Football Predictions - 21 Nov thru 27 Nov

Upset picks are in italics.

Tuesday

Bowling Green at Western Michigan - Falcons by 3

Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - Bulls by 7.5

Thursday

(13) Ole Miss at Mississippi State - Rebels by 9.5

Green Bay at Detroit - Lions by 8.5

Washington at Dallas - Cowboys by 19

San Francisco at Seattle - 49ers by 10

Friday

TCU at (14) Oklahoma - Sooners by 13.5

(16) Iowa at Nebraska - Hawkeyes by 0.5

Miami at Boston College - Hurricanes by 7.5

Memphis at Temple - Tigers by 15

Toledo at Central Michigan - Rockets by 12.5

Ohio at Akron - Bobcats by 12

UTSA at (24) Tulane - Green Wave by 5

Utah State at New Mexico - Aggies by 0.5

(9) Missouri at Arkansas - Tigers by 6.5

Air Force at Boise State - Broncos by 5

Texas Tech at (7) Texas - Longhorns by 16.5

(12) Penn State at Michigan State - Nittany Lions by 18.5

(11) Oregon State at (6) Oregon - Ducks by 10

Miami at NY Jets - Dolphins by 5

Saturday

(2) Ohio State at (3) Michigan - Wolverines by 6

Kentucky at (10) Louisville - Cardinals by 12.5

Texas A&M at (15) LSU - Tigers by 7.5

Indiana at Purdue - Boilermakers by 5

Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston - Blue Raiders by 1

UConn vs. UMass - Minutemen by 2.5

Pittsburgh at Duke - Blue Devils by 16

Houston at UCF - Knights by 12

Navy at SMU - Mustangs by 19.5

Troy at Southern Miss - Trojans by 15

Northern Illinois at Kent State - Huskies by 11.5

Miami (OH) at Ball State - Redhawks by 10.5

FAU at Rice - Rice Owls by 8.5

Wake Forest at Syracuse - Orange by 7

Tulsa at East Carolina - Pirates by 5.5

UAB at North Texas - Mean Green by 7

Georgia State at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 4.5

Colorado at (22) Utah - Utes by 11

Western Kentucky at FIU - Hilltoppers by 11.5

UL Monroe at Louisiana - Ragin Cajuns by 13.5

San Jose State at UNLV - Rebels by 6.5

(8) Alabama at Auburn - Crimson Tide by 7.5

(17) Arizona at Arizona State - Wildcats by 12

Vanderbilt at (18) Tennessee - Volunteers by 21

BYU at (23) Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 11.5

Northwestern at Illinois - Illini by 2

Wisconsin at Minnesota - Badgers by 0.5

Maryland at Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 2

Liberty at UTEP - Flames by 17

Virginia Tech at Virginia - Hokies by 0.5

Georgia Southern at Appalachian State - Mountaineers by 9.5

James Madison at Coastal Carolina - Dukes by 2

Arkansas State at Marshall - Red Wolves by 2

Washington State at (5) Washington - Huskies by 16.5

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State - Aggies by 4.5

(4) Florida State at Florida - Seminoles by 11.5

(19) Notre Dame at Stanford - Irish by 18.5

West Virginia at Baylor - Mountaineers by 9

South Alabama at Texas State - Jaguars by 1.5

(1) Georgia at Georgia Tech - Bulldogs by 12

(25) Kansas at Cincinnati - Jayhawks by 8

Clemson at South Carolina - Tigers by 4

Charlotte at South Florida - Bulls by 6

(20) North Carolina at NC State - Wolfpack by 0.5

Iowa State at (21) Kansas State - Wildcats by 14.5

Wyoming at Nevada - Cowboys by 10

California at UCLA - Bruins by 12

Fresno State at San Diego State - Bulldogs by 5

Colorado State at Hawaii - Rams by 1.5

Sunday

New Orleans at Atlanta - Saints by 1.5

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati - Bengals by 3

Carolina at Tennessee - Titans by 11

Tampa Bay at Indianapolis - Colts by 2.5

New England at NY Giants - Giants by 1.5

Jacksonville at Houston - Texans by 0.5

Cleveland at Denver - Browns by 8

LA Rams at Arizona - Rams by 3.5

Kansas City at Las Vegas - Chiefs by 8

Buffalo at Philadelphia - Eagles by 3

Baltimore at LA Chargers - Ravens by 5.5

Monday

Chicago at Minnesota - Vikings by 11

Results

NCAA: 55-13 (.809) 596-196 overall (.753)

Upsets: 6-3 (.667) 44-62 overall (.415)

NFL: 10-4 (.714) 97-67 overall (.591)

Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 16-23 overall (.410)

NCAA Football Rankings - 19 Nov

Michigan and Ohio State remain atop the college football rankings heading into their matchup next week to close out the regular season, but the rest of the top 10 shifted around behind them. Florida State dropped 4 spots after their already-weak strength of schedule took a big hit with their game against North Alabama, while Georgia continued to climb after beating a good team for the third straight week. Four Power 5 teams are projected to finish the regular season undefeated, though I project Washington to lose to Oregon in the conference title game, leaving the final playoff spot to the Ducks, with Ohio State and Texas being left out. Here are my full current rankings, with projected conference champs in bold, runners-up underlined, and playoff teams in red:

						Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L
1	1	Michigan	-23.89	11	0	12	0
2	2	Ohio State	-21.79	11	0	11	1
3	4	Oregon	-20.01	10	1	11	1
4	5	Penn State	-19.48	9	2	10	2
5	6	Texas	-18.87	10	1	11	1
6	10	Georgia	-18.66	11	0	12	0
7	3	Florida State	-18.42	11	0	12	0
8	7	Kansas State	-18.03	8	3	9	3
9	8	Oklahoma	-17.73	9	2	10	2
10	11	Washington	-17.21	11	0	12	0
11	9	Alabama	-16.6	10	1	11	1
12	12	Notre Dame	-16.47	8	3	8	3
13	13	LSU	-14.34	8	3	9	3
14	14	Oregon State	-13.8	8	3	8	4
15	18	Louisville	-12.15	10	1	11	1
16	25	Arizona	-11.47	8	3	9	3
17	16	Ole Miss	-11.41	9	2	10	2
18	15	Missouri	-11.39	9	2	10	2
19	20	Liberty	-11.11	11	0	12	0
20	17	Texas A&M	-10.66	7	4	7	5
21	19	Troy	-10.43	9	2	10	2
22	28	Clemson	-9.741	7	4	8	4
23	30	SMU	-9.39	9	2	10	2
24	21	Duke	-9.345	6	5	7	5
25	22	North Carolina	-9.298	8	3	8	4
26	36	UCLA	-9.052	7	4	8	4
27	27	Miami	-8.627	6	5	7	5
28	24	James Madison	-8.515	10	1	11	1
29	33	Kansas	-8.004	7	4	8	4
30	26	Tennessee	-7.977	7	4	8	4
31	23	USC	-7.934	7	5	6	5
32	35	TCU	-7.777	5	6	5	7
33	29	Utah	-7.73	7	4	8	4
34	34	Iowa State	-7.207	6	5	6	6
35	39	West Virginia	-6.727	7	4	8	4
36	38	Oklahoma State	-6.68	8	3	9	3
37	40	Maryland	-6.49	6	5	6	6
38	41	NC State	-6.165	8	3	9	3
39	37	Texas Tech	-6.162	6	5	6	6
40	32	Iowa	-6.127	9	2	10	2
41	44	UNLV	-5.477	9	2	10	2
42	31	Auburn	-5.21	6	5	6	6
43	45	UCF	-5.192	5	6	6	6
44	42	Rutgers	-4.856	6	5	7	5
45	60	Boise State	-4.757	6	5	7	5
46	46	Toledo	-4.738	10	1	11	1
47	43	Miami (OH)	-4.738	9	2	10	2
48	54	Tulane	-4.325	10	1	11	1
49	64	Washington St	-4.252	5	6	5	7
50	51	Memphis	-3.79	8	3	9	3
51	49	Wisconsin	-3.783	6	5	7	5
52	55	Appalachian St	-3.706	7	4	8	4
53	48	Air Force	-3.438	8	3	8	4
54	65	South Alabama	-3.287	6	5	7	5
55	53	Kentucky	-3.244	6	5	6	6
56	57	UT San Antonio	-3.19	8	3	8	4
57	59	Florida	-3.026	5	6	5	7
58	56	Georgia Tech	-2.954	6	5	6	6
59	50	San Jose State	-2.947	6	5	6	5
60	47	Virginia Tech	-2.82	5	6	6	6
61	52	Coastal Carolina	-2.551	7	4	7	5
62	74	New Mexico St	-2.492	9	3	10	2
63	70	Jacksonville State	-1.976	8	3	7	4
64	63	South Carolina	-1.949	5	6	5	7
65	61	Nebraska	-1.786	5	6	5	7
66	66	West Kentucky	-1.08	6	5	7	5
67	67	Arkansas	-0.941	4	7	4	8
68	71	California	-0.847	5	6	5	7
69	58	Colorado	-0.359	4	7	4	8
70	72	Northwestern	-0.1	6	5	6	6
71	68	Syracuse	0.1087	5	6	6	6
72	62	Fresno State	0.1569	8	3	9	3
73	88	Arkansas State	0.4609	6	5	7	5
74	73	Minnesota	0.6297	5	6	5	7
75	76	Ohio	0.7838	8	3	9	2
76	78	Bowling Green	0.9392	6	5	7	5
77	81	BYU	1.2223	5	6	5	7
78	90	Wyoming	1.3273	7	4	8	4
79	82	Virginia	1.6404	3	8	3	9
80	77	Purdue	1.6513	3	8	4	8
81	85	Illinois	1.7792	5	6	6	6
82	94	Rice	1.9494	5	6	6	6
83	84	Mississippi St	1.9541	5	6	5	7
84	69	Texas State	2.0024	6	5	6	6
85	75	Georgia Southern	2.0241	6	5	6	6
86	92	Louisiana	2.0481	5	6	6	6
87	80	Indiana	2.6387	3	8	3	9
88	93	Michigan St	2.6512	4	7	4	8
89	83	Boston College	2.7703	6	5	6	6
90	89	Pittsburgh	2.8688	3	8	3	9
91	87	Houston	3.1731	4	7	4	8
92	86	Wake Forest	3.229	4	7	4	8
93	98	Army	3.4654	5	6	6	6
94	91	Cincinnati	3.6622	3	8	3	9
95	99	Old Dominion	3.875	5	6	6	6
96	97	Mid Tennessee	4.1578	4	7	5	7
97	79	Utah State	4.4004	5	6	6	6
98	96	Arizona State	4.5179	3	8	3	9
99	95	Georgia State	4.5947	6	5	6	6
100	108	Northern Illinois	5.3057	5	6	6	6
101	102	Stanford	5.9957	3	8	3	9
102	100	Marshall	6.044	5	6	5	7
103	101	Baylor	6.1392	3	8	3	9
104	107	Navy	6.1486	5	5	5	6
105	110	North Texas	6.4553	4	7	5	7
106	104	East Carolina	6.5197	2	9	3	9
107	106	Colorado State	6.5655	5	6	6	6
108	103	Florida Atlantic	6.7698	4	7	4	8
109	105	West Michigan	7.7843	4	7	4	8
110	109	Tulsa	8.3148	3	8	3	9
111	111	Southern Miss	8.4715	3	8	3	9
112	124	New Mexico	8.7289	4	7	4	8
113	120	Sam Houston	8.8538	2	9	2	10
114	116	UMass	9.0235	3	8	3	8
115	115	San Diego State	9.1061	3	8	2	9
116	114	Vanderbilt	9.111	2	9	1	10
117	113	Louisiana Tech	9.1761	3	9	2	9
118	117	Buffalo	9.3564	3	8	4	8
119	112	South Florida	9.3625	5	6	6	6
120	121	Ball State	9.6726	4	7	4	8
121	118	UAB	9.8439	4	7	4	8
122	123	UTEP	9.858	3	8	3	8
123	126	Central Michigan	11.321	5	6	5	7
124	127	Connecticut	11.351	2	9	2	10
125	122	Hawaii	11.647	4	8	4	8
126	125	Louisiana Monroe	11.751	2	9	2	10
127	119	Charlotte	11.789	3	8	3	9
128	128	Eastern Michigan	13.254	5	6	5	7
129	131	Florida Intl	14.077	4	7	4	7
130	130	Temple	14.817	3	8	3	9
131	129	Nevada	14.918	2	9	2	10
132	132	Akron	16.534	2	9	2	10
133	133	Kent State	20.651	1	10	1	11