Predictions - 20 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Cleveland at Atlanta - Hawks by 1

MLB

Oakland at Houston - Astros by 3.1
Texas at Boston - Red Sox by 1.0
Seattle at Baltimore - Mariners by 1.4
NY Yankees at Washington - Yankees by 0.7
Minnesota at Pittsburgh - Twins by 1.9
LA Angels at Toronto - Blue Jays by 1.4
Milwaukee at Detroit - Brewers by 0.1
Tampa Bay at Atlanta - Rays by 1.5
Saint Louis at NY Mets - Cardinals by 0.4
Arizona at Miami - Marlins by 1.1
Cleveland at Chi Sox - White Sox by 1.1
Cincinnati at Kansas City - Royals by 4.2
Philadelphia at Colorado - Rockies by 2.2
Chi Cubs at San Diego - Padres by 1.2
LA Dodgers at San Francisco - Giants by 0.8

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 1-0 (1.000) 44-23 overall (.657)
MLB: 5-10 (.333) 35-58 overall (.376)
Upsets: 0-3 (.000) 10-20 overall (.333)

NBA Playoff Odds - 19 May

There are now just 4 teams remaining in the NBA Playoffs, and they happen to be the top 4 seeds overall. Houston was able to make an amazing comeback from a 3-1 deficit in the second round to upset the Clippers, but now they must face the top-seeded Warriors without the benefit of home court advantage. Here are the updated odds of each remaining team advancing:

Odds of Making NBA Finals

1. Warriors - 94.0% (+39.9)
2. Cavaliers - 61.0% (+22.7)
3. Hawks - 39.0% (+3.8)
4. Rockets - 6.0% (+6.0)

A week ago I said Houston odds were basically at zero, but three straight wins gave them a small chance to advance to the next round.

Odds of Winning NBA Finals

1. Warriors - 81.0% (+34.3)
2. Cavaliers - 12.2% (+4.3)
3. Hawks - 4.9% (-1.0)
4. Rockets - 2.0% (+2.0)

No one was happier than Golden State to see the Clippers go down in Houston on Sunday, since the two teams have a well-known rivalry in recent years. Golden State should coast to the title, although bigger odds have been overcome in just the last week.

Playoff Picks

Conference Finals

Warriors over Rockets in 5
Cavaliers over Hawks in 7

NBA Finals

Warriors over Cavaliers in 6

I've only picked 2 series wrong so far, and both involved the Clippers, who I picked to lose in the first round, then picked to win in the second round. They have been replaced by Houston here in a shorter series for Golden State, with no other changes from before.

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Houston at Golden State - Warriors by 9

MLB

Seattle at Baltimore - Orioles by 3.5
NY Yankees at Washington - Nationals by 1.0
Minnesota at Pittsburgh - Pirates by 0.4
LA Angels at Toronto - Blue Jays by 0.4
Milwaukee at Detroit - Tigers by 1.4
Arizona at Miami - Marlins by 1.3
Texas at Boston - Rangers by 1.4
Tampa Bay at Atlanta - Rays by 1.6
Saint Louis at NY Mets - Cardinals by 1.2
Cleveland at Chi Sox - White Sox by 1.0
Cincinnati at Kansas City - Royals by 0.6
Oakland at Houston - Athletics by 1.6
Philadelphia at Colorado - Phillies by 0.1
Chi Cubs at San Diego - Cubs by 0.7
LA Dodgers at San Francisco - Dodgers by 2.2

Prediction Results

MLB: 3-4 (.429) 30-48 overall (.385)
Upsets: 2-2 (.500) 10-17 overall (.370)

Predictions - 18 May

Upset picks are in italics.

MLB

LA Angels at Toronto - Blue Jays by 0.6
Saint Louis at NY Mets - Cardinals by 0.9
Milwaukee at Detroit - Tigers by 3.3
Arizona at Miami - Diamondbacks by 1.5
Cleveland at Chi Sox - White Sox by 0.1
Oakland at Houston - Astros by 1.8
Philadelphia at Colorado - Rockies by 0.5

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 0-1 (.000) 43-23 overall (.652)
MLB: 5-10 (.333) 27-44 overall (.380)
Upsets: 2-5 (.286) 8-15 overall (.348)

Predictions - 17 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

LA Clippers at Houston - Clippers by 2

MLB

San Francisco at Cincinnati - Giants by 0.1
Milwaukee at NY Mets - Brewers by 1.4
Atlanta at Miami - Braves by 3.3
Arizona at Philadelphia - Diamondbacks by 2.5
LA Angels at Baltimore - Angels by 0.3
NY Yankees at Kansas City - Royals by 1.6
Tampa Bay at Minnesota - Twins by 0.5
Toronto at Houston - Astros by 0.6
Pittsburgh at Chi Cubs - Cubs by 0.2
Cleveland at Texas - Indians by 0.1
Chi Sox at Oakland - Athletics by 1.1
Boston at Seattle - Red Sox by 1.5
Colorado at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 5.1
Washington at San Diego - Padres by 0.2
Detroit at Saint Louis - Tigers by 0.4

Prediction Results

MLB: 6-9 (.400) 22-34 overall (.393)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 6-10 overall (.375)

Predictions - 16 May

Upset picks are in italics.

MLB

Atlanta at Miami - Marlins by 1.0
Tampa Bay at Minnesota - Twins by 0.2
Detroit at Saint Louis - Tigers by 0.2
Pittsburgh at Chi Cubs - Pirates by 0.3
LA Angels at Baltimore - Orioles by 2.4
Arizona at Philadelphia - Diamondbacks by 2.1
NY Yankees at Kansas City - Royals by 0.5
San Francisco at Cincinnati - Reds by 0.3
Toronto at Houston - Astros by 0.3
Milwaukee at NY Mets - Mets by 0.5
Cleveland at Texas - Indians by 1.4
Washington at San Diego - Nationals by 1.3
Chi Sox at Oakland - Athletics by 2.0
Boston at Seattle - Mariners by 0.9
Colorado at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 5.9

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 2-0 (1.000) 43-22 overall (.662)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 3-2 overall (.600)
MLB: 8-7 (.533) 16-25 overall (.390)
Upsets: 3-2 (.600) 6-9 overall (.400)

Predictions - 15 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Atlanta at Washington - Hawks by 1
Golden State at Memphis - Warriors by 6

MLB

Pittsburgh at Chi Cubs - Pirates by 1.2
Arizona at Philadelphia - Diamondbacks by 6.5
LA Angels at Baltimore - Orioles by 1.4
San Francisco at Cincinnati - Giants by 1.9
Milwaukee at NY Mets - Mets by 2.4
Atlanta at Miami - Marlins by 1.5
Cleveland at Texas - Rangers by 3.7
NY Yankees at Kansas City - Royals by 2.1
Tampa Bay at Minnesota - Rays by 2.3
Toronto at Houston - Astros by 1.6
Detroit at Saint Louis - Tigers by 0.4
Chi Sox at Oakland - White Sox by 2.3
Boston at Seattle - Mariners by 2.1
Colorado at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 2.4
Washington at San Diego - Nationals by 0.1

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 0-2 (.000) 41-22 overall (.651)
MLB: 3-8 (.273) 8-18 overall (.308)
Upsets: 1-4 (.200) 3-7 overall (.300)

Predictions - 14 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Cleveland at Chicago - Bulls by 1
Houston at LA Clippers - Clippers by 8

MLB

St. Louis at Cleveland - Cardinals by 2.8
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia - Phillies by 0.5
Minnesota at Detroit - Twins by 2.2
Kansas City at Texas - Royals by 3.2
NY Mets at Chi Cubs - Mets by 2.9
San Francisco at Cincinnati - Giants by 0.6
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay - Yankees by 1.0
Toronto at Houston - Blue Jays by 0.1
Boston at Seattle - Mariners by 0.7
Colorado at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 2.8
Washington at San Diego - Nationals by 0.6

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 2-0 (1.000) 41-20 overall (.672)
MLB: 5-10 (.333)
Upsets: 2-3 (.400)

Predictions - 13 May

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA Playoffs

Washington at Atlanta - Hawks by 6
Memphis at Golden State - Warriors by 10

MLB

Boston at Oakland - Athletics by 4.3
Washington at Arizona - Nationals by 1.8
St. Louis at Cleveland - Cardinals by 3.2
Toronto at Baltimore - Blue Jays by 0.3
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia - Pirates by 1.3
Minnesota at Detroit - Tigers by 2.0
Atlanta at Cincinnati - Braves by 1.3
NY Yankees at Tampa Bay - Yankees by 0.7
Miami at LA Dodgers - Dodgers by 4.3
NY Mets at Chi Cubs - Mets by 0.4
Kansas City at Texas - Royals by 2.1
Chi White Sox at Milwaukee - White Sox by 0.8
San Francisco at Houston - Astros by 0.8
Colorado at LA Angels - Angels by 0.8
San Diego at Seattle - Padres by 1.4

Prediction Results

NBA Playoffs: 1-1 (.500) 39-20 overall (.661)