tennessee State - Tigers by 1

Prairie View A&M at TCU - Horned Frogs by 18

VMI at Samford - Bulldogs by 11

Penn State at Indiana - Hoosiers by 10.5

UT Martin at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 18.5

(7) Tennessee at (12) Missouri - Tigers by 9

DePaul at UConn - Huskies by 11.5

Portland at Seattle - Redhawks by 13.5

Florida at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 0.5

SE Missouri State at Tennessee Tech - Golden Eagles by 6

Sacramento State at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 6

NBA

Memphis at Boston - Celtics by 4.5

Atlanta at Brooklyn - Nets by 2.5

Milwaukee at Miami - Bucks by 10.5

Charlotte at Dallas - Mavericks by 8.5

LA Lakers at San Antonio - Lakers by 8

Portland at LA Clippers - Clippers by 4.5

Results

NCAA: 16-5 (.762) 1018-287 overall (.780)

Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 67-113 overall (.372)

NBA: 4-6 (.400) 27-27 overall (.500)

Upsets: 0-3 (.000) 8-9 overall (.471)

Basketball Predictions - 29 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

Northeastern at (9) West Virginia - Mountaineers by 15

Central Arkansas at (2) Baylor - Bears by 27.5

Miami at (24) Virginia Tech - Hokies by 14

Incarnate Word at (13) Texas Tech - Red Raiders by 28.5

Purdue at (14) Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 13

(18) Florida State at Clemson - Tigers by 14

Santa Clara at USC - Trojans by 21.5

South Florida at Memphis - Tigers by 10

Coppin State at Rider - Broncs by 8.5

Texas A&M at LSU - Tigers by 16.5

Wofford at Mercer - Bears by 10.5

Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 11

Mary Hardn Bylr at Sam Houston State - Bearkats by 25

Champion Christian at McNeese - Cowboys by 22

Dallas Christian at Abilene Christian - Wildcats by 30

Freed-Hardeman at Lipscomb - Bisons by 18

SE Louisiana at Lamar - Lions by 1

Omaha at Kansas State - Wildcats by 3

Dixie State at (1) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 29.5

(5) Houston at Tulsa - Cougars by 1

(19) Northwestern at (10) Iowa - Hawkeyes by 12

Ole Miss at Alabama - Rebels by 0.5

NBA

New York at Cleveland - Cavaliers by 6.5

Golden State at Detroit - Pistons by 3.5

Boston at Indiana - Pacers by 7.5

Toronto at Philadelphia - 76ers by 4

Chicago at Washington - Wizards by 4

Milwaukee at Miami - Heat by 2

Orlando at Oklahoma City - Magic by 4

New Orleans at Phoenix - Suns by 3.5

Minnesota at LA Clippers - Clippers by 5.5

Denver at Sacramento - Nuggets by 0.5

Results

NCAA: 13-6 (.684) 1002-282 overall (.780)

Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 66-111 overall (.373)

NBA: 2-3 (.400) 23-21 overall (.523)

Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 8-6 overall (.571)

Basketball Predictions - 28 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

UMass Lowell at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 7.5

Hartford at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 9.5

Binghamton at UMBC - Retrievers by 21.5

Canisius at Monmouth - Hawks by 10.5

NJIT at Vermont - Catamounts by 6.5

Loyola New Orleans at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 15.5

New Mexico State at CSU Northridge - Aggies by 10

Drake at Indiana State - Bulldogs by 8.5

Evansville at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 18.5

Maryland at (9) Wisconsin - Badgers by 12

Illinois State at Loyola Chicago - Ramblers by 15.5

Carver at Troy - Trojans by 19

UC Santa Barbara at UC Irvine - Anteaters by 7

(12) Michigan State at Minnesota - Gophers by 12

Missouri State at Northern Iowa - Bears by 0.5

Fresno State at Colorado State - Rams by 9

Northern Arizona at (1) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 41

Colorado at Arizona - Wildcats by 0.5

NBA

Detroit at Atlanta - Hawks by 13

Memphis at Brooklyn - Nets by 17.5

Utah at Oklahoma City - Jazz by 6.5

Houston at Denver - Rockets by 3

Portland at LA Lakers - Lakers by 14

Results

NCAA: 15-3 (.833) 989-276 overall (.782)

Upsets: 2-0 (1.000) 65-110 overall (.371)

NBA: 4-6 (.400) 21-18 overall (.538)

Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 8-5 overall (.615)

Basketball Predictions - 27 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

Drake at Indiana State - Bulldogs by 8.5

Youngstown State at Cleveland State - Vikings by 11

Hartford at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 8

Binghamton at UMBC - Retrievers by 28.5

Canisius at Monmouth - Hawks by 5

Olivet at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 20

Green Bay at Wright State - Raiders by 23.5

UMass Lowell at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 1.5

Carver at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 27.5

NJIT at Vermont - Catamounts by 6.5

Oakland at Detroit Mercy - Titans by 5.5

Alcorn State at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 14.5

Evansville at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 24

Illinois State at Loyola Chicago - Ramblers by 11

Missouri State at Northern Iowa - Panthers by 4.5

DePaul at Providence - Friars by 13.5

Robert Morris at Purdue Fort Wayne - Colonials by 5

UC Santa Barbara at UC Irvine - Anteaters by 2.5

NBA

Dallas at LA Clippers - Clippers by 8.5

Brooklyn at Charlotte - Nets by 24

Orlando at Washington - Magic by 10

San Antonio at New Orleans - Spurs by 3

Philadelphia at Cleveland - 76ers by 8

Milwaukee at New York - Bucks by 22

Boston at Indiana - Pacers by 5

Golden State at Chicago - Bulls by 0.5

Phoenix at Sacramento - Suns by 2.5

Minnesota at LA Lakers - Lakers by 8

Results

NCAA: 8-4 (.667) 974-273 overall (.781)

Upsets: 2-1 (.667) 63-110 overall (.364)

NBA: 7-3 (.700) 17-12 overall (.586)

Upsets: 5-1 (.833) 7-3 overall (.700)

Basketball Predictions - 26 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

(6) Houston at UCF - Knights by 2.5

Kentucky at Louisville - Cardinals by 15

Youngstown State at Cleveland State - Vikings by 11

(23) Ohio State at Northwestern - Wildcats by 6

Coppin State at Towson - Tigers by 15.5

Nicholls at LSU - Tigers by 24

(16) Virginia vs. (1) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 4.5

Indiana at (18) Illinois - Illini by 12

Oakland at Detroit Mercy - Titans by 8.5

Norfolk State at George Mason - Patriots by 10

Green Bay at Wright State - Raiders by 28

Robert Morris at Purdue Fort Wayne - Mastodons by 4

NBA

Atlanta at Memphis - Hawks by 16

Oklahoma City at Charlotte - Thunder by 6.5

Cleveland at Detroit - Cavaliers by 5

Orlando at Washington - Magic by 5

Philadelphia at New York - 76ers by 7.5

Indiana at Chicago - Pacers by 17.5

Toronto at San Antonio - Spurs by 9

Minnesota at Utah - Jazz by 12.5

Houston at Portland - Rockets by 9.5

Phoenix at Sacramento - Suns by 2.5

Results

NCAA: 3-1 (.750) 966-269 overall (.782)

Upsets: 61-109 overall (.359)

NBA: 4-1 (.800) 10-9 overall (.526)

Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 2-2 overall (.500)

Fantasy Football Rankings - Week 16

	Quarterbacks
1	Aaron Rodgers	GB
2	Patrick Mahomes	KC
3	Tom Brady	TB
4	Baker Mayfield	CLE
5	Josh Allen	BUF
6	Lamar Jackson	BAL
7	Ryan Tannehill	TEN
8	DeShaun Watson	HOU
9	Kyler Murray	AZ
10	Matthew Stafford	DET
11	Justin Herbert	LAC
12	Mitchell Trubisky	CHI
13	Matt Ryan	ATL
14	Andy Dalton	DAL
15	Ben Roethlisberger	PIT
16	Kirk Cousins	MIN
17	Drew Brees	NO
18	CJ Beathard	SF
19	Jalen Hurts	PHI
20	Russell Wilson	SEA
21	Jared Goff	LAR
22	Philip Rivers	IND
23	Drew Lock	DEN
24	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA
25	Cam Newton	NE

 

	Running Backs		Flex
1	David Montgomery	CHI	1
2	Derrick Henry	TEN	2
3	Dalvin Cook	MIN	5
4	Alvin Kamara	NO	6
5	Miles Sanders	PHI	7
6	Aaron Jones	GB	8
7	Nick Chubb	CLE	9
8	Leonard Fournette	TB	12
9	James Robinson	JAX	13
10	Jonathan Taylor	IND	18
11	Darrell Henderson Jr.	LAR	19
12	Melvin Gordon III	DEN	20
13	Austin Ekeler	LAC	22
14	Kenyan Drake	AZ	27
15	Chris Carson	SEA	28
16	Antonio Gibson	WAS	29
17	Jeff Wilson Jr.	SF	36
18	JK Dobbins	BAL	37
19	Le'Veon Bell	KC	38
20	Giovani Bernard	CIN	40
21	Josh Jacobs	LV	42
22	Wayne Gallman Jr.	NYG	44
23	D'Andre Swift	DET	45
24	Ezekiel Elliott	DAL	46
25	Kareem Hunt	CLE	48
26	David Johnson	HOU	49
27	Latavius Murray	NO	50
28	Tony Pollard	DAL	51
29	Salvon Ahmed	MIA	52
30	Devin Singletary	BUF	54
31	Mike Davis	CAR	58
32	James Conner	PIT
33	Myles Gaskin	MIA
34	Frank Gore	NYJ
35	Chase Edmonds	AZ
36	Ty Johnson	NYJ
37	Zack Moss	BUF
38	Damien Harris	NE
39	Gus Edwards	BAL
40	Ito Smith	ATL
41	JD McKissic	WAS
42	Nyheim Hines	IND
43	Phillip Lindsay	DEN
44	Jamaal Williams	GB
45	Malcolm Brown	LAR
46	Benny Snell Jr.	PIT
47	James White	NE
48	Carlos Hyde	SEA
49	Peyton Barber	WAS
50	Kalen Ballage	LAC

 

	Wide Receivers		Flex
1	Tyreek Hill	KC	3
2	Davante Adams	GB	4
3	Allen Robinson II	CHI	11
4	Marvin Jones Jr.	DET	14
5	Mike Evans	TB	15
6	Brandon Aiyuk	SF	16
7	DeAndre Hopkins	AZ	17
8	AJ Brown	TEN	21
9	Stefon Diggs	BUF	23
10	Calvin Ridley	ATL	24
11	Corey Davis	TEN	25
12	Diontae Johnson	PIT	30
13	DJ Moore	CAR	31
14	Chris Godwin	TB	32
15	Amari Cooper	DAL	33
16	Jarvis Landry	CLE	34
17	Nelson Agholor	LV	35
18	Justin Jefferson	MIN	39
19	Keenan Allen	LAC	41
20	DK Metcalf	SEA	43
21	Adam Thielen	MIN	47
22	Cole Beasley	BUF	53
23	Robert Woods	LAR	55
24	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	56
25	TY Hilton	IND	57
26	Emmanuel Sanders	NO	59
27	Antonio Brown	TB	60
28	Terry McLaurin	WAS	62
29	DeVante Parker	MIA	63
30	Chase Claypool	PIT	67
31	Brandin Cooks	HOU	68
32	Robby Anderson	CAR	69
33	Tyler Boyd	CIN	71
34	Curtis Samuel	CAR	72
35	Tee Higgins	CIN	73
36	Julio Jones	ATL	74
37	Keke Coutee	HOU	75
38	Cooper Kupp	LAR
39	Darnell Mooney	CHI
40	JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT
41	Michael Gallup	DAL
42	Chad Hansen	HOU
43	Tyler Lockett	SEA
44	Rashard Higgins	CLE
45	Tim Patrick	DEN
46	Marquise Brown	BAL
47	AJ Green	CIN
48	Russell Gage	ATL
49	Jamison Crowder	NYJ
50	Kendrick Bourne	SF

 

	Tight Ends		Flex
1	Travis Kelce	KC	10
2	Darren Waller	LV	26
3	Logan Thomas	WAS	61
4	Austin Hooper	CLE	64
5	Mark Andrews	BAL	65
6	Robert Tonyan	GB	66
7	Mike Gesicki	MIA	70
8	TJ Hockenson	DET
9	Noah Fant	DEN
10	George Kittle	SF
11	Tyler Eifert	JAX
12	Dallas Goedert	PHI
13	Hayden Hurst	ATL
14	Chris Herndon	NYJ
15	Rob Gronkowski	TB
16	Tyler Higbee	LAR
17	Eric Ebron	PIT
18	Dalton Schultz	DAL
19	Jared Cook	NO
20	Dan Arnold	AZ

 

	Kickers
1	Younghoe Koo	ATL
2	Ka'imi Fairbairn	HOU
3	Cairo Santos	CHI
4	Mike Nugent	AZ
5	Jason Sanders	MIA
6	Harrison Butker	KC
7	Justin Tucker	BAL
8	Cody Parkey	CLE
9	Jason Myers	SEA
10	Greg Zuerlein	DAL
11	Rodrigo Blankenship	IND
12	Stephen Gostkowski	TEN
13	Michael Badgley	LAC
14	Joey Slye	CAR
15	Daniel Carlson	LV

 

	Defenses
1	New Orleans
2	Baltimore
3	Cleveland
4	Houston
5	Chicago
6	Buffalo
7	Washington
8	Miami
9	Arizona
10	Seattle
11	Indianapolis
12	Dallas
13	Carolina
14	Tampa Bay
15	LA Rams