NBA MVP Rankings - 30 Mar

Entering the final couple of weeks of the regular season, the MVP race is down to 4 players, and it is the tightest race I have seen in a decade. 3 of the contenders have their teams among the top 3 in their conference, and the other has pulled his team out of the play-in and into the playoffs. Here are my current rankings for MVP and ROY, along with some updates to the all-time player rankings, including a new player joining the all-time top 100:

Most Valuable Player

1 (1) Nikola Jokic - C - DEN

26.1 Pts (#11), 12.2 Reb (#4), 8.9 Ast (#3), 1.3 Stl (#12), 0.9 Blk, .579 FG% (#12), .345 3P%, .826 FT%

2 (3) Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF - MIL

30.7 Pts (#2), 11.5 Reb (#6), 6.4 Ast (#14), 1.2 Stl (#20), 1.0 Blk, .616 FG% (#7), .288 3P%, .657 FT%

3 (4) Luka Doncic - PG - DAL

33.8 Pts (#1), 9.1 Reb (#16), 9.8 Ast (#2), 1.5 Stl (#7), 0.5 Blk, .487 FG%, .376 3P%, .785 FT%

4 (2) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - PG - OKC

30.4 Pts (#3), 5.6 Reb, 6.3 Ast (#16), 2.1 Stl (#1), 0.9 Blk, .540 FG% (#19), .367 3P%, .871 FT% (#17)

5 (5) Domantas Sabonis - C - SAC

19.6 Pts, 13.6 Reb (#1), 8.3 Ast (#5), 0.9 Stl, 0.6 Blk, .603 FG% (#8), .403 3P%, .706 FT%

6 (6) Jayson Tatum - PF - BOS

27.3 Pts (#6), 8.2 Reb, 4.9 Ast, 1.0 Stl, 0.6 Blk, .472 FG%, .378 3P%, .832 FT%

7 (NR) Jalen Brunson - PG - NYK

27.9 Pts (#4), 3.6 Reb, 6.5 Ast (#13), 0.9 Stl, 0.2 Blk, .479 FG%, .401 3P%, .847 FT%

8 (7) Tyrese Haliburton - PG - IND

20.3 Pts, 4.0 Reb, 11.0 Ast (#1), 1.2 Stl (#18), 0.7 Blk, .476 FG%, .365 3P%, .857 FT%

9 (NR) Damian Lillard - PG - MIL

24.4 Pts (#15), 4.4 Reb, 7.1 Ast (#10), 1.0 Stl, 0.2 Blk, .426 FG%, .358 3P%, .923 FT% (#2)

10 (10) Anthony Davis - C - LAL

24.7 Pts (#14), 12.7 Reb (#3), 3.6 Ast, 1.2 Stl, 2.4 Blk (#2), .553 FG% (#16), .286 3P%, .816 FT%

Honorable Mention: Anthony Edwards - SG - MIN, LeBron James - PF - LAL, Victor Wembanyama - C - SAS, Joel Embiid - C - PHI, Trae Young - PG - ATL, Kevin Durant - PF - PHX

Rookie of the Year

1 (1) Victor Wembanyama - C - SAS

21.0 Pts, 10.5 Reb (#12), 3.6 Ast, 1.2 Stl, 3.4 Blk (#1), .468 FG%, .324 3P%, .796 FT%

2 (2) Chet Holmgren - C - OKC

16.8 Pts, 7.9 Reb, 2.6 Ast, 0.6 Stl, 2.4 Blk (#3), .536 FG%, .377 3P%, .803 FT%

3 (3) Dereck Lively II - C - DAL

8.9 Pts, 7.0 Reb, 1.1 Ast, 0.6 Stl, 1.4 Blk (#13), .746 FG%, .506 FT%

4 (4) Keyonte George - PG - UTA

12.7 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 4.6 Ast, 0.5 Stl, 0.1 Blk, .391 FG%, .335 3P%, .842 FT%

5 (NR) Amen Thompson - SF - HOU

9.2 Pts, 6.3 Reb, 2.4 Ast, 1.2 Stl, 0.6 Blk, .530 FG%, .145 3P%, .674 FT%

All-Time Player Rank Changes

Kevin Durant has passed Julius Erving to move up to #14

Giannis Antetokounmpo has passed Elgin Baylor and David Robinson to move up to #31

Damian Lillard has passed George Gervin to move up to #56

Kawhi Leonard has passed Paul Pierce to move up to #59

Jimmy Butler has passed Ray Allen to move up to #83

Luka Doncic has moved into the top 100 at #99, passing LaMarcus Aldridge and knocking out Andre Miller.

NBA Rankings - 23 Mar

The Houston Rockets have been the hottest team in the league this month, winning 7 in a row and 9 of their last 10 to move into position to threaten for the final play-in spot, currently held by Golden State. Toronto seems to have given up, losing 9 in a row, while the 76ers have fallen all the way to #8 in the East with Joel Embiid out with an injury. Here are my full current rankings and playoff picks:

				Record		Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L	Seed
1	1	Boston	-9.546	56	14	66	16	E1
2	2	Oklahoma City	-6.523	49	20	58	24	W1
3	3	Minnesota	-6.346	48	22	57	25	W3
4	5	Denver	-4.719	49	21	57	25	W2
5	6	New Orleans	-4.502	43	27	51	31	W5
6	4	LA Clippers	-4.015	44	25	52	30	W4
7	9	New York	-3.313	41	28	49	33	E5
8	7	Cleveland	-3	43	27	51	31	E3
9	8	Milwaukee	-2.834	45	25	52	30	E2
10	11	Phoenix	-2.092	41	29	46	36	W8
11	10	Golden State	-2.042	36	33	43	39	W10
12	15	Indiana	-1.969	40	31	46	36	E6
13	14	Sacramento	-1.665	40	29	47	35	W7
14	13	Orlando	-1.614	42	28	49	33	E4
15	16	Dallas	-1.397	41	29	48	34	W6
16	18	Houston	-1.133	34	35	41	41
17	12	Philadelphia	-0.954	38	32	44	38	E8
18	19	LA Lakers	-0.3	38	32	44	38	W9
19	17	Miami	0.2079	38	32	45	37	E7
20	20	Chicago	1.9019	34	36	39	43	E9
21	22	Atlanta	2.1083	30	39	36	46	E10
22	21	Brooklyn	2.371	26	44	32	50
23	23	Utah	2.8678	29	41	33	49
24	24	Toronto	4.494	23	47	27	55
25	25	Memphis	5.331	24	47	28	54
26	27	San Antonio	5.9415	15	55	18	64
27	26	Portland	6.4577	19	51	22	60
28	28	Detroit	8.0822	12	58	15	67
29	29	Washington	8.8261	12	58	15	67
30	30	Charlotte	9.2199	17	52	19	63

Playoff Picks

Play In

(7) Heat over (8) 76ers

(9) Bulls over (10) Hawks

(9) Bulls over (8) 76ers

(7) Kings over (8) Suns

(10) Warriors over (9) Lakers

(8) Suns over (10) Warriors

First Round

(1) Celtics over (9) Bulls in 4

(2) Bucks over (7) Heat in 6

(6) Pacers over (3) Cavaliers in 7

(4) Magic over (5) Knicks in 6

(1) Thunder over (8) Suns in 5

(7) Kings over (2) Nuggets in 7

(3) Timberwolves over (6) Mavericks in 5

(5) Pelicans over (4) Clippers in 6

Second Round

(1) Celtics over (4) Magic in 5

(6) Pacers over (2) Bucks in 7

(1) Thunder over (5) Pelicans in 7

(3) Timberwolves over (7) Kings in 7

Conference Finals

(1) Celtics over (6) Pacers in 5

(3) Timberwolves over (1) Thunder in 7

NBA Finals

(1) Celtics over (3) Timberwolves in 7

NCAA Tournament Odds - 2024

6123 games down, 67 to go. The results of every game that has been played so far has been entered into my formula, and then each team's rating was plugged into the official bracket to determine each team's odds of advancing through each round and cutting down the nets in 3 weeks. Hopefully you find something here that can help you build a winning bracket.

Best Teams Left Out

(25) Saint John's

(29) Wake Forest

(31) Indiana State

(37) Villanova

(38) Cincinnati

(39) Pittsburgh

(41) Ohio State

(43) Oklahoma

These teams are usually a good bet to perform well in the NIT, although the recent trend has been to skip the lesser tournament when you get snubbed for the big one. Indiana State and Oklahoma were the two teams that I picked to make the field that didn't end up getting in, and 3 of the teams that the committee said were closest to making the field are on this list as well.

Worst At-Large Teams Selected

(66) Virginia

(55) Boise State

(52) South Carolina

(51) Utah State

(47) Northwestern

(45) Nevada

(44) Colorado State

Virginia was one of the two teams that I felt should have been left out, along with Michigan State and their 14 losses, but the Spartans are at least good enough to do something in the tournament. There are 4 Mountain West teams on this list, and though all 4 were deserving of their spots according to the committee's standards, they are among the weaker teams in the tournament, and less likely to win games than other teams in the field. All 5 teams that I included on this list last season were eliminated during the first weekend.

Teams that are Better than their Seed

1. Colorado

2. New Mexico

3. Michigan State

4. Auburn

5. BYU

6. Mississippi State

7. Grand Canyon

8. James Madison

Last year, 5 of the 10 teams on this list made deeper tournament runs than expected by their seeding, including FAU, who reached the Final Four from a 9 seed, and UConn, who won the entire tournament as a 4 seed. These are good teams to look at for upsets in the first round and beyond.

Teams that are Worse than their Seed

1. South Carolina

2. Saint Mary's

3. Kansas

4. San Diego State

5. Texas Tech

6. Texas

7. Washington State

8. Utah State

9. Virginia

10. Duquesne

11. UAB

These teams are good bets to lose earlier than expected, though last year only 2 ended up going home before they should have, while 5 lasted exactly as long as their seed projected. South Carolina is much farther from their seed than any of the others on this list.

Projected First Round Upsets

9.3

That number is actually quite low for recent tournaments. Last year's projection was 10.7, and it turned out that there were only 7 upsets in the first round, well below the projected range, which is surprising after considering how many upsets happened in later rounds. I expect this year to fall within the range of 8 to 10.

Most Likely First Round Upsets

(9) TCU over (8) Utah State - 55.4%

(9) Michigan State over (8) Mississippi State - 53.1%

(11) New Mexico over (6) Clemson - 51.7%

(10) Drake over (7) Washington State - 49.1%

(11) Oregon over (6) South Carolina - 47.7%

(9) Northwestern over (8) FAU - 46.2%

(10) Nevada over (7) Dayton - 45.4%

(12) Grand Canyon over (5) Saint Mary's - 45.3%

(9) Texas A&M over (8) Nebraska - 45.3%

(10) Virginia/Colorado State over (7) Texas - 44.3%

(11) NC State over (6) Texas Tech - 41.2%

4 of the 7 first round upsets last year were on my list, so these are the first place to look for upsets, though we will probably see a few more unexpected ones as well.

Most Likely #15 or #16 to win a Game

(15) Western Kentucky over (2) Marquette - 16.6%

(15) South Dakota State over (2) Iowa State - 12.6%

Not much chance of a huge upset this year, unlike last season, where I had three 15 seeds with at least a 20% chance of winning, one of which happened when Princeton upset Arizona, in addition to Purdue's loss to Fairleigh Dickinson.

Most Likely Cinderellas

(11) New Mexico - 27.3%

(10) Drake - 18.8%

(11) Oregon - 18.5%

(12) Grand Canyon - 18.3%

(12) McNeese - 18.1%

(11) NC State - 17.2%

(12) James Madison - 15.5%

(13) Samford - 14.3%

(10) Virginia/Colorado State - 13.0%

(10) Boise State/Colorado - 12.8%

(10) Nevada - 12.7%

Last year only 1 double-digit seed reached the Sweet 16, and that was Princeton, who was not among the most likely teams to make a deep run. The top 8 teams on this list all recently won conference tournaments, 5 of them in upsets, so they know how to win when they aren't expected to.

Projected Number of Cinderellas

2.6

This number is much lower than last year's projected 3.5, which turned into a single true Cinderella, but it should bounce back this year to see 2 or 3 double-digit seeds play beyond this weekend.

#1 Seeds in the Final Four

1.2

This is up slightly from last season, when the projection was 1.0, and ended up without a single #1 in the Final Four for the first time in 12 years. Expect to see one or possibly two make it this year.

Odds of a #1 Winning the Tournament

39.8%

This is up quite a bit from last year's 34.4%, which was the lowest I had ever seen, and resulted in a season without a #1 in the Final Four, let alone winning the title. The odds aren't terrible for one of the top teams to win it, but there are plenty of other teams with a chance.

Most Likely Sweet 16 Teams

(1) Purdue - 75.1%

(1) UConn - 73.1%

(1) Houston - 70.4%

(2) Arizona - 69.1%

(2) Tennessee - 66.9%

(4) Auburn - 63.2%

(1) North Carolina - 61.0%

(2) Iowa State - 58.0%

(3) Creighton - 52.2%

(2) Marquette - 51.7%

(3) Illinois - 50.7%

(4) Alabama - 48.0%

(4) Duke - 47.6%

(3) Kentucky - 46.9%

(3) Baylor - 42.6%

(5) Gonzaga - 35.3%

(6) BYU - 34.0%

(4) Kansas - 32.4%

(7) Florida - 30.9%

The 1 through 4 seeds are the most likely to make the Sweet 16, other than Gonzaga, who has a better chance than Kansas. 11 of the eventual Sweet 16 were among my 16 most likely last year, including 5 seed San Diego State and 6 seed Creighton.

Most Likely Final Four Teams

(1) Purdue - 35.2%

(1) Houston - 33.9%

(2) Arizona - 29.3%

(1) UConn - 27.8%

(2) Tennessee - 23.9%

(4) Auburn - 23.0%

(1) North Carolina - 20.5%

(2) Iowa State - 15.2%

(2) Marquette - 14.2%

(3) Illinois - 13.4%

(4) Duke - 13.0%

(4) Alabama - 12.1%

(3) Creighton - 12.1%

(3) Kentucky - 10.2%

Only 1 of last season's surprising Final Four made my list last season, which was the UConn Huskies, who won the whole thing. Most seasons will see at least 2 or 3 of these teams make the Final Four.

Most Likely Champions

(1) Purdue - 12.7%

(1) Houston - 12.3%

(1) UConn - 9.7%

(2) Arizona - 9.1%

(4) Auburn - 8.1%

(2) Tennessee - 6.9%

(1) North Carolina - 5.1%

(2) Iowa State - 3.9%

(3) Illinois - 3.4%

(4) Duke - 3.1%

(2) Marquette - 3.0%

(3) Creighton - 2.6%

(4) Alabama - 2.6%

Last season, UConn had the 7th-best odds of winning it all, despite being a 4 seed, but that was still the lowest any eventual champion had appeared on this list in at least 7 years. Your eventual champion will almost definitely come from this list.

Most Common Nicknames

Cougars/Catamounts - 5

Bulldogs - 5

Wildcats - 3

Tigers - 3

Dukes - 2

Aggies - 2

Bears/Grizzlies - 2

Raiders/Red Raiders - 2

Wolf Pack/Wolfpack - 2

Eagles - 2

The Tigers led last season, but a different type of cat leads this season.

Teams by State

Texas - 6

Alabama - 4

California - 3

North Carolina - 3

Florida - 3

Kentucky - 3

South Carolina - 3

Virginia - 3

Connecticut - 2

Illinois - 2

Iowa - 2

Colorado - 2

New York - 2

Arizona - 2

Washington - 2

Michigan - 2

Wisconsin - 2

Utah - 2

Louisiana - 2

Nebraska - 2

Ohio - 2

Pennsylvania - 1

Idaho - 1

Kansas - 1

South Dakota - 1

Vermont - 1

District of Columbia - 1

Tennessee - 1

Mississippi - 1

New Jersey - 1

New Mexico - 1

Nevada - 1

Indiana - 1

Montana - 1

Oregon - 1

As usual, the most teams come from Texas, with Alabama coming in a surprising second place.

My Picks

First Round Winners

(1) UConn

(9) Northwestern

(5) San Diego State

(4) Auburn

(6) BYU

(3) Illinois

(10) Drake

(2) Iowa State

(1) North Carolina

(9) Michigan State

(12) Grand Canyon

(4) Alabama

(11) New Mexico

(3) Baylor

(10) Nevada

(2) Arizona

(1) Houston

(9) Texas A&M

(5) Wisconsin

(4) Duke

(11) NC State

(3) Kentucky

(10) Boise State/Colorado

(2) Marquette

(1) Purdue

(9) TCU

(5) Gonzaga

(4) Kansas

(11) Oregon

(3) Creighton

(10) Virginia/Colorado State

(2) Tennessee

I'm going a little high with 12 upsets, but it's tough to keep it down to 10.

Sweet 16

(1) UConn

(4) Auburn

(6) BYU

(2) Iowa State

(9) Michigan State

(4) Alabama

(11) New Mexico

(2) Arizona

(1) Houston

(5) Wisconsin

(3) Kentucky

(2) Marquette

(1) Purdue

(5) Gonzaga

(3) Creighton

(2) Tennessee

New Mexico is my Cinderella, with Michigan State also a bit of a surprise.

Elite Eight

(4) Auburn

(6) BYU

(9) Michigan State

(2) Arizona

(1) Houston

(3) Kentucky

(1) Purdue

(3) Creighton

There are a few lower seeds here, plus a couple of other smaller upsets.

Final Four

(4) Auburn

(2) Arizona

(1) Houston

(1) Purdue

Two #1 seeds, plus a couple of really strong teams that were seeded a little lower.

Championship

(4) Auburn

(1) Purdue

An upset by the Tigers sets up a showdown against Purdue, who was the top overall seed a year ago, and a repeat #1 seed.

Champions

(4) Auburn

After pulling off a win in the SEC tournament last week, the Tigers follow it up with a national title.

NCAA Basketball Rankings - 18 Mar

 

Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L
1	1	Houston	-19.71	30	4
2	2	Purdue	-19.4	29	4
3	5	Auburn	-19.07	27	7
4	4	UConn	-18.98	31	3
5	3	Arizona	-18.47	25	8
6	6	Tennessee	-17.25	24	8
7	7	North Carolina	-16.48	27	7
8	13	Iowa State	-15.9	27	7
9	9	Illinois	-15.86	26	8
10	8	Duke	-15.66	24	8
11	10	Alabama	-15.1	21	11
12	12	Marquette	-14.77	25	9
13	11	Creighton	-14.7	23	9
14	16	Baylor	-13.33	23	10
15	15	BYU	-13.33	23	10
16	14	Kentucky	-13.32	23	9
17	17	Gonzaga	-13.16	25	7
18	18	Michigan State	-13.15	19	14
19	22	Wisconsin	-13	22	13
20	21	Colorado	-12.28	24	10
21	24	Florida	-12.15	24	11
22	19	Kansas	-12.14	22	10
23	34	New Mexico	-12.14	26	9
24	31	Mississippi St	-12.09	21	13
25	36	St. John's	-11.78	20	13
26	27	Nebraska	-11.76	23	10
27	23	Dayton	-11.63	24	7
28	20	Clemson	-11.54	21	11
29	25	Wake Forest	-11.48	20	13
30	35	San Diego State	-11.42	24	10
31	32	Indiana State	-11.29	28	6
32	33	Texas Tech	-11.29	23	10
33	28	TCU	-11.28	21	12
34	37	Saint Mary's	-11.13	26	7
35	26	Florida Atlantic	-11.11	25	8
36	29	Texas	-11.1	20	12
37	30	Villanova	-10.75	18	15
38	38	Cincinnati	-10.69	20	14
39	42	Pittsburgh	-10.43	22	11
40	43	Washington St	-10.33	24	9
41	47	Ohio State	-10.22	20	13
42	49	Texas A&M	-10.13	20	14
43	39	Oklahoma	-10.1	20	12
44	40	Colorado State	-10.05	24	10
45	41	Nevada	-10.04	26	7
46	44	Drake	-10.02	28	6
47	45	Northwestern	-9.779	21	11
48	53	Utah	-9.522	19	14
49	54	Grand Canyon	-9.501	29	4
50	55	James Madison	-9.498	31	3
51	46	Utah State	-9.418	27	6
52	50	South Carolina	-9.412	26	7
53	48	Iowa	-9.35	18	14
54	56	McNeese	-9.274	30	3
55	52	Boise State	-9.083	22	10
56	51	Princeton	-9.016	24	4
57	63	Providence	-8.702	21	13
58	69	Oregon	-8.6	23	11
59	57	Xavier	-8.447	16	17
60	62	Bradley	-8.405	22	11
61	58	Virginia Tech	-8.281	18	14
62	79	NC State	-8.237	22	14
63	60	Washington	-8.171	17	15
64	65	UCF	-8.122	17	15
65	59	Maryland	-8.049	16	17
66	67	Virginia	-7.911	23	10
67	64	Seton Hall	-7.73	20	12
68	70	Samford	-7.634	29	5
69	66	Memphis	-7.63	22	10
70	61	SMU	-7.604	20	12
71	68	UC Irvine	-7.539	24	9
72	73	Yale	-7.405	22	9
73	72	Appalachian St	-7.361	27	6
74	71	Butler	-7.24	18	14
75	74	San Francisco	-7.049	23	10
76	76	Kansas State	-6.997	19	14
77	94	Boston College	-6.9	19	15
78	82	VCU	-6.867	22	13
79	77	Richmond	-6.867	23	9
80	75	UMass	-6.792	20	11
81	78	Minnesota	-6.733	18	14
82	80	Penn State	-6.601	16	17
83	87	North Texas	-6.428	18	14
84	101	Duquesne	-6.411	24	11
85	83	UNLV	-6.408	19	12
86	84	South Florida	-6.328	24	7
87	85	Florida State	-6.239	17	16
88	86	Ole Miss	-6.198	20	12
89	81	Cornell	-6.162	22	7
90	91	USC	-6.133	15	18
91	92	Charleston	-5.965	27	7
92	90	Vermont	-5.932	28	6
93	88	Louisiana Tech	-5.867	22	10
94	89	Syracuse	-5.732	20	12
95	97	Loyola-Chicago	-5.722	23	9
96	98	Georgia	-5.695	17	16
97	93	St. Bonaventure	-5.587	20	13
98	95	George Mason	-5.525	20	12
99	104	Saint Joseph's	-5.478	21	13
100	99	LSU	-5.398	17	15
101	102	High Point	-5.325	25	8
102	96	Miami	-5.292	15	17
103	100	Indiana	-5.103	19	14
104	103	Rutgers	-4.94	15	17
105	105	Morehead State	-4.899	26	8
106	107	UNC Wilmington	-4.672	21	10
107	108	UCLA	-4.631	16	17
108	106	Hofstra	-4.505	20	13
109	109	West Carolina	-4.431	22	10
110	111	Akron	-4.371	24	10
111	110	Northern Iowa	-4.293	19	14
112	112	Drexel	-4.255	20	12
113	123	UAB	-4.081	23	11
114	116	Belmont	-3.911	20	13
115	114	Stanford	-3.898	14	18
116	113	Charlotte	-3.713	19	12
117	117	Santa Clara	-3.637	20	13
118	115	Arkansas	-3.603	16	17
119	121	UMass Lowell	-3.489	22	10
120	119	Southern Illinois	-3.377	19	13
121	129	UT Arlington	-3.298	20	14
122	131	Seattle	-3.252	19	14
123	122	Troy	-3.236	20	12
124	118	Oklahoma St	-3.132	12	20
125	128	Colgate	-3.111	25	9
126	124	UC San Diego	-3.029	21	11
127	120	Davidson	-2.954	15	17
128	127	Oakland	-2.936	23	11
129	126	Toledo	-2.697	20	12
130	134	Youngstown St	-2.673	22	10
131	155	West Kentucky	-2.6	22	11
132	125	Liberty	-2.592	18	14
133	132	Michigan	-2.564	8	24
134	137	Longwood	-2.535	21	13
135	133	Georgia Tech	-2.504	14	18
136	138	Towson	-2.481	20	14
137	130	Arkansas State	-2.417	18	16
138	148	Ohio	-2.416	20	13
139	140	Notre Dame	-2.401	13	20
140	136	Tulane	-2.363	14	17
141	139	Tarleton	-2.354	23	9
142	143	Eastern Wash	-2.303	21	11
143	146	Chattanooga	-2.271	21	12
144	144	UNC Greensboro	-2.249	21	11
145	151	South Dakota St	-2.054	22	12
146	135	Arizona State	-2.037	14	18
147	142	California	-2.032	13	19
148	141	Weber State	-2.021	20	12
149	147	Fort Wayne	-2.012	21	12
150	145	St. Thomas	-1.923	20	13
151	149	Louisiana	-1.841	19	14
152	150	Missouri State	-1.727	17	16
153	152	UNC Asheville	-1.679	22	12
154	159	Sam Houston St	-1.656	21	12
155	153	Fairfield	-1.61	22	12
156	157	Lipscomb	-1.512	20	12
157	156	Winthrop	-1.484	17	15
158	154	Montana	-1.325	23	11
159	161	Delaware	-1.323	19	14
160	167	Quinnipiac	-1.322	24	9
161	160	Bryant	-1.32	20	13
162	164	Wichita State	-1.3	15	19
163	163	Wright State	-1.191	18	14
164	162	Missouri	-1.165	8	24
165	158	Texas A&M-CC	-1.111	21	11
166	165	Murray State	-0.998	12	20
167	169	Stony Brook	-0.909	20	15
168	168	Furman	-0.761	17	16
169	170	West Virginia	-0.636	9	23
170	171	Oregon State	-0.317	13	19
171	188	Long Beach St	-0.209	21	14
172	166	Stephen F Austin	-0.2	18	15
173	189	Kent State	-0.042	17	17
174	172	UC Davis	-0.009	20	13
175	175	East Tennessee St	0.2295	19	16
176	174	Monmouth	0.2424	18	15
177	198	Brown	0.2479	13	18
178	176	Little Rock	0.2688	21	12
179	178	Hawaii	0.3107	20	14
180	173	Lamar	0.3225	19	14
181	191	UTEP	0.5059	18	16
182	180	Stetson	0.5066	22	12
183	183	Texas State	0.5352	17	18
184	177	North Kentucky	0.5734	18	15
185	196	Saint Peter's	0.5785	19	13
186	179	Wyoming	0.6705	15	17
187	185	Illinois State	0.7182	15	17
188	186	Eastern Kentucky	0.7562	17	14
189	181	Merrimack	0.7697	21	12
190	193	Marist	0.8346	18	13
191	192	Penn	0.9002	11	18
192	182	Utah Valley	0.9624	16	16
193	195	Gardner-Webb	1.032	17	16
194	187	Tulsa	1.0358	16	15
195	194	UIC	1.0434	12	21
196	203	Cleveland State	1.063	19	14
197	184	Jacksonville St	1.0638	14	18
198	197	Wofford	1.139	17	15
199	215	Fordham	1.1513	13	20
200	200	Norfolk State	1.1573	22	11
201	201	Evansville	1.1978	16	17
202	234	Temple	1.2078	16	20
203	204	Maine	1.2218	15	17
204	208	UT Martin	1.2536	21	11
205	202	Radford	1.2537	16	17
206	205	North Colorado	1.3008	19	13
207	207	Loyola Marymount	1.3062	12	19
208	199	East Carolina	1.39	15	18
209	211	La Salle	1.3907	16	17
210	206	Iona	1.4059	16	17
211	190	N Carolina Cent	1.5313	18	13
212	209	UMKC	1.571	16	16
213	213	Austin Peay	1.5951	19	15
214	212	Georgia State	1.6273	14	17
215	218	Columbia	1.7075	13	14
216	219	Rider	1.7712	15	17
217	220	Vanderbilt	1.8043	9	23
218	221	Saint Louis	1.8228	13	20
219	217	George Washington	1.8492	15	17
220	229	New Hampshire	1.8557	16	15
221	222	Harvard	1.9165	14	13
222	223	Rhode Island	2.0049	12	20
223	225	Albany	2.0329	13	19
224	216	Georgetown	2.0464	9	23
225	210	Southern	2.0712	18	14
226	224	North Florida	2.0945	16	16
227	214	Mt. St. Mary's	2.0975	13	19
228	227	North Alabama	2.1103	15	17
229	226	UC Santa Barbara	2.1343	16	15
230	228	North Dakota	2.1665	18	14
231	233	Central Conn	2.2103	20	11
232	245	Nicholls	2.2326	20	14
233	232	Louisville	2.3249	8	24
234	230	Cal Baptist	2.353	16	17
235	241	Milwaukee	2.3723	20	15
236	231	Bowling Green	2.3743	20	13
237	238	Green Bay	2.4336	18	14
238	235	Northeastern	2.4809	12	20
239	239	Abilene Christian	2.5001	15	17
240	242	CSU Northridge	2.6402	19	15
241	240	Rice	2.684	11	21
242	237	Lehigh	2.712	14	18
243	236	UC Riverside	2.7481	16	18
244	243	Mercer	2.804	16	17
245	244	Western Illinois	2.8491	21	12
246	273	Montana State	3.0119	17	17
247	248	Texas Southern	3.0204	16	16
248	249	CSU Fullerton	3.0311	14	18
249	247	Kennesaw St	3.0354	15	16
250	251	Marshall	3.0881	13	20
251	250	Florida Gulf Coast	3.1389	14	18
252	246	Miami (OH)	3.1616	15	17
253	252	Jacksonville	3.2023	16	17
254	254	Southern Miss	3.2867	16	16
255	255	Queens	3.3645	14	19
256	260	Canisius	3.4147	14	18
257	257	CSU Bakersfield	3.4434	13	19
258	259	Ball State	3.4609	15	16
259	258	Omaha	3.4844	15	18
260	253	Idaho State	3.4922	14	20
261	261	The Citadel	3.499	11	21
262	262	Pepperdine	3.5329	13	20
263	263	Presbyterian	3.584	14	18
264	264	Binghamton	3.6162	15	15
265	256	Niagara	3.6349	16	16
266	282	Grambling	3.6568	20	14
267	265	Southern Utah	3.7341	10	21
268	280	Howard	3.7714	18	16
269	268	San Jose State	3.7886	9	23
270	266	Bucknell	3.8083	14	19
271	269	Denver	3.8619	17	17
272	267	UT San Antonio	3.8718	11	21
273	270	Portland State	3.9085	17	15
274	276	Fresno State	3.91	12	21
275	271	South Alabama	3.9298	16	16
276	272	North Dakota St	3.9871	15	17
277	274	UMBC	4.0801	11	21
278	277	SIU-Edwardsville	4.127	17	16
279	284	Wagner	4.2043	16	15
280	275	Air Force	4.3152	9	22
281	290	Delaware State	4.316	15	18
282	279	American	4.3509	16	16
283	278	Central Michigan	4.4272	18	14
284	283	Sacred Heart	4.4731	16	16
285	281	S Carolina Upstate	4.5629	10	20
286	285	Tennessee St	4.6303	18	15
287	286	SE Louisiana	4.7372	15	17
288	287	Le Moyne	4.7613	15	17
289	289	Boston U	4.8972	16	17
290	291	Oral Roberts	5.1159	12	19
291	297	Bethune-Cookman	5.2006	17	16
292	295	Chicago State	5.2668	12	18
293	294	Florida Intl	5.2918	11	22
294	288	Alcorn State	5.2958	14	18
295	292	Mid Tennessee	5.3112	14	19
296	296	Georgia Southern	5.4574	9	24
297	293	Jackson State	5.5648	15	17
298	301	Eastern Illinois	5.6682	14	18
299	299	Alabama State	5.6759	13	19
300	302	UL Monroe	5.7811	11	19
301	305	North Illinois	5.8784	11	20
302	304	San Diego	5.9175	18	15
303	298	New Mexico St	5.9181	13	19
304	303	Campbell	5.9354	14	18
305	306	Utah Tech	5.946	11	20
306	300	West Michigan	6.087	12	20
307	308	Bellarmine	6.1376	8	23
308	307	South Carolina St	6.4291	14	18
309	309	Charleston South	6.4833	10	20
310	310	Old Dominion	6.502	7	25
311	311	William & Mary	6.5562	10	23
312	313	Sacramento St	6.6042	10	24
313	312	Valparaiso	6.6076	7	25
314	315	Robert Morris	6.6912	10	22
315	314	Elon	6.7313	13	19
316	316	North Arizona	6.8091	14	19
317	317	Navy	6.8744	13	18
318	319	Northwestern St	7.3807	9	23
319	320	Portland	7.4222	12	21
320	318	Texas A&M-Com	7.5078	13	20
321	321	Fairleigh Dickinson	7.5639	15	17
322	323	Lafayette	7.6528	11	21
323	322	Idaho	7.6626	11	21
324	324	South Dakota	7.8249	12	20
325	330	DePaul	7.9202	3	29
326	326	Ark-Pine Bluff	7.9989	13	18
327	325	Morgan State	8.247	11	20
328	328	Prairie View A&M	8.311	10	21
329	327	Coastal Carolina	8.3671	9	22
330	329	Southern Indiana	8.4814	8	24
331	331	New Orleans	8.9151	10	23
332	336	Alabama A&M	8.937	11	22
333	332	NJIT	8.9688	7	21
334	333	Tennessee Tech	9.0301	10	21
335	334	Dartmouth	9.0739	6	21
336	335	Eastern Michigan	9.485	13	18
337	339	Manhattan	9.5568	7	23
338	338	Hampton	9.7112	9	24
339	340	Florida A&M	9.7565	6	23
340	337	Central Arkansas	9.7879	9	23
341	341	Army	9.8752	10	22
342	342	Incarnate Word	10.216	8	23
343	343	UT Rio Grande	10.338	6	25
344	346	Maryland-E Shore	10.534	9	20
345	344	Loyola (MD)	10.6	7	25
346	345	Long Island	10.726	7	22
347	347	Holy Cross	10.856	10	23
348	348	N Carolina A&T	11.067	7	25
349	349	Cal Poly	11.189	4	28
350	350	Houston Baptist	11.538	6	23
351	351	SE Missouri St	11.749	9	22
352	352	St. Francis (PA)	11.838	8	22
353	353	Lindenwood	11.925	9	22
354	354	Stonehill	12.146	4	27
355	355	Detroit Mercy	12.474	1	31
356	356	Buffalo	12.697	4	27
357	357	VMI	13.294	4	28
358	359	Siena	13.422	4	28
359	358	Pacific	13.615	6	26
360	360	Coppin State	14.754	2	27
361	361	IUPUI	15.39	6	26
362	362	Miss Valley St	16.246	1	30