Sunday, November 28, 2010

College Football Rankings - 28 Nov

Disclaimer: This is a ranking of the best teams in college football, not a listing of whom I believe should be included in a championship game. With the current system in place, I believe that a team must win its conference to be included in the title game, which would disqualify both Stanford and Boise State, who are near the top this week. Once again, these rankings are 100% unbiased and based solely on pure statistical facts. The team's name is followed by their record, their rating, and their previous ranking.

1. Oregon (11-0) -44.18 (1)
2. Stanford (11-1) -41.17 (3)
3. Boise State (10-1) -38.87 (2)
4. TCU (12-0) -34.35 (4)
5. Ohio State (11-1) -30.48 (6)
6. Alabama (9-3) -29.89 (5)
7. Auburn (12-0) -28.73 (8)
8. Wisconsin (11-1) -27.79 (10)
9. Oklahoma (10-2) -27.08 (7)
10. South Carolina (9-3) -26.61 (12)
11. Arizona State (5-6) -26.23 (9)
12. Arizona (7-4) -25.55 (16)
13. Florida State (9-3) -25.47 (21)
14. Arkansas (10-2) -24.71 (11)
15. Virginia Tech (10-2) -24.52 (13)
16. Nevada (11-1) -24.22 (24)
17. Nebraska (10-2) -24.18 (17)
18. Oklahoma State (10-2) -23.04 (15)
19. West Virginia (8-3) -22.34 (NR)
20. USC (7-5) -22.30 (20)
21. Texas A&M (9-3) -22.23 (22)
22. Missouri (10-2) -21.99 (18)
23. LSU (10-2) -21.19 (NR)
24. Northern Illinois (10-2) -20.52 (NR)
25. Oregon State (5-6) -20.47 (14)

Dropped from rankings:
26. Florida (7-5) -19.67 (19)
27. Utah (10-2) -19.63 (23)
31. Iowa (7-5) -18.58 (25)

As I mentioned above, the fact that I have Oregon and Stanford in the top 2 spots does not mean that I believe they should play for the national championship. I believe that, as of today, Oregon should face TCU in the title game, although if Auburn does win the SEC, they may have enough points to pass TCU.

Boise State drops only one spot to #3, which makes sense, considering their only loss in on the road against another 1-loss team by 3 points. Nevada made a big move with their upset over Boise, but their earlier loss to Hawaii is what kept them out of BCS contention.

Alabama is still ranked just above Auburn, which may seem odd after the result of Friday's game, but Alabama's 3 losses all came to ranked teams in very competitive games, so they remain highly ranked for the same reason that Boise does.

Florida State made a big move with their huge win over in-state rival Florida, which should make this week's ACC Championship matchup with Virginia Tech a very fun game to watch.

West Virginia gives the Big East its first ranked team in quite a few weeks. Even with their ranking, they are not currently in position to represent the Big East in the BCS, as that would go to Connecticut if the teams were to remain in their current positions.

LSU entered the rankings following a loss, which seems odd, but makes sense, considering that I predicted a much larger loss than actually occurred. LSU has been a classic example of playing to the level of their opponents this year, narrowly escaping against Tennessee and Mississippi, but playing strongly against Auburn, Alabama, and Arkansas.

Northern Illinois also enters the rankings this week after obliterating everyone in the MAC schedule. Even the MAC Championship game should be a laugher this week, with an opponent (Miami-Ohio) ranked at #95 out of 120 teams in these rankings.

Oregon State narrowly remained in the rankings this week after a shutout loss to Stanford, but a victory this week in the Civil War with Oregon would not only move them up in the rankings and ruin Oregon's chance at the National Championship, it would also make the Beavers bowl-eligible, which shouldn't have been an issue at this point in the season with a team this talented.

Florida dropped from the rankings for losing a game against Florida State that should have been close but wasn't, Utah drops because their game against BYU was far too close, and Iowa fell out for losing another game to a team that shouldn't have had a chance against them, much like their loss to Northwestern a couple weeks ago.

NBA Predictions - 28 Nov

Hawks at Raptors - Raptors by 1
Knicks at Pistons - Pistons by 2
Spurs at Hornets - Hornets by 3
Jazz at Clippers - Jazz by 7
Thunder at Rockets - Thunder by 1
Blazers at Nets - Blazers by 1
Suns at Nuggets - Nuggets by 7
Pacers at Lakers - Lakers by 8

Prediction Results - 27 Nov

NBA: 6/7 (.857) 40/58 overall (.690)
College Football: 14/20 (.700) 29/39 overall (.744)

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