Sunday, February 14, 2016

College Basketball Predictions - 14 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

Syracuse at Boston College - Orange by 9
Pittsburgh at (9) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 9
Indiana at (8) Michigan State - Spartans by 9
Maine at Albany - Great Danes by 22
New Hampshire at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 22
Hartford at Vermont - Catamounts by 20
Niagara at Rider - Broncs by 14
UMBC at UMass Lowell - River Hawks by 6
South Florida at Temple - Owls by 17
Massachusetts at Duquesne - Dukes by 9
Canisius at Saint Peter's - Peacocks by 6
Bradley at Illinois State - Redbirds by 19
Evansville at Loyola (CHI) - Aces by 3
Washington State at Utah - Utes by 17
(12) Miami (FL) at Florida State - Hurricanes by 1
Minnesota at (4) Iowa - Hawkeyes by 25
(23) USC at (17) Arizona - Wildcats by 8
UCLA at Arizona State - Sun Devils by 5

Pick of the Day

Illinois State

Last week the Redbirds shocked the Wichita State Shockers, handing them their first conference loss of the season. Today, they are hosting Bradley, which has already lost 11 times in the conference.

Prediction Results

College Basketball: 100-43 (.699) 3482-1125 overall (.756)
Upsets: 15-10 (.600) 322-285 overall (.530)
Pick of the Day: 85-6 (.934)

Saturday, February 13, 2016

NBA Rankings - 13 Feb

The Charlotte Hornets were projected to miss the playoffs a week ago, stuck at 9th place in the East, but with a 3-0 record this week they vaulted into a projected #6 finish in the East, with a 22-point road win over Indiana doing the bulk of the damage. There is only projected to be a 4-game difference between the 4-seed, which earns home court in the first round, and #9, which will sit out come playoff time, so anything could happen in the last 2 months of the season. Here are my full current rankings:





Rec
Proj

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
PO Seed
1
1
San Antonio
-12.06
45
8
69
13
W2
2
2
Golden State
-11.71
48
4
72
10
W1
3
3
Oklahoma City
-6.982
40
14
58
24
W3
4
4
Cleveland
-5.532
38
14
59
23
E1
5
5
Toronto
-3.982
35
17
54
28
E2
6
7
LA Clippers
-3.72
35
18
52
30
W4
7
6
Boston
-3.716
32
23
49
33
E3
8
9
Atlanta
-2.438
31
24
46
36
E4
9
8
Indiana
-2.008
28
25
45
37
E5
10
11
Utah
-1.3
26
26
41
40
W6
11
12
Charlotte
-1.277
27
26
44
38
E6
12
10
Detroit
-0.757
27
27
42
40
E7
13
15
Portland
-0.455
27
27
40
42
W8
14
14
Miami
0.3289
29
24
42
40
E8
15
13
Chicago
0.7059
27
25
42
40

16
17
Memphis
0.7179
31
22
44
38
W5
17
18
Dallas
0.7377
29
26
41
41
W7
18
16
Houston
1.3013
27
28
39
43

19
23
Orlando
1.528
23
29
37
45

20
21
Denver
1.542
22
32
35
47

21
19
Sacramento
1.6237
22
31
35
47

22
22
Washington
2.0149
23
28
37
44

23
20
New York
2.1692
23
32
35
47

24
24
New Orleans
2.2544
20
33
33
49

25
25
Minnesota
3.6418
17
37
27
55

26
26
Milwaukee
3.8017
22
32
33
49

27
27
Phoenix
5.7922
14
40
23
59

28
28
Brooklyn
6.955
14
40
22
60

29
29
LA Lakers
8.1647
11
44
18
64

30
30
Philadelphia
9.435
8
45
14
68


Playoff Picks

First Round

(1) Cavaliers over (8) Heat
(2) Raptors over (7) Pistons
(3) Celtics over (6) Hornets
(5) Pacers over (4) Hawks
(1) Warriors over (8) Trail Blazers
(2) Spurs over (7) Mavericks
(3) Thunder over (6) Jazz
(4) Clippers over (5) Grizzlies

Second Round

(1) Cavaliers over (5) Pacers
(3) Celtics over (2) Raptors
(1) Warriors over (4) Clippers
(2) Spurs over (3) Thunder

Conference Finals

(1) Cavaliers over (3) Celtics
(2) Spurs over (1) Warriors

NBA Finals

(2) Spurs over (1) Cavaliers

Friday, February 12, 2016

College Basketball Predictions - 13 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

(22) Kentucky at South Carolina - Wildcats by 1
TCU at (10) West Virginia - Mountaineers by 23
Winthrop at Radford - Highlanders by 5
Wake Forest at NC State - Wolfpack by 11
Georgetown at (20) Providence - Friars by 6
Belmont at Morehead State - Eagles by 4
Kent State at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 7
Northern Iowa at (25) Wichita State - Shockers by 15
(15) Texas A&M at LSU - Aggies by 2
Kansas State at Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 3
Drexel at Northeastern - Huskies by 14
Boston U at Loyola (MD) - Greyhounds by 2
Bucknell at Colgate - Raiders by 1
Arkansas at Ole Miss - Rebels by 2
Rice at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 19
Gardner-Webb at Coastal Carolina - Chanticleers by 11
Liberty at Longwood - Lancers by 3
Memphis at Tulane - Tigers by 4
(18) Purdue at Michigan - Boilermakers by 1
Georgia Tech at Clemson - Tigers by 6
Stetson at USC Upstate - Spartans by 1
Navy at Lafayette - Midshipmen by 6
Washington at Colorado - Buffaloes by 5
UAB at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 2
Western Michigan at Bowling Green - Falcons by 5
Fairfield at Quinnipiac - Bobcats by 1
Siena at Iona - Gaels by 5
North Dakota State at Omaha - Mavericks by 6
Tennessee State at Eastern Kentucky - Colonels by 2
New Mexico State at Chicago State - Aggies by 11
(6) Kansas at (3) Oklahoma - Sooners by 4
(5) Xavier at Butler - Bulldogs by 5
Tennessee at Missouri - Volunteers by 3
James Madison at UNC Wilmington - Seahawks by 5
UCF at Houston - Cougars by 13
Green Bay at Oakland - Golden Grizzlies by 10
Milwaukee at Detroit - Panthers by 1
St. Francis (PA) at Mount St. Mary's - Mountaineers by 7
UT Rio Grande Valley at UMKC - Kangaroos by 14
Central Connecticut at Sacred Heart - Pioneers by 14
Florida Gulf Coast at NJIT - Highlanders by 4
Wyoming at Boise State - Broncos by 12
Florida A&M at North Carolina A&T - Aggies by 10
Chattanooga at East Tennessee State - Mocs by 1
BYU at Santa Clara - Cougars by 10
William & Mary at Towson - Tribe by 1
East Carolina at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 21
(13) Louisville at Notre Dame - Cardinals by 1
Ohio State at Rutgers - Buckeyes by 11
Davidson at George Mason - Wildcats by 2
George Washington at St. Bonaventure - Bonnies by 5
North Texas at Charlotte - 49ers by 11
Bethune-Cookman at North Carolina Central - Eagles by 4
Howard at Coppin State - Eagles by 1
Northern Kentucky at UIC - Norse by 5
Maryland-Eastern Shore at Delaware State - Hawks by 2
Savannah State at South Carolina State - Bulldogs by 13
Drake at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 14
(11) Oregon at Stanford - Ducks by 3
Wagner at Bryant - Seahawks by 5
Mercer at Furman - Paladins by 6
Army at American - Black Knights by 2
Southern Utah at Montana State - Bobcats by 16
Indiana State at Missouri State - Sycamores by 1
Jacksonville at Kennesaw State - Owls by 2
(7) Virginia at Duke - Blue Devils by 6
Akron at Northern Illinois - Zips by 2
Ball State at Central Michigan - Chippewas by 5
Samford at Western Carolina - Catamounts by 6
McNeese State at Northwestern State - Demons by 7
Mississippi Valley State at Alcorn State - Braves by 8
Arkansas State at Louisiana Monroe - Warhawks by 11
Nicholls State at SE Louisiana - Golden Lions by 9
North Florida at Lipscomb - Ospreys by 1
Hofstra at Delaware - Pride by 8
Georgia Southern at South Alabama - Jaguars by 1
Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 17
Arkansas-Little Rock at Louisiana Lafayette - Ragin Cajuns by 2
Georgia State at Troy - Trojans by 1
Alabama at Florida - Gators by 14
Houston Baptist at Sam Houston State - Bearkats by 4
South Dakota at South Dakota State - Jackrabbits by 15
San Jose State at New Mexico - Lobos by 16
UTEP at FAU - Miners by 2
Morgan State at Norfolk State - Spartans by 11
San Diego at San Francisco - Dons by 9
Vanderbilt at Auburn - Commodores by 10
Saint Louis at VCU - Rams by 22
Penn State at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 12
Fordham at Richmond - Spiders by 13
Penn at Cornell - Big Red by 6
Robert Morris at Fairleigh Dickinson - Knights by 10
Grambling State at Prairie View A&M - Panthers by 5
Wisconsin at (2) Maryland - Terrapins by 12
Oregon State at California - Golden Bears by 10
Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Southern - Jaguars by 19
Fresno State at Nevada - Wolf Pack by 7
Brown at Dartmouth - Big Green by 8
Charleston at Elon - Phoenix by 2
Charleston Southern at High Point - Panthers by 13
UTSA at FIU - Golden Panthers by 19
Denver at IPFW - Mastodons by 11
Manhattan at Marist - Red Foxes by 2
Miami (OH) at Toledo - Rockets by 17
Cleveland State at Youngstown State - Penguins by 4
Princeton at Columbia - Tigers by 4
Yale at Harvard - Bulldogs by 5
The Citadel at Wofford - Terriers by 15
Texas A&M-CC at Stephen F Austin - Lumberjacks by 11
Alabama State at Alabama A&M - Bulldogs by 8
Campbell at Presbyterian - Blue Hose by 4
Georgia at Mississippi State - Bulldogs by 6
Texas Tech at (21) Baylor - Bears by 9
Tulsa at Connecticut - Huskies by 11
Illinois at Northwestern - Wildcats by 10
Wright State at Valparaiso - Crusaders by 18
Creighton at Marquette - Bluejays by 1
St. John's at (1) Villanova - Wildcats by 32
La Salle at Saint Joseph's - Hawks by 24
Marshall at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 1
Middle Tennessee at Southern Miss - Blue Raiders by 5
SIU Edwardsville at Eastern Illinois - Panthers by 10
SE Missouri State at Murray State - Racers by 17
Western Illinois at Oral Roberts - Golden Eagles by 7
Appalachian State at UT Arlington - Mavericks by 19
Long Beach State at UC Davis - 49ers by 3
(24) Texas at (14) Iowa State - Cyclones by 7
Tennessee Martin at Austin Peay - Governors by 4
Jacksonville State at Tennessee Tech - Golden Eagles by 14
Jackson State at Texas Southern - TSU Tigers by 8
Sacramento State at Idaho State - Bengals by 2
Portland State at Weber State - Wildcats by 16
Northern Arizona at Montana - Grizzlies by 21
Colorado State at UNLV - Rebels by 13
Air Force at San Diego State - Aztecs by 17
North Dakota at Idaho - Vandals by 5
Pepperdine at Pacific - Waves by 1
Gonzaga at (16) SMU - Mustangs by 7
Utah Valley at CSU Bakersfield - Roadrunners by 14
CS Northridge at UC Irvine - Anteaters by 15
Cal Poly at UC Riverside - Highlanders by 4
Loyola Marymount at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 22
Cal State Fullerton at Hawaii - Warriors by 17

Pick of the Day

Saint Joseph's

The Hawks are in second place in the Atlantic 10 and are looking like a probable tourney team, and they are hosting La Salle, the worst team in the conference, so chalk up one more win for Saint Joe.

Prediction Results

College Basketball: 12-1 (.923) 3382-1082 overall (.758)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 307-275 overall (.527)
Pick of the Day: 84-6 (.933)

College Basketball Predictions - 12 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

Princeton at Cornell - Tigers by 10
Brown at Harvard - Crimson by 11
Yale at Dartmouth - Bulldogs by 6
Ohio at Buffalo - Bulls by 8
(19) Dayton at Rhode Island - Flyers by 1
Niagara at Saint Peter's - Peacocks by 12
Penn at Columbia - Lions by 15
Central Arkansas at Incarnate Word - Cardinals by 8
(23) USC at Arizona State - Sun Devils by 1
UCLA at (17) Arizona - Wildcats by 14
Monmouth at Rider - Hawks by 6
Grand Canyon at Seattle - Antelopes by 3

Pick of the Day

Arizona

The Wildcats are perennial contenders, but this year they are in a big fight in the Pac 12, with one more loss than conference-leader Oregon, but tonight they are hosting UCLA, which hasn't done much since conference play started, other than a close win over Arizona in LA over a month ago.

Prediction Results

NBA: 2-0 (1.000) 524-277 overall (.654)
College Basketball: 46-28 (.622) 3370-1081 overall (.757)
Upsets: 6-3 (.667) 306-275 overall (.527)
Pick of the Day: 83-6 (.933)

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Basketball Predictions - 11 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Washington at Milwaukee - Bucks by 1
New Orleans at Oklahoma City - Thunder by 11

College Basketball

UMass Lowell at Maine - Black Bears by 2
St. Francis (PA) at Robert Morris - Colonials by 3
Florida Gulf Coast at USC Upstate - Eagles by 6
UTEP at FIU - Golden Panthers by 6
Stetson at NJIT - Highlanders by 13
North Florida at Kennesaw State - Ospreys by 5
Rice at Charlotte - 49ers by 11
Drexel at Delaware - Blue Hens by 5
Hofstra at William & Mary - Tribe by 7
Northeastern at Towson - Tigers by 5
Gardner-Webb at Campbell - Bulldogs by 1
Connecticut at Temple - Huskies by 3
Milwaukee at Oakland - Golden Grizzlies by 10
Florida State at Syracuse - Orange by 4
Albany at New Hampshire - Great Danes by 4
Binghamton at Hartford - Hawks by 3
Stony Brook at UMBC - Seawolves by 15
High Point at Coastal Carolina - Chanticleers by 7
Longwood at Winthrop - Eagles by 13
VCU at Massachusetts - Rams by 10
Elon at UNC Wilmington - Seahawks by 12
UTSA at FAU - Owls by 13
North Texas at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 17
Canisius at Siena - Saints by 12
Green Bay at Detroit - Titans by 1
Sacred Heart at Mount St. Mary's - Mountaineers by 10
The Citadel at Furman - Paladins by 17
Samford at East Tennessee State - Buccaneers by 11
Mercer at Wofford - Terriers by 2
UNC Greensboro at VMI - Spartans by 1
Wagner at LIU Brooklyn - Seahawks by 2
Central Connecticut at St. Francis (BKN) - Terriers by 17
Eastern Kentucky at Morehead State - Eagles by 9
SE Missouri State at Tennessee-Martin - Skyhawks by 17
Chattanooga at Western Carolina - Mocs by 6
Jacksonville at Lipscomb - Bisons by 5
James Madison at Charleston - Cougars by 2
Presbyterian at Charleston Southern - Buccaneers by 8
Arkansas-Little Rock at Louisiana Monroe - Trojans by 4
Georgia State at South Alabama - Jaguars by 1
Wright State at UIC - Raiders by 9
UAB at Southern Miss - Blazers by 11
Quinnipiac at Manhattan - Jaspers by 7
North Dakota State at South Dakota - Bison by 1
Northern Kentucky at Valparaiso - Crusaders by 22
Murray State at SIU Edwardsville - Racers by 3
New Orleans at McNeese State - Cowboys by 1
IUPUI at Oral Roberts - Golden Eagles by 8
Arkansas State at Louisiana Lafayette - Ragin Cajuns by 16
Georgia Southern at Troy - Trojans by 1
Appalachian State at Texas State - Bobcats by 7
Southern Utah at Montana - Grizzlies by 20
Radford at UNC Asheville - Bulldogs by 11
(4) Iowa at Indiana - Hoosiers by 3
Portland State at Idaho State - Bengals by 3
(11) Oregon at California - Golden Bears by 2
Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 7
Western Illinois at Denver - Pioneers by 5
Illinois State at Evansville - Aces by 13
Fairleigh Dickinson at Bryant - Knights by 2
Sacramento State at Weber State - Wildcats by 14
North Dakota at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 8
Northern Arizona at Montana State - Bobcats by 14
Northern Colorado at Idaho - Vandals by 15
Loyola Marymount at Pacific - Tigers by 10
BYU at San Francisco - Cougars by 7
San Diego at Santa Clara - Broncos by 7
Cal Poly at Long Beach State - 49ers by 12
UC Santa Barbara at UC Davis - Gauchos by 3
Washington State at Colorado - Buffaloes by 15
Pepperdine at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 15
Gonzaga at Portland - Bulldogs by 11
Oregon State at Stanford - Cardinal by 5
UC Irvine at Hawaii - Warriors by 6

Pick of the Day

Montana

The Grizzlies are leading the Big Sky Conference again this year, and with the Southern Utah Thunderbirds coming to town, they should extend their lead over Weber State in the conference with ease.

Prediction Results

NBA: 7-5 (.583) 522-277 overall (.653)
Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 49-79 overall (.383)
College Basketball: 23-11 (.677) 3324-1053 overall (.760)
Upsets: 4-2 (.667) 300-272 overall (.525)
Pick of the Day: 82-6 (.932)

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Basketball Predictions - 10 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Charlotte at Indiana - Pacers by 4
San Antonio at Orlando - Spurs by 12
Sacramento at Philadelphia - Kings by 6
LA Clippers at Boston - Celtics by 2
Memphis at Brooklyn - Grizzlies by 3
Denver at Detroit - Pistons by 5
LA Lakers at Cleveland - Cavaliers by 16
Atlanta at Chicago - Bulls by 1
Toronto at Minnesota - Raptors by 6
Utah at New Orleans - Jazz by 1
Golden State at Phoenix - Warriors by 16
Houston at Portland - Trail Blazers by 4

College Basketball

Tulane at East Carolina - Pirates by 8
Butler at Seton Hall - Pirates by 2
Lehigh at Bucknell - Bison by 10
LSU at South Carolina - Gamecocks by 7
(15) Texas A&M at Alabama - Aggies by 5
Memphis at Houston - Cougars by 5
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 13
Nebraska at Wisconsin - Badgers by 7
(20) Providence at Marquette - Golden Eagles by 2
La Salle at Davidson - Wildcats by 17
St. Bonaventure at Fordham - Bonnies by 3
Saint Joseph's at George Washington - Colonials by 4
American at Boston U - Terriers by 13
Southern Illinois at Indiana State - Sycamores by 4
Lafayette at Holy Cross - Crusaders by 7
Navy at Loyola (MD) - Greyhounds by 2
Richmond at Saint Louis - Spiders by 5
South Dakota State at Omaha - Mavericks by 1
Loyola (CHI) at Bradley - Ramblers by 5
Missouri State at Northern Iowa - Panthers by 15
(21) Baylor at Kansas State - Wildcats by 3
Jacksonville State at Belmont - Bruins by 17
Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State - Tigers by 3
Boise State at Colorado State - Broncos by 1
Missouri at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 21
(14) Iowa State at Texas Tech - Cyclones by 1
Tulsa at (16) SMU - Mustangs by 14
Michigan at Minnesota - Wolverines by 8
Washington at Utah - Utes by 8
Austin Peay at Eastern Illinois - Panthers by 5
San Jose State at UNLV - Rebels by 18
Air Force at Nevada - Wolf Pack by 16
Cal State Fullerton at CS Northridge - Matadors by 5
San Diego State at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 1

Pick of the Day

UNLV

The Rebels' last 5 games have come against the top 5 teams in the Mountain West, and UNLV only went 1-4 in those 5. Tonight they play San Jose State, the worst team in the conference, so they should get back in the win column finally.

Prediction Results

NBA: 2-3 (.400) 515-272 overall (.654)
College Basketball: 22-6 (.786) 3301-1042 overall (.760)
Upsets: 2-0 (1.000) 296-270 overall (.523)
Pick of the Day: 81-6 (.931)


Tuesday, February 9, 2016

Basketball Predictions - 9 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

San Antonio at Miami - Spurs by 10
Washington at New York - Knicks by 2
Boston at Milwaukee - Celtics by 6
Utah at Dallas - Mavericks by 1
Houston at Golden State - Warriors by 15

College Basketball

Bowie State at (2) Maryland - Terrapins by 49
Auburn at Tennessee - Volunteers by 11
(10) West Virginia at (6) Kansas - Jayhawks by 4
Cincinnati at UCF - Bearcats by 8
Pittsburgh at (12) Miami (FL) - Hurricanes by 10
(8) Michigan State at (18) Purdue - Boilermakers by 3
Ohio at Ball State - Cardinals by 5
Duquesne at (19) Dayton - Flyers by 17
George Mason at Rhode Island - Rams by 14
Akron at Bowling Green - Zips by 5
Toledo at Buffalo - Bulls by 4
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 7
Northern Illinois at Kent State - Golden Flashes by 4
Monmouth at Marist - Hawks by 13
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan - Broncos by 10
SE Louisiana at Central Arkansas - Bears by 5
Virginia Tech at (7) Virginia - Cavaliers by 18
Northwestern at Ohio State - Buckeyes by 5
(9) North Carolina at Boston College - Tar Heels by 17
(5) Xavier at Creighton - Musketeers by 1
(25) Wichita State at Drake - Shockers by 14
(1) Villanova at DePaul - Wildcats by 13
UT Arlington at Texas State - Mavericks by 7
Arkansas at Mississippi State - Razorbacks by 1
Georgia at (22) Kentucky - Wildcats by 14
Ole Miss at Florida - Gators by 15
Benedictine (AZ) at Grand Canyon - Antelopes by 34
New Mexico at Utah State - Lobos by 3

Pick of the Day

Florida

The Gators may have the same overall record as today's opponent, Ole Miss, and are only 1 game ahead of them in the conference standings, but Florida has played a much tougher schedule, which includes a recent win over West Virginia, my top team, and a 9-point win at the Rebels last month, so they should beat them easily at home.

Prediction Results

NBA: 6-4 (.600) 513-269 overall (.656)
College Basketball: 20-10 (.667) 3279-1036 overall (.760)
Upsets: 2-3 (.400) 294-270 overall (.521)
Pick of the Day: 80-6 (.930)