|
|
|
|
Rec
|
ProjRec
|
SOS
|
||
TW
|
LW
|
Team
|
Rating
|
W
|
L
|
W
|
L
|
Curr
|
1
|
1
|
Alabama
|
-27.955
|
12
|
1
|
12
|
1
|
5
|
2
|
2
|
TCU
|
-27.639
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
92
|
3
|
11
|
Ohio State
|
-26.711
|
12
|
1
|
12
|
1
|
68
|
4
|
4
|
Oregon
|
-26.086
|
12
|
1
|
12
|
1
|
70
|
5
|
3
|
Georgia
|
-22.41
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
16
|
6
|
5
|
Ole
Miss
|
-21.598
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
2
|
7
|
8
|
Michigan State
|
-20.755
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
100
|
8
|
7
|
Mississippi State
|
-20.457
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
13
|
9
|
13
|
Baylor
|
-20.017
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
89
|
10
|
6
|
Boise State
|
-19.69
|
11
|
2
|
11
|
2
|
50
|
11
|
10
|
Louisiana
Tech
|
-19.527
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
33
|
12
|
12
|
Arkansas
|
-19.471
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
3
|
13
|
9
|
Marshall
|
-19.148
|
12
|
1
|
12
|
1
|
103
|
14
|
14
|
Georgia Tech
|
-17.496
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
17
|
15
|
18
|
Auburn
|
-16.471
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
1
|
16
|
17
|
Memphis
|
-16.307
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
107
|
17
|
19
|
Kansas State
|
-15.224
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
39
|
18
|
15
|
Oklahoma
|
-15.222
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
29
|
19
|
20
|
Florida
|
-14.072
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
5
|
24
|
20
|
21
|
Brigham
Young
|
-13.959
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
64
|
21
|
23
|
Clemson
|
-13.003
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
55
|
22
|
22
|
LSU
|
-12.773
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
7
|
23
|
25
|
Cincinnati
|
-12.369
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
84
|
24
|
24
|
USC
|
-11.883
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
77
|
25
|
27
|
Tennessee
|
-11.615
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
4
|
26
|
31
|
Florida State
|
-11.582
|
13
|
0
|
13
|
0
|
45
|
27
|
29
|
UCLA
|
-10.756
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
8
|
28
|
30
|
Colorado
State
|
-10.596
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
106
|
29
|
32
|
Louisville
|
-10.332
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
67
|
30
|
33
|
Stanford
|
-10.236
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
51
|
31
|
36
|
UCF
|
-9.6425
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
122
|
32
|
35
|
West Virginia
|
-9.612
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
25
|
33
|
34
|
Western Michigan
|
-9.2254
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
119
|
34
|
26
|
Missouri
|
-9.2208
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
9
|
35
|
37
|
Georgia
Southern
|
-8.7847
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
112
|
36
|
16
|
Wisconsin
|
-8.6441
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
99
|
37
|
57
|
Northern Illinois
|
-8.2319
|
11
|
2
|
11
|
2
|
110
|
38
|
40
|
Texas A&M
|
-8.2074
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
6
|
39
|
38
|
Arizona State
|
-8.0271
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
76
|
40
|
39
|
Utah
State
|
-7.9926
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
4
|
73
|
41
|
42
|
Miami (FL)
|
-7.6913
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
12
|
42
|
28
|
Arizona
|
-7.4611
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
36
|
43
|
41
|
South Carolina
|
-7.3945
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
14
|
44
|
43
|
Arkansas State
|
-7.3356
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
105
|
45
|
45
|
Western
Kentucky
|
-6.8894
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
72
|
46
|
46
|
Appalachian
State
|
-6.5921
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
125
|
47
|
44
|
East Carolina
|
-6.4094
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
120
|
48
|
47
|
Louisiana-Lafayette
|
-6.3572
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
69
|
49
|
49
|
Washington
|
-5.708
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
95
|
50
|
54
|
Houston
|
-5.669
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
118
|
51
|
50
|
Boston College
|
-5.6594
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
52
|
52
|
48
|
Nebraska
|
-5.5886
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
90
|
53
|
52
|
Minnesota
|
-5.3922
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
57
|
54
|
53
|
UAB
|
-5.2946
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
32
|
55
|
56
|
Navy
|
-5.2921
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
80
|
56
|
55
|
Virginia Tech
|
-5.0463
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
22
|
57
|
51
|
Toledo
|
-4.7117
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
113
|
58
|
60
|
Virginia
|
-4.3488
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
23
|
59
|
58
|
Duke
|
-4.2887
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
111
|
60
|
59
|
Pittsburgh
|
-4.1962
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
48
|
61
|
62
|
North Carolina State
|
-4.0092
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
61
|
62
|
63
|
Air Force
|
-3.9926
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
98
|
63
|
61
|
Nevada
|
-3.908
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
65
|
64
|
64
|
San Diego State
|
-3.811
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
116
|
65
|
66
|
Texas
|
-1.6567
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
27
|
66
|
65
|
Utah
|
-1.6265
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
35
|
67
|
67
|
Texas State
|
-1.3824
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
127
|
68
|
70
|
Temple
|
-1.027
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
87
|
69
|
68
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-0.594
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
38
|
70
|
72
|
Fresno
State
|
-0.0563
|
6
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
63
|
71
|
71
|
North Carolina
|
0.09621
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
19
|
72
|
73
|
Ball
State
|
0.63674
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
121
|
73
|
69
|
Iowa
|
0.74917
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
115
|
74
|
74
|
UTEP
|
1.039
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
104
|
75
|
75
|
Maryland
|
1.65163
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
56
|
76
|
82
|
Penn State
|
1.68203
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
88
|
77
|
78
|
Central Michigan
|
1.74758
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
124
|
78
|
77
|
Rice
|
1.86925
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
82
|
79
|
84
|
Michigan
|
2.08645
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
59
|
80
|
79
|
Notre Dame
|
2.10759
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
58
|
81
|
76
|
Kentucky
|
2.25644
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
11
|
82
|
80
|
California
|
2.34153
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
37
|
83
|
83
|
Buffalo
|
3.21231
|
5
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
128
|
84
|
97
|
Oklahoma State
|
3.79104
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
30
|
85
|
85
|
Louisiana-Monroe
|
3.87757
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
74
|
86
|
87
|
Ohio
|
4.19482
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
102
|
87
|
86
|
Northwestern
|
4.48091
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
94
|
88
|
89
|
Old Dominion
|
4.67722
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
85
|
89
|
90
|
Florida
Atlantic
|
4.85981
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
43
|
90
|
88
|
Illinois
|
4.86246
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
47
|
91
|
91
|
South Alabama
|
4.95745
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
71
|
92
|
92
|
Florida International
|
5.17093
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
101
|
93
|
94
|
North Texas
|
5.43529
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
117
|
94
|
93
|
Texas Tech
|
5.47612
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
15
|
95
|
96
|
Rutgers
|
6.28799
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
44
|
96
|
95
|
Akron
|
6.3041
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
123
|
97
|
81
|
Bowling Green
|
7.01777
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
6
|
93
|
98
|
98
|
Miami (OH)
|
7.52482
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
78
|
99
|
99
|
New Mexico
|
7.94992
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
81
|
100
|
100
|
Washington
State
|
8.17927
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
34
|
101
|
104
|
Wyoming
|
8.32773
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
28
|
102
|
101
|
Indiana
|
8.37288
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
62
|
103
|
102
|
Syracuse
|
8.43947
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
49
|
104
|
103
|
Colorado
|
8.67245
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
31
|
105
|
105
|
Hawaii
|
8.77614
|
4
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
109
|
106
|
107
|
Southern Miss
|
9.02118
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
10
|
107
|
111
|
UTSA
|
9.9102
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
83
|
108
|
109
|
Vanderbilt
|
9.95481
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
18
|
109
|
110
|
Army
|
10.0167
|
4
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
114
|
110
|
106
|
Purdue
|
10.0417
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
75
|
111
|
112
|
Wake Forest
|
10.1703
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
41
|
112
|
116
|
Kent State
|
10.1708
|
2
|
9
|
2
|
9
|
96
|
113
|
113
|
Oregon
State
|
10.1999
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
54
|
114
|
108
|
Tulane
|
10.7636
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
42
|
115
|
117
|
San
Jose State
|
10.7723
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
46
|
116
|
114
|
Massachusetts
|
10.9119
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
126
|
117
|
115
|
South Florida
|
11.2452
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
91
|
118
|
118
|
Troy
|
11.3098
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
97
|
119
|
120
|
Idaho
|
12.2108
|
1
|
10
|
1
|
10
|
86
|
120
|
121
|
Tulsa
|
12.2237
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
60
|
121
|
122
|
UNLV
|
12.7897
|
2
|
11
|
2
|
11
|
53
|
122
|
123
|
Kansas
|
13.0331
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
20
|
123
|
119
|
Iowa State
|
15.4229
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
26
|
124
|
124
|
Connecticut
|
17.0243
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
79
|
125
|
125
|
New
Mexico State
|
18.7193
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
108
|
126
|
126
|
Georgia
State
|
21.7903
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
66
|
127
|
128
|
Southern Methodist
|
21.8498
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
21
|
128
|
127
|
Eastern Michigan
|
21.9175
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
40
|
Here is a breakdown of each of the top 6 playoff contenders and some pertinent stats, including their rank among the six in each category:
PD=Point Differential, SOS=Strength of Schedule Conf=Conference Strength
Alabama - PD +20.5 (5th), SOS #5 (1st), Conf (1st)
TCU - PD +26.5 (1st), SOS #92 (6th), Conf (3rd)
Ohio State - PD +24.0 (3rd), SOS #68 (3rd), Conf (5th)
Oregon - PD +23.8 (4th), SOS #70 (4th), Conf (2nd)
Baylor - PD +24.6 (2nd), SOS #89 (5th), Conf (3rd)
Florida State - PD +11.8 (6th), SOS #45 (2nd), Conf (4th)
By adding up those rankings, you end up with the 6 teams in this order:
Alabama - 7
TCU - 10
Oregon - 10
Baylor - 10
Ohio State - 11
Florida State - 12
The Seminoles are the worst of these 6 teams according to this method and my regular formula, but due to their undefeated record they are being allowed to participate in the playoff, which caused both Big 12 champs to be excluded. While a 4-team model is much better than the 2-team model of previous seasons, it still needs to be expanded to either 8 or 16 teams, which would make conference championships actually matter.
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