Thursday, May 14, 2015

Predictions - 14 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Cleveland at Chicago - Bulls by 1
Houston at LA Clippers - Clippers by 8

MLB

St. Louis at Cleveland - Cardinals by 2.8
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia - Phillies by 0.5
Minnesota at Detroit - Twins by 2.2
Kansas City at Texas - Royals by 3.2
NY Mets at Chi Cubs - Mets by 2.9
San Francisco at Cincinnati - Giants by 0.6
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay - Yankees by 1.0
Toronto at Houston - Blue Jays by 0.1
Boston at Seattle - Mariners by 0.7
Colorado at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 2.8
Washington at San Diego - Nationals by 0.6

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 2-0 (1.000) 41-20 overall (.672)
MLB: 5-10 (.333)
Upsets: 2-3 (.400)

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Predictions - 13 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Washington at Atlanta - Hawks by 6
Memphis at Golden State - Warriors by 10

MLB

Boston at Oakland - Athletics by 4.3
Washington at Arizona - Nationals by 1.8
St. Louis at Cleveland - Cardinals by 3.2
Toronto at Baltimore - Blue Jays by 0.3
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia - Pirates by 1.3
Minnesota at Detroit - Tigers by 2.0
Atlanta at Cincinnati - Braves by 1.3
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay - Yankees by 0.7
Miami at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 4.3
NY Mets at Chi Cubs - Mets by 0.4
Kansas City at Texas - Royals by 2.1
Chi White Sox at Milwaukee - White Sox by 0.8
San Francisco at Houston - Astros by 0.8
Colorado at LA Angels - Angels by 0.8
San Diego at Seattle - Padres by 1.4

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 1-1 (.500) 39-20 overall (.661)

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

NBA Playoff Odds - 12 May

4 days ago we had 4 series tied at 1-1 heading to the home court of the lower seeds for a pair of games. Only one of those lower seeds held home court, while the other 3 allowed the higher seed to retake home court advantage, giving us 3 3-game series. Here are each team's updated odds of advancing through the playoffs:

Odds of Winning Second Round

1. Clippers - 97.8% (+19.5)
2. Warriors - 87.2% (+0.0)
3. Hawks - 74.3% (+3.4)
4. Cavaliers - 60.0% (+7.0)
5. Bulls - 40.0% (-7.0)
6. Wizards - 25.7% (-3.4)
7. Grizzlies - 12.8% (-0.0)
8. Rockets - 2.2% (-19.5)

Houston's inability to win in LA cost them big this week, because now they must win 3 games in a row against the hottest team in the league, one of those in LA. It's not looking good for the Beard.

Odds of Making NBA Finals

1. Warriors - 54.1% (-10.9)
2. Clippers - 44.4% (+15.4)
3. Cavaliers - 38.3% (+4.0)
4. Hawks - 35.2% (+1.9)
5. Bulls - 22.4% (-5.0)
6. Wizards - 4.1% (-0.9)
7. Grizzlies - 1.3% (-1.4)

Houston's already slim odds of making the Finals disappeared on Sunday, since they would need to win 3 straight games against the league's #2 team, followed by 4 out of 7 against the league's best team just to get there.

Odds of Winning NBA Finals

1. Warriors - 46.7% (-9.3)
2. Clippers - 35.4% (+14.5)
3. Cavaliers - 7.9% (-0.6)
4. Hawks - 5.9% (-0.7)
5. Bulls - 3.4% (-2.0)

We are down to 5 teams with a real chance of winning it all, and the odds for the Eastern Conference teams are all pretty slim. Odds of a team from California taking home the title: 82.1%. Number of times a team from California other than the Lakers has won a title: 1 (Golden State - 1975).

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Chicago at Cleveland - Cavaliers by 3
LA Clippers at Houston - Clippers by 4

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 2-0 (1.000) 38-19 overall (.667)

Monday, May 11, 2015

Predictions - 11 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Atlanta at Washington - Hawks by 1
Golden State at Memphis - Warriors by 4

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 1-1 (.500) 36-19 overall (.655)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 2-2 overall (.500)

Sunday, May 10, 2015

Predictions - 10 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Cleveland at Chicago - Bulls by 1
Houston at LA Clippers - Clippers by 7

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 0-2 (.000) 35-18 overall (.660)

Saturday, May 9, 2015

Predictions - 9 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Atlanta at Washington - Hawks by 1
Golden State at Memphis - Warriors by 5

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 2-0 (1.000) 35-16 overall (.686)

Friday, May 8, 2015

Predictions - 8 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Cleveland at Chicago - Bulls by 1
Houston at LA Clippers - Clippers by 6