Basketball Predictions - 8 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

NBA

New York at Detroit - Pistons by 8.5
Denver at Philadelphia - 76ers by 1
Cleveland at Washington - Wizards by 9
Chicago at Brooklyn - Nets by 9.5
Milwaukee at Dallas - Bucks by 6
Golden State at Phoenix - Warriors by 13
Minnesota at New Orleans - Pelicans by 3.5
Miami at Sacramento - Kings by 2.5

NCAA

Saint Louis at Saint Joseph's - Billikens by 1
Columbia at Harvard - Crimson by 13.5
Penn at Brown - Bears by 4.5
Siena at Manhattan - Jaspers by 0.5
Princeton at Yale - Bulldogs by 10
Quinnipiac at Iona - Gaels by 4
Canisius at Rider - Broncs by 10.5
Cornell at Dartmouth - Big Green by 9
Niagara at Marist - Red Foxes by 8
Georgia Southern at UL Monroe - Warhawks by 1.5
Georgia State at Louisiana - Panthers by 1
Kent State at Akron - Zips by 7

Results

NBA: 4-2 (.667) 536-280 overall (.657)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 60-63 overall (.488)
NCAA: 43-22 (.662) 3358-1002 overall (.770)
Upsets: 2-7 (.222) 207-229 overall (.475)
Pick of the Day: 86-6 (.935)

Basketball Predictions - 28 Nov

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

NBA

Atlanta at Charlotte - Hornets by 14.5
New York at Philadelphia - 76ers by 6
Utah at Brooklyn - Nets by 1
Dallas at Houston - Rockets by 3
Chicago at Milwaukee - Bucks by 21
San Antonio at Minnesota - Timberwolves by 1.5
Washington at New Orleans - Pelicans by 7
Cleveland at Oklahoma City - Thunder by 14
Orlando at Portland - Trail Blazers by 8
Phoenix at LA Clippers - Clippers by 14.5

NCAA

Carver Bible at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 29.5
Georgia State at Tulane - Panthers by 2
Eastern Kentucky at (6) Tennessee - Volunteers by 25
Miami (OH) at Xavier - Musketeers by 6.5
Rider at West Virginia - Broncs by 0.5
Richmond at Georgetown - Hoyas by 14.5
Stetson at South Florida - Bulls by 17
Siena at Hofstra - Pride by 16
South Carolina State at Charleston - Cougars by 15.5
NJIT at Drexel - Dragons by 9
Alabama State at Akron - Zips by 14
Northeastern at Bucknell - Huskies by 4
UIC at Saint Joseph's - Hawks by 8.5
Canisius at St. Bonaventure - Bonnies by 6
VCU at Old Dominion - Rams by 5
Quinnipiac at UMass - Minutemen by 17.5
William & Mary at Marshall - Thundering Herd by 14.5
Morgan State at George Mason - Patriots by 11.5
Vermont at George Washington - Catamounts by 5.5
Brown at Rhode Island - Rams by 2.5
Christendom at North Carolina Central - Eagles by 25.5
Winthrop at Tennessee Tech - Eagles by 9
Wyoming at Evansville - Aces by 13
Bradley at IUPUI - Jaguars by 9
Princeton at Maine - Black Bears by 8.5
Boston U at New Hampshire - Terriers by 2
Liberty at Navy - Flames by 16.5
North Alabama at Toledo - Rockets by 21.5
Youngstown State at Robert Morris - Colonials by 8
St. Francis (BKN) at Presbyterian - Blue Hose by 9.5
Cornell at Lafayette - Leopards by 0.5
Holy Cross at Harvard - Crimson by 1.5
Gardner-Webb at USC Upstate - Bulldogs by 7
Yale at Bryant - Yale Bulldogs by 13.5
Kent State at Detroit Mercy - Titans by 6
Syracuse at (16) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 23.5
Rutgers at Miami - Hurricanes by 7.5
(4) Virginia at (24) Maryland - Terrapins by 1.5
San Diego at Ole Miss - Rebels by 8
Binghamton at Army - Black Knights by 10
Central Michigan at Sam Houston State - Bearkats by 3
Florida International at Florida Gulf Coast - Golden Panthers by 4.5
Saint Peter's at (8) Auburn - Tigers by 29
UMKC at South Dakota State - Jackrabbits by 16.5
Little Rock at Central Arkansas - Bears by 3.5
Rice at Texas State - Bobcats by 19.5
South Alabama at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 6.5
Louisiana at New Orleans - Ragin Cajuns by 2.5
Fort Wayne at Eastern Illinois - Panthers by 6
Northern Illinois at Green Bay - Phoenix by 8
SIU Edwardsville at Western Illinois - Leathernecks by 17
Spring Hill at Nicholls - Colonels by 26
Rust at Mississippi Valley State - Delta Devils by 20.5
UT Rio Grande Valley at Houston - Cougars by 19.5
Cleveland State at DePaul - Blue Demons by 16
BYU at Illinois State - Cougars by 2
Monmouth at (10) Kentucky - Wildcats by 29.5
Montana at Creighton - Bluejays by 13
Portland at Colorado - Buffaloes by 25
Omaha at Arizona State - Sun Devils by 17
Hawaii at UCLA - Bruins by 14
Northern Iowa at Utah State - Aggies by 25.5
Western Colorado (CO) at Utah Valley - Wolverines by 29
New Mexico State at UTEP - Aggies by 13
Northern Colorado at Denver - Bears by 8.5
(19) Purdue at (15) Florida State - Seminoles by 1
Missouri State at Air Force - Bears by 3
Georgia Tech at Northwestern - Wildcats by 5
(11) North Carolina at (7) Michigan - Wolverines by 5
Pacific at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 15.5
UC Irvine at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 10.5
Northwest at Seattle - Redhawks by 29
Indiana State at San Jose State - Sycamores by 2.5
Portland State at Stanford - Cardinal by 15.5
Valparaiso at UNLV - Rebels by 15
Long Beach State at USC - Trojans by 21.5

Results

NBA: 4-1 (.800) 190-115 overall (.623)
Upsets: 33-33 overall (.500)
NCAA: 45-5 (.900) 996-236 overall (.808)
Upsets: 3-1 (.750) 50-53 overall (.485)
Pick of the Day: 21-1

Basketball Predictions - 16 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

(16) Rhode Island at St. Bonaventure - Bonnies by 2
Bowling Green at Buffalo - Bulls by 15
Niagara at Iona - Gaels by 10
Canisius at Monmouth - Hawks by 3
Brown at Harvard - Crimson by 10.5
Penn at Columbia - Lions by 0.5
Yale at Dartmouth - Big Green by 1
Oakland at Cleveland State - Golden Grizzlies by 4
Detroit Mercy at Youngstown State - Penguins by 5
Princeton at Cornell - Big Red by 0.5
IUPUI at Milwaukee - Panthers by 9
Georgia State at Georgia Southern - Eagles by 4
UIC at Green Bay - Phoenix by 1
Northern Kentucky at Wright State - Raiders by 1

Results

NBA: 1-1 (.500) 550-315 overall (.636)
Upsets: 54-69 overall (.439)
NCAA: 51-22 (.699) 3652-1149 overall (.761)
Upsets: 7-3 (.700) 316-287 overall (.524)
Pick of the Day: 92-4

Predictions - 20 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

New Orleans at Orlando - Pelicans by 3
Indiana at Philadelphia - Pacers by 6
Toronto at Atlanta - Hawks by 6
Chicago at Detroit - Bulls by 1
Miami at New York - Heat by 2
Phoenix at Minnesota - Suns by 5
Cleveland at Washington - Wizards by 1
Houston at Dallas - Mavericks by 3
Denver at Milwaukee - Bucks by 9
Portland at Utah - Trail Blazers by 2
Boston at Sacramento - Celtics by 1
San Antonio at Golden State - Warriors by 9
Brooklyn at LA Lakers - Lakers by 2

College Basketball

Cornell at Yale - Bulldogs by 12
Princeton at Dartmouth - Big Green by 6
Pennsylvania at Harvard - Crimson by 19
Hartford at Albany - Great Danes by 13
Cleveland State at Green Bay - Phoenix by 8
Columbia at Brown - Lions by 2
Iona at Marist - Gaels by 11
Projected correct: 5/7

Prediction Results

NBA: 2-0 (1.000) 544-246 overall (.689)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 51-62 overall (.451)
College Basketball: 44-20 (.688) 3575-1216 overall (.746)
Upsets: 2-5 (.286) 310-315 overall (.496)
Pick of the Day: 93-2

Pick of the Day

Harvard

The Crimson are currently leading the Ivy League, and tonight they host Penn, which may be the worst team in the conference. Needing a win to keep pace with Yale, who also has an easy game, they will not lose tonight.

College Basketball Preseason Rankings

The college basketball season kicks off tomorrow with 157 games across the country, with exactly 4 months between opening day and Selection Sunday. Last year's champions, the Connecticut Huskies, have lost a lot of players and may have a tough time repeating, but stranger things have happened. I have not yet finished calculating each team's projected final record or strength of schedule, but look for that to be included in the rankings within the next 2 weeks. Here are my full preseason rankings of all 351 teams:

				Record		ProjRec		SOS
TW	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L	Curr	All
1	8	Wisconsin	-20
2	31	Harvard	-19.13
3	57	Illinois	-18.99
4	2	Arizona	-18.87
5	9	Virginia	-18.73
6	95	Ole Miss	-18.52
7	6	Villanova	-18.32
8	55	Kansas State	-17.16
9	30	Utah	-16.52
10	129	Texas A&M	-16.17
11	27	North Carolina	-15.98
12	86	Butler	-15.82
13	87	Alabama	-15.21
14	12	Iowa	-15.09
15	35	SMU	-15.04
16	69	Nebraska	-14.78
17	23	Gonzaga	-14.58
18	17	San Diego State	-14.46
19	125	Colorado State	-14.34
20	37	BYU	-14.33
21	99	Northern Iowa	-14.07
22	1	Louisville	-13.98
23	24	Virginia Commonwealth	-13.8
24	14	Iowa State	-13.65
25	18	Ohio State	-13.61
26	15	Wichita State	-13.02
27	48	Maryland	-13
28	68	Colorado	-12.51
29	49	Texas	-12.45
30	3	Florida	-12.39
31	20	Kentucky	-12.27
32	88	Miami (FL)	-11.72
33	195	Old Dominion	-11.63
34	21	Pittsburgh	-11.35
35	4	Kansas	-11.29
36	36	Oklahoma	-11.08
37	40	Florida State	-11.06
38	120	Columbia	-11
39	34	Arkansas	-10.87
40	85	Tulsa	-10.6
41	104	UC Santa Barbara	-10.45
42	45	West Virginia	-10.45
43	5	Duke	-10.06
44	141	Rhode Island	-9.91
45	51	St. John's	-9.838
46	98	Richmond	-9.68
47	10	Michigan	-9.635
48	58	Georgetown	-9.421
49	11	Oklahoma State	-9.341
50	7	Michigan State	-9.27
51	222	TCU	-9.252
52	43	George Washington	-9.162
53	144	Quinnipiac	-9.12
54	97	UC Irvine	-9.026
55	63	North Carolina Central	-8.937
56	89	Georgia	-8.749
57	78	North Carolina State	-8.598
58	142	Murray State	-8.437
59	134	Auburn	-8.394
60	52	Xavier	-8.378
61	155	Boston College	-8.36
62	39	Stanford	-8.104
63	130	Northwestern	-8.096
64	128	Wyoming	-8.087
65	183	Wofford	-7.867
66	53	Clemson	-7.754
67	71	Stephen F Austin	-7.75
68	25	Syracuse	-7.706
69	91	Penn State	-7.583
70	56	Minnesota	-7.405
71	149	Yale	-7.23
72	96	Toledo	-7.21
73	109	Portland	-6.844
74	61	LSU	-6.824
75	135	San Diego	-6.76
76	140	Denver	-6.754
77	126	American	-6.726
78	119	Western Michigan	-6.6
79	62	California	-6.46
80	211	Dartmouth	-6.393
81	67	Saint Mary's	-6.197
82	203	Northeastern	-6.155
83	59	Marquette	-6.154
84	107	Washington	-6.106
85	187	Washington State	-6.012
86	60	Boise State	-5.962
87	190	Kent State	-5.73
88	154	Holy Cross	-5.712
89	26	Louisiana Tech	-5.695
90	54	Indiana	-5.621
91	146	Brown	-5.528
92	117	Vanderbilt	-5.497
93	114	South Carolina	-5.352
94	94	Notre Dame	-5.317
95	188	Siena	-5.301
96	102	San Francisco	-5.27
97	175	Long Beach State	-5.097
98	80	Cleveland State	-5.057
99	16	Creighton	-5
100	210	Northern Illinois	-4.86
101	64	Green Bay	-4.842
102	50	Dayton	-4.704
103	116	Georgia Tech	-4.618
104	252	Lafayette	-4.487
105	29	Cincinnati	-4.465
106	108	Fresno State	-4.419
107	299	Northern Kentucky	-4.371
108	200	Bowling Green	-4.318
109	103	UL Lafayette	-4.235
110	204	Hampton	-4.127
111	178	Colgate	-4.107
112	127	UTEP	-4.022
113	81	St. Bonaventure	-3.999
114	240	Evansville	-3.897
115	19	Tennessee	-3.878
116	176	Cal Poly	-3.867
117	47	Providence	-3.862
118	139	Akron	-3.861
119	239	Army	-3.774
120	157	Temple	-3.735
121	220	Radford	-3.613
122	131	Wake Forest	-3.554
123	278	UNC Wilmington	-3.548
124	274	Monmouth	-3.459
125	261	Hofstra	-3.457
126	152	Morehead State	-3.429
127	231	UL Monroe	-3.401
128	184	Charlotte	-3.345
129	209	Coastal Carolina	-3.265
130	46	North Dakota State	-3.237
131	245	Saint Peter's	-3.087
132	215	Eastern Washington	-3.064
133	75	Missouri	-3.029
134	250	High Point	-3.025
135	41	Saint Louis	-2.987
136	72	Manhattan	-2.939
137	33	Baylor	-2.858
138	38	Arizona State	-2.79
139	79	Georgia State	-2.777
140	165	Illinois State	-2.692
141	185	Western Kentucky	-2.586
142	273	NJIT	-2.576
143	158	Santa Clara	-2.459
144	263	Sacramento State	-2.457
145	168	Sam Houston State	-2.376
146	148	Duquesne	-2.358
147	150	George Mason	-2.296
148	232	Hartford	-2.258
149	247	Northern Arizona	-2.153
150	111	La Salle	-2.1
151	115	Davidson	-2.098
152	93	Purdue	-2.088
153	287	San Jose State	-1.957
154	234	South Dakota	-1.949
155	28	Oregon	-1.946
156	288	Navy	-1.901
157	100	Princeton	-1.832
158	170	Drake	-1.809
159	321	UC Davis	-1.775
160	73	Iona	-1.63
161	192	Florida Gulf Coast	-1.467
162	171	Detroit	-1.464
163	162	William & Mary	-1.45
164	300	Alabama State	-1.386
165	213	Winthrop	-1.371
166	269	Lipscomb	-1.341
167	159	Bucknell	-1.234
168	218	UT Arlington	-1.169
169	124	Drexel	-0.948
170	242	Seattle	-0.911
171	110	Charleston Southern	-0.881
172	160	Milwaukee	-0.873
173	106	Buffalo	-0.83
174	44	Massachusetts	-0.779
175	174	Missouri State	-0.769
176	208	Southeast Missouri State	-0.76
177	65	Saint Joseph's	-0.709
178	66	New Mexico State	-0.681
179	243	Lehigh	-0.66
180	311	St. Francis (PA)	-0.645
181	253	North Florida	-0.622
182	258	Loyola (IL)	-0.492
183	83	Texas Tech	-0.249
184	217	Marshall	-0.215
185	201	St. Francis (NY)	-0.014
186	221	Rider	0.0504
187	296	Delaware State	0.114
188	256	CS Fullerton	0.1509
189	248	Miami (OH)	0.169
190	260	Air Force	0.1962
191	172	Pepperdine	0.2137
192	186	Southern Illinois	0.2143
193	289	Ball State	0.2205
194	167	UCF	0.242
195	82	Seton Hall	0.3137
196	22	Connecticut	0.3452
197	105	Eastern Kentucky	0.3651
198	13	UCLA	0.3859
199	238	Grand Canyon	0.3943
200	191	College of Charleston	0.5588
201	32	New Mexico	0.6009
202	249	Florida Atlantic	0.7979
203	335	Howard	0.8132
204	133	IPFW	0.8186
205	136	Hawaii	0.8461
206	227	Mississippi State	0.9519
207	223	East Carolina	1.001
208	316	Alabama A&M	1.0115
209	202	Northern Colorado	1.0409
210	74	Vermont	1.1073
211	254	Western Illinois	1.2065
212	219	Montana	1.2786
213	276	Fairfield	1.3013
214	180	Virginia Tech	1.4175
215	145	Omaha	1.5697
216	277	Incarnate Word	1.6315
217	122	Eastern Michigan	1.6373
218	132	Indiana State	1.7464
219	169	Stony Brook	1.8204
220	285	Georgia Southern	1.8851
221	297	Tulane	1.947
222	177	Albany	2.1149
223	42	Memphis	2.1199
224	235	Marist	2.1724
225	199	Bryant	2.3437
226	194	DePaul	2.357
227	251	James Madison	2.4914
228	137	Valparaiso	2.5481
229	118	Towson	2.6322
230	225	Idaho State	2.6776
231	193	Loyola Marymount	2.6953
232	228	Fordham	2.7417
233	113	Boston University	2.7975
234	292	Coppin State	2.9698
235	151	Southern	2.9833
236	257	Central Michigan	3.0816
237	123	Wright State	3.1209
238	197	Oral Roberts	3.1415
239	298	Loyola (MD)	3.186
240	233	Rutgers	3.4178
241	196	Oakland	3.419
242	303	Southeastern Louisiana	3.4399
243	280	UC Riverside	3.4431
244	198	Utah Valley	3.4574
245	138	Weber State	3.472
246	265	Portland State	3.4968
247	214	CSU Bakersfield	3.5226
248	244	Arkansas-Little Rock	3.5568
249	295	SIU-Edwardsville	3.6422
250	275	UIC	3.6875
251	216	South Florida	3.7535
252	230	Bradley	3.7762
253	345	Cornell	3.8218
254	279	Montana State	4.0417
255	163	Youngstown State	4.0717
256	205	Gardner-Webb	4.0781
257	259	Texas A&M-CC	4.1338
258	161	Houston	4.1919
259	337	Kennesaw State	4.194
260	143	Nevada	4.2521
261	304	Sacred Heart	4.3803
262	319	Central Connecticut State	4.391
263	90	Middle Tennessee	4.5338
264	212	UNC Asheville	4.5401
265	206	Elon	4.7078
266	255	East Tennessee State	4.7346
267	84	Delaware	4.7643
268	77	UNLV	4.8946
269	173	USC	4.8955
270	293	Jackson State	4.93
271	166	South Carolina Upstate	4.9989
272	305	Jacksonville State	5.0356
273	324	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	5.3364
274	268	Idaho	5.5573
275	314	UMass Lowell	5.5879
276	121	Ohio	5.5958
277	315	IUPUI	5.6075
278	92	Belmont	5.6304
279	153	South Dakota State	5.679
280	241	South Alabama	5.7805
281	290	Austin Peay	5.8131
282	226	North Dakota	5.8642
283	322	New Hampshire	5.9108
284	344	South Carolina State	5.9416
285	237	Tennessee Tech	6.0043
286	333	Binghamton	6.0177
287	291	UMKC	6.232
288	189	Northwestern State	6.3526
289	270	Pennsylvania	6.4272
290	330	Alcorn State	6.6973
291	294	UT Pan American	6.7496
292	262	Troy	6.7666
293	182	UAB	6.7984
294	326	Appalachian State	6.8261
295	271	Chattanooga	7.1603
296	286	Tennessee State	7.2264
297	341	Lamar	7.2276
298	179	Robert Morris	7.2298
299	312	Rice	7.3717
300	70	Southern Miss	7.4098
301	348	Presbyterian	7.458
302	101	Oregon State	7.4594
303	328	Bethune-Cookman	7.4678
304	272	Liberty	7.6598
305	246	CS Northridge	7.665
306	229	Mount St. Mary's	7.876
307	309	New Orleans	7.9287
308	284	North Texas	8.0697
309	283	Texas State	8.0802
310	308	Eastern Illinois	8.1466
311	323	Abilene Christian	8.3511
312	346	Furman	8.5555
313	342	Maine	8.6543
314	317	UNC Greensboro	8.7207
315	313	McNeese State	8.7818
316	266	Florida International	8.9664
317	350	Southern Utah	8.993
318	318	LIU Brooklyn	9.1305
319	224	Morgan State	9.2278
320	281	Savannah State	9.2894
321	325	UMBC	9.2942
322	76	Mercer	9.6922
323	181	VMI	9.7606
324	112	Utah State	9.8435
325	282	Niagara	10.146
326	147	Canisius	10.2
327	339	Houston Baptist	10.247
328	320	Campbell	10.327
329	264	Texas Southern	10.501
330	329	UT San Antonio	10.624
331	338	Stetson	11.191
332	156	Pacific	11.303
333	306	Nicholls State	11.395
334	336	Prairie View	11.659
335	307	Chicago State	11.702
336	236	Western Carolina	12.045
337	340	Maryland-Eastern Shore	12.122
338	207	Wagner	12.226
339	332	North Carolina A&T	12.31
340	301	Fairleigh Dickinson	12.64
341	331	Tennessee-Martin	13.492
342	164	Arkansas State	15.011
343	343	The Citadel	15.575
344	267	Norfolk State	16.421
345	327	Central Arkansas	17.803
346	351	Grambling State	18.39
347	349	Mississippi Valley State	19.294
348	310	Jacksonville	20.36
349	302	Florida A&M	21.149
350	334	Samford	21.778
351	347	Longwood	22.431

Opening the season at #1 is Wisconsin, which qualified for the Final Four last season and nearly beat Kentucky for a trip to the title game, returns 4 starters from a year ago. The Badgers will face many challengers within a strong Big 10, notably the much-improved Illinois and Iowa teams, both of which finished closer to the middle of the conference last year.

The Harvard Crimson, which dominated the Ivy League last year and pulled off a first-round upset for the second straight year, returns its top 3 players and looks to have an easy path to the conference title once again, with no other Ivy League squad in the top 70. Will this be another Cinderella story in March, or will the Crimson gain a higher seed than in previous seasons?

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

College Football

East Carolina at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 9
Southern Miss at UTSA - Roadrunnesr by 6
California at USC - Trojans by 19

NFL

Buffalo at Miami - Dolphins by 11

NBA

Sacramento at Memphis - Grizzlies by 5
Chicago at Toronto - Raptors by 9
Philadelphia at Dallas - Mavericks by 18
Brooklyn at Golden State - Warriors by 11

Prediction Results

College Football: 2-0 (1.000) 477-171 overall (.736)
NBA: 6-3 (.667) 83-34 overall (.709)
Upsets: 2-1 (.667) 14-12 overall (.538)