Friday, December 27, 2019

NFL Rankings - 27 Dec

The Baltimore Ravens are far ahead of any other team heading into the final weekend of the regular season, with a group of three teams close together hoping for them to fall. There are many different playoff scenarios that we could see as a result of this weekend's games, and I've broken down each teams' odds at the bottom of this post. Here are my full current rankings and playoff picks:





Actual
Proj



Rank
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
MOV
SOS
Seed
1
1
Baltimore
-13.24
13
2
14
2
1
11
A1
2
2
New England
-9.595
12
3
13
3
2
24
A2
3
3
San Francisco
-9.137
12
3
13
3
3
12
N1
4
4
Kansas City
-8.656
11
4
12
4
4
13
A3
5
6
New Orleans
-5.834
12
3
13
3
6
10
N3
6
5
Minnesota
-5.407
10
5
11
5
5
28
N6
7
9
LA Rams
-3.893
8
7
9
7
11
1

8
7
Dallas
-3.548
7
8
8
8
7
27

9
10
Buffalo
-3.297
10
5
11
5
8
25
A5
10
11
Green Bay
-3.281
12
3
13
3
9
21
N2
11
8
Seattle
-2.086
11
4
11
5
15
2
N5
12
12
Tennessee
-1.878
8
7
8
8
10
22

13
14
Houston
-1.725
10
5
11
5
13
8
A4
14
13
Tampa Bay
-1.09
7
8
8
8
12
14

15
16
Atlanta
0.0158
6
9
6
10
19
6

16
15
Pittsburgh
0.074
8
7
8
8
16
15
A6
17
20
Philadelphia
0.7779
8
7
9
7
14
31
N4
18
22
Indianapolis
0.8405
7
8
8
8
17
29

19
21
Denver
1.3865
6
9
7
9
20
9

20
18
Cleveland
1.4231
6
9
7
9
22
3

21
17
LA Chargers
1.8186
5
10
5
11
18
30

22
19
Chicago
2.2832
7
8
7
9
21
19

23
24
Arizona
3.1949
5.5
9.5
5.5
10.5
23
5

24
23
Carolina
5.7138
5
10
5
11
27
7

25
25
Detroit
6.2118
3.5
11.5
3.5
12.5
24
17

26
28
Oakland
7.2134
7
8
7
9
28
18

27
27
NY Giants
7.4865
4
11
4
12
26
26

28
30
NY Jets
7.6917
6
9
6
10
25
32

29
29
Cincinnati
8.195
1
14
1
15
31
4

30
26
Jacksonville
8.2655
5
10
5
11
29
16

31
31
Washington
9.85
3
12
3
13
30
23

32
32
Miami
11.058
4
11
4
12
32
20


Playoff Picks

Wild Card

(3) Chiefs over (6) Steelers
(4) Texans over (5) Bills
(3) Saints over (6) Vikings
(5) Seahawks over (4) Eagles

Division

(1) Ravens over (4) Texans
(2) Patriots over (3) Chiefs
(1) 49ers over (5) Seahawks
(3) Saints over (2) Packers

Conference

(1) Ravens over (2) Patriots
(1) 49ers over (3) Saints

Super Bowl

(1) Ravens over (1) 49ers


Playoff Scenarios and Odds

AFC

#1 Seed

Ravens have clinched

First Round Bye

Patriots - 97.6%
NE win
or NE loss + KC loss

Chiefs - 2.4%
KC win and NE loss

Playoff Berth

Titans - 62.4%
TEN win
or TEN loss + PIT loss + IND loss

Steelers - 29.1%
PIT win + TEN loss
or PIT loss + TEN loss + IND win + OAK loss
or PIT loss + TEN loss + IND win + OAK win + MIN win + GB win + KC win + MIA win

Raiders - 8.5%
OAK win + PIT loss + IND win + CHI or DET or LAC or NE win

NFC

#1 Seed

49ers - 61.1%
SF win

Packers - 26.0%
GB win + SF loss

Saints - 9.2%
NO win + SF loss + GB loss

Seahawks - 3.7%
SEA win + GB loss + NO loss

First Round Bye

Packers - 76.3%
GB win
or GB loss + NO loss

49ers - 61.1%
SF win

Saints - 49.7%
NO win + GB loss
or NO win + SF loss
or NO loss + SF loss + GB win

Seahawks - 12.9%
SEA win + GB loss

NFC East (#4 seed)

Eagles - 65.9%
PHI win
or PHI loss + DAL loss

Cowboys - 34.1%
DAL win + PHI loss

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