There was a lot of fighting over the #2 spot this week, with Green Bay, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans each taking the spot at some point during the weekend, but the Buccaneers ended up in the lead after all the games were played, just a fraction behind Kansas City for the top overall spot. Meanwhile, the Jets moved out of the bottom spot for the first time since September, moving them ahead of the Jaguars, who have lost 14 games in a row. Here are my full current rankings, playoff odds, and playoff picks:
|
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|
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|
Actual |
Proj |
|
||
|
Rank |
LW |
Team |
Rating |
W |
L |
W |
L |
Seed |
|
1 |
1 |
Kansas City |
-8.154 |
14 |
1 |
15 |
1 |
A1 |
|
2 |
3 |
Tampa Bay |
-8.05 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
5 |
N5 |
|
3 |
4 |
New Orleans |
-7.694 |
11 |
4 |
12 |
4 |
N2 |
|
4 |
5 |
Green Bay |
-6.852 |
12 |
3 |
13 |
3 |
N1 |
|
5 |
2 |
Baltimore |
-6.462 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
5 |
A5 |
|
6 |
9 |
Buffalo |
-5.915 |
12 |
3 |
13 |
3 |
A2 |
|
7 |
10 |
Seattle |
-4.744 |
11 |
4 |
12 |
4 |
N3 |
|
8 |
6 |
LA Rams |
-4.62 |
9 |
6 |
10 |
6 |
N6 |
|
9 |
7 |
Pittsburgh |
-4.553 |
12 |
3 |
13 |
3 |
A3 |
|
10 |
8 |
Miami |
-4.503 |
10 |
5 |
10 |
6 |
A7 |
|
11 |
12 |
Indianapolis |
-2.84 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
5 |
A6 |
|
12 |
13 |
Arizona |
-2.702 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
OUT |
|
13 |
11 |
Tennessee |
-1.843 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
5 |
A4 |
|
14 |
15 |
Atlanta |
-0.561 |
4 |
11 |
4 |
12 |
|
|
15 |
14 |
Chicago |
-0.458 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
N7 |
|
16 |
18 |
San Francisco |
-0.179 |
6 |
9 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
17 |
20 |
Carolina |
0.0919 |
5 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
|
|
18 |
21 |
Las Vegas |
0.9739 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
|
|
19 |
17 |
Washington |
1.2566 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
9 |
N4 |
|
20 |
19 |
New England |
1.7402 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
21 |
16 |
Cleveland |
2.1556 |
10 |
5 |
10 |
6 |
OUT |
|
22 |
22 |
Minnesota |
2.3518 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
23 |
24 |
LA Chargers |
3.2195 |
6 |
9 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
24 |
23 |
Philadelphia |
4.5238 |
4.5 |
10.5 |
4.5 |
11.5 |
|
|
25 |
26 |
NY Giants |
4.6459 |
5 |
10 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
26 |
29 |
Dallas |
4.7195 |
6 |
9 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
27 |
27 |
Denver |
5.1401 |
5 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
|
|
28 |
25 |
Houston |
5.3127 |
4 |
11 |
4 |
12 |
|
|
29 |
28 |
Cincinnati |
5.7102 |
4.5 |
10.5 |
4.5 |
11.5 |
|
|
30 |
30 |
Detroit |
7.2081 |
5 |
10 |
5 |
11 |
|
|
31 |
32 |
NY Jets |
9.9729 |
2 |
13 |
2 |
14 |
|
|
32 |
31 |
Jacksonville |
11.107 |
1 |
14 |
1 |
15 |
|
Playoff Odds
AFC
1. KC - 100.0%
2. BUF - 69.7%, PIT - 30.3%
3. PIT - 69.7%, BUF - 30.3%
4. TEN - 72.7%, IND - 27.3%
5. MIA - 47.4%, BAL - 42.2%, IND - 4.3%, CLE - 4.0%, TEN - 2.1%
6. BAL - 38.5%, IND - 21.2%, CLE - 17.8%, MIA - 12.0%, TEN - 10.5%
7. MIA - 28.7%, CLE - 26.0%, IND - 22.9%, BAL - 13.1%, TEN - 9.3%
Playoff Odds: TEN - 94.6%, BAL - 93.8%, MIA - 88.1%, IND - 75.7%, CLE - 47.8%
NFC
1. GB - 78.8%, NO - 14.5%, SEA - 6.7%
2. NO - 66.3%, SEA - 27.0%, GB - 6.7%
3. SEA - 66.3%, NO - 19.2%, GB - 14.5%
4. WAS - 57.5%, NYG - 21.5%, DAL - 21.0%
5. TB - 82.6%, LAR - 17.4%
6. LAR - 37.7%, AZ - 29.2%, TB - 17.4%, CHI - 15.7%
7. CHI - 55.1%, LAR - 29.2%, AZ - 15.7%
Playoff Odds: LAR - 84.3%, CHI - 70.8%, AZ - 44.9%
Playoff Picks
Wild Card
(2) Bills over (7) Dolphins
(3) Steelers over (6) Colts
(5) Ravens over (4) Titans
(2) Saints over (7) Bears
(3) Seahawks over (6) Rams
(5) Buccaneers over (4) Football Team
Divisional
(1) Chiefs over (5) Ravens
(2) Bills over (3) Steelers
(5) Buccaneers over (1) Packers
(2) Saints over (3) Seahawks
Conference
(1) Chiefs over (2) Bills
(5) Buccaneers over (2) Saints
Super Bowl
(5) Buccaneers over (1) Chiefs
Tampa Bay would be the first team to ever play a Super Bowl in its home stadium.
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