Wednesday, December 30, 2020

NFL Rankings - 30 Dec

There was a lot of fighting over the #2 spot this week, with Green Bay, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans each taking the spot at some point during the weekend, but the Buccaneers ended up in the lead after all the games were played, just a fraction behind Kansas City for the top overall spot. Meanwhile, the Jets moved out of the bottom spot for the first time since September, moving them ahead of the Jaguars, who have lost 14 games in a row. Here are my full current rankings, playoff odds, and playoff picks:

 

 

 

 

Actual

Proj

 

Rank

LW

Team

Rating

W

L

W

L

Seed

1

1

Kansas City

-8.154

14

1

15

1

A1

2

3

Tampa Bay

-8.05

10

5

11

5

N5

3

4

New Orleans

-7.694

11

4

12

4

N2

4

5

Green Bay

-6.852

12

3

13

3

N1

5

2

Baltimore

-6.462

10

5

11

5

A5

6

9

Buffalo

-5.915

12

3

13

3

A2

7

10

Seattle

-4.744

11

4

12

4

N3

8

6

LA Rams

-4.62

9

6

10

6

N6

9

7

Pittsburgh

-4.553

12

3

13

3

A3

10

8

Miami

-4.503

10

5

10

6

A7

11

12

Indianapolis

-2.84

10

5

11

5

A6

12

13

Arizona

-2.702

8

7

8

8

OUT

13

11

Tennessee

-1.843

10

5

11

5

A4

14

15

Atlanta

-0.561

4

11

4

12

 

15

14

Chicago

-0.458

8

7

8

8

N7

16

18

San Francisco

-0.179

6

9

6

10

 

17

20

Carolina

0.0919

5

10

5

11

 

18

21

Las Vegas

0.9739

7

8

8

8

 

19

17

Washington

1.2566

6

9

7

9

N4

20

19

New England

1.7402

6

9

7

9

 

21

16

Cleveland

2.1556

10

5

10

6

OUT

22

22

Minnesota

2.3518

6

9

7

9

 

23

24

LA Chargers

3.2195

6

9

6

10

 

24

23

Philadelphia

4.5238

4.5

10.5

4.5

11.5

 

25

26

NY Giants

4.6459

5

10

6

10

 

26

29

Dallas

4.7195

6

9

6

10

 

27

27

Denver

5.1401

5

10

5

11

 

28

25

Houston

5.3127

4

11

4

12

 

29

28

Cincinnati

5.7102

4.5

10.5

4.5

11.5

 

30

30

Detroit

7.2081

5

10

5

11

 

31

32

NY Jets

9.9729

2

13

2

14

 

32

31

Jacksonville

11.107

1

14

1

15

 

Playoff Odds

AFC 

1. KC - 100.0%

2. BUF - 69.7%, PIT - 30.3%

3. PIT - 69.7%, BUF - 30.3%

4. TEN - 72.7%, IND - 27.3%

5. MIA - 47.4%, BAL - 42.2%, IND - 4.3%, CLE - 4.0%, TEN - 2.1%

6. BAL - 38.5%, IND - 21.2%, CLE - 17.8%, MIA - 12.0%, TEN - 10.5%

7. MIA - 28.7%, CLE - 26.0%, IND - 22.9%, BAL - 13.1%, TEN - 9.3%

Playoff Odds: TEN - 94.6%, BAL - 93.8%, MIA - 88.1%, IND - 75.7%, CLE - 47.8%


NFC

1. GB - 78.8%, NO - 14.5%, SEA - 6.7%

2. NO - 66.3%, SEA - 27.0%, GB - 6.7%

3. SEA - 66.3%, NO - 19.2%, GB - 14.5%

4. WAS - 57.5%, NYG - 21.5%, DAL - 21.0%

5. TB - 82.6%, LAR - 17.4%

6. LAR - 37.7%, AZ - 29.2%, TB - 17.4%, CHI - 15.7%

7. CHI - 55.1%, LAR - 29.2%, AZ - 15.7%

Playoff Odds: LAR - 84.3%, CHI - 70.8%, AZ - 44.9%


Playoff Picks

Wild Card

(2) Bills over (7) Dolphins

(3) Steelers over (6) Colts

(5) Ravens over (4) Titans

(2) Saints over (7) Bears

(3) Seahawks over (6) Rams

(5) Buccaneers over (4) Football Team


Divisional

(1) Chiefs over (5) Ravens

(2) Bills over (3) Steelers

(5) Buccaneers over (1) Packers

(2) Saints over (3) Seahawks


Conference

(1) Chiefs over (2) Bills

(5) Buccaneers over (2) Saints


Super Bowl

(5) Buccaneers over (1) Chiefs


Tampa Bay would be the first team to ever play a Super Bowl in its home stadium.

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