Monday, September 8, 2014

College Football Rankings - 8 Sep

Most of the top teams had impressive victories over the weekend, highlighted by #1 Oregon's comeback victory over Michigan State and BYU's huge road win over Texas. A couple other top teams, notably UCLA and Florida State, were less impressive in barely beating very inferior competition, leading to a drop in the rankings for each. Here are my full rankings after week 2:



Record
Proj
SOS
Rank
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
Curr
Overall
1
3
Brigham Young
-33.94
2
0
12
0

62
2
7
Texas A&M
-33.397
2
0
11
2

26
3
2
Auburn
-33.343
2
0
10
2

2
4
1
Oregon
-31.793
2
0
12
1

34
5
5
USC
-28.743
2
0
11
2

14
6
9
Baylor
-28.05
2
0
11
1

85
7
18
Georgia
-26.492
1
0
10
3

28
8
26
Texas State
-25.837
1
0
12
0

126
9
10
Ole Miss
-25.563
2
0
9
3

5
10
50
Florida
-25.405
1
0
9
2

45
11
16
Memphis
-24.427
1
1
10
2

86
12
24
Alabama
-24.388
2
0
8
4

6
13
4
UCLA
-24.096
2
0
9
3

1
14
41
Arkansas
-23.419
1
1
8
4

3
15
11
Stanford
-20.473
1
1
7
5

7
16
20
Louisville
-19.817
2
0
11
2

75
17
17
Michigan State
-19.562
1
1
10
3

77
18
25
Arizona State
-19.458
2
0
9
3

25
19
65
Clemson
-18.866
1
1
10
2

88
20
40
Oklahoma
-18.674
2
0
10
2

47
21
23
Utah
-18.582
2
0
8
4

15
22
47
West Virginia
-17.266
1
1
8
4

33
23
52
Virginia Tech
-16.154
2
0
10
3

57
24
55
LSU
-15.219
2
0
7
5

11
25
6
Florida State
-14.962
2
0
9
3

51
26
13
Tennessee
-14.246
2
0
7
5

18
27
8
Ohio State
-14.217
1
1
9
3

42
28
31
Northern Illinois
-13.868
2
0
12
1

123
29
14
Pittsburgh
-13.719
2
0
10
2

70
30
15
UTSA
-12.694
1
1
10
3

101
31
57
Notre Dame
-11.291
2
0
7
5

29
32
35
East Carolina
-11.004
1
1
9
3

100
33
38
Arizona
-10.908
2
0
7
5

13
34
51
Penn State
-10.841
2
0
9
3

59
35
22
Maryland
-10.823
2
0
8
4

50
36
30
Virginia
-10.629
1
1
6
6

12
37
98
Georgia Southern
-10.589
1
1
9
3

115
38
45
Miami (FL)
-9.8087
1
1
7
5

22
39
49
California
-9.6882
2
0
6
6

10
40
29
Kansas State
-9.3589
2
0
7
5

36
41
63
Boise State
-9.1031
1
1
9
3

60
42
59
Missouri
-8.842
2
0
7
5

24
43
74
South Carolina
-8.2469
1
1
6
6

4
44
19
Oklahoma State
-7.9627
1
1
6
6

32
45
34
Duke
-7.9349
2
0
9
3

102
46
61
Marshall
-7.5093
2
0
11
2

124
47
12
Nebraska
-7.3589
2
0
9
4

89
48
75
Houston
-7.0606
1
1
8
4

98
49
56
Navy
-7.0149
1
1
7
5

46
50
21
Western Kentucky
-6.9685
1
1
8
4

67
51
68
Wisconsin
-6.8633
1
1
8
4

84
52
28
Mississippi State
-6.8309
2
0
5
7

20
53
44
TCU
-6.6059
1
0
8
4

64
54
60
UCF
-6.5064
0
1
7
5

87
55
42
Middle Tennessee
-6.364
1
1
7
5

81
56
101
Louisiana Tech
-6.3324
1
1
8
4

74
57
33
Texas
-5.6486
1
1
6
6

17
58
78
San Diego State
-5.443
1
1
9
4

109
59
32
North Carolina
-5.2009
2
0
6
6

19
60
48
Colorado State
-4.7121
1
1
10
3

122
61
43
Akron
-4.411
1
1
8
4

119
62
76
Bowling Green
-4.3239
1
1
9
4

116
63
37
Temple
-4.2464
1
1
7
5

76
64
27
Rutgers
-3.8484
2
0
6
6

41
65
64
Cincinnati
-3.5719
0
0
7
5

71
66
69
Georgia Tech
-3.2954
2
0
5
7

23
67
62
Oregon State
-2.4984
2
0
5
7

16
68
39
Michigan
-1.8499
1
1
5
7

31
69
67
Minnesota
-1.5516
2
0
7
5

73
70
114
Appalachian State
-1.5126
1
1
9
3

127
71
89
Nevada
-1.496
2
0
7
5

63
72
70
South Alabama
-1.4074
1
0
7
5

93
73
54
Washington State
-1.2936
0
2
3
9

8
74
90
Ball State
-0.5941
1
1
8
4

118
75
53
Kentucky
0.26278
2
0
5
7

37
76
81
Arkansas State
0.97266
1
1
7
5

104
77
58
Iowa
2.11161
2
0
7
5

91
78
85
UAB
2.11649
1
1
6
6

96
79
94
Central Michigan
2.27358
2
0
9
3

128
80
82
Northwestern
3.29001
0
2
4
8

55
81
77
Utah State
3.48968
1
1
7
6

94
82
72
San Jose State
3.81359
1
1
5
7

69
83
87
Fresno State
4.10821
0
2
6
6

72
84
66
Washington
4.53108
2
0
5
8

35
85
46
Army
4.65817
1
0
7
5

108
86
95
North Texas
5.09274
1
1
7
5

117
87
80
Hawaii
5.30358
0
2
6
7

111
88
97
Illinois
6.16995
2
0
5
7

49
89
73
Connecticut
6.37672
1
1
5
7

61
90
84
Texas Tech
6.37896
2
0
4
8

30
91
36
Louisiana-Lafayette
6.49071
1
1
6
6

97
92
92
Boston College
7.22612
1
1
4
8

52
93
83
UTEP
7.37282
1
1
5
7

103
94
71
Toledo
7.46221
1
1
6
6

114
95
88
Indiana
8.00929
1
0
3
9

43
96
86
Colorado
9.32663
1
1
2
10

9
97
79
Air Force
9.64988
1
1
5
7

110
98
107
South Florida
9.98209
1
1
4
8

80
99
102
Buffalo
10.2322
1
1
6
6

125
100
110
North Carolina State
11.2139
2
0
5
7

83
101
122
Florida International
13.1379
1
1
3
9

99
102
116
Iowa State
14.0234
0
2
1
11

44
103
106
Florida Atlantic
14.5257
0
2
3
9

66
104
100
Western Michigan
14.904
0
1
4
8

112
105
108
New Mexico
15.2611
0
2
3
9

90
106
99
Ohio
15.9589
1
1
4
8

107
107
93
Purdue
15.9659
1
1
3
9

79
108
113
Wake Forest
16.3048
1
1
3
9

65
109
117
Rice
16.6795
0
1
3
9

56
110
118
Wyoming
17.5729
2
0
4
8

68
111
91
Syracuse
17.7673
1
0
2
10

39
112
109
Tulane
17.9793
0
2
1
11

48
113
119
Kent State
17.9998
0
2
2
10

92
114
104
Old Dominion
18.0247
1
1
4
8

121
115
112
Kansas
18.9872
1
0
2
10

27
116
111
Louisiana-Monroe
19.8189
2
0
3
9

58
117
115
New Mexico State
20.1502
2
0
4
8

113
118
103
Miami (OH)
21.1927
0
2
2
10

106
119
121
Vanderbilt
21.4251
0
2
2
10

40
120
96
Southern Methodist
22.0953
0
2
1
11

21
121
126
Idaho
23.0585
0
1
2
9

95
122
128
Troy
23.2942
0
2
3
9

105
123
125
UNLV
24.6661
1
1
2
11

53
124
124
Southern Miss
25.6151
1
1
1
11

54
125
105
Tulsa
26.1851
1
1
2
10

38
126
127
Massachusetts
26.2175
0
2
2
10

120
127
123
Georgia State
29.999
1
1
1
11

82
128
120
Eastern Michigan
30.4218
1
1
2
10

78

BYU took over the top spot after blowing out the Texas Longhorns in Austin, taking over in the 3rd quarter with 4 touchdowns, 3 by QB Taysom Hill on the ground, bringing back bad memories of last season's loss in Provo. BYU is only #25 in the AP poll, but they opened the season with 2 road games, and won both convincingly, so odds are that the Cougars will finish this season undefeated, and could cause some controversy in year 1 of the playoff era.

Texas A&M followed up their week 1 drubbing of the Gamecocks with a 73-3 blowout of Lamar, their FCS foe for this season. While the cupcake games don't tell you much about a team in a blowout, several teams have struggled against the lower division, so the Aggies made sure there was no question as to their superiority in this one.

Florida finally opened the season on Saturday, a week later than expected, and took it out on Eastern Michigan, who fell to last place in the FBS following the 65-0 drubbing at the Gators' hands. Coming off their worst season in memory, Florida needed a big win to regain confidence for a new start.
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Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Football Predictions - Sep 4-8

Upset picks are in italics.

Thursday

Arizona at UTSA - Roadrunners by 16

Green Bay at Seattle - Seahawks by 24

Friday

Pittsburgh at Boston College - Panthers by 28
Washington State at Nevada - Cougars by 7

Saturday

Arkansas State at Tennessee - Volunteers by 34
Buffalo at Army - Black Knights by 29
Florida Atlantic at (2) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 41
McNeese State at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 50
(24) Missouri at Toledo - Rockets by 1
(4) Oklahoma at Tulsa - Sooners by 23
Stony Brook at Connecticut - Huskies by 23
SMU at North Texas - Mean Green by 7
(20) Kansas State at Iowa State - Wildcats by 31
Western Kentucky at Illinois - Hilltoppers by 30
Akron at Penn State - Nittany Lions by 1
Central Michigan at Purdue - Boilermakers by 6
Howard at Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 41
Western Illinois at (18) Wisconsin - Badgers by 23
South Carolina State at (23) Clemson - Tigers by 28
Navy at Temple - Owls by 13
South Alabama at Kent State - Jaguars by 17
UAB at Mississippi State - Bulldogs by 27
New Mexico State at Georgia State - Aggies by 1
Fresno State at Utah - Utes by 30
Sacramento State at California - Golden Bears by 31
Colorado at Massachusetts - Buffaloes by 27
Eastern Washington at Washington - Huskies by 26
(14) USC at (13) Stanford - Cardinal by 3
Eastern Kentucky at Miami (OH) - Redhawks by 8
VMI at Bowling Green - Falcons by 22
Ohio at Kentucky - Wildcats by 25
Northern Illinois at Northwestern - Huskies by 15
Maryland at South Florida - Terrapins by 32
Ball State at Iowa - Hawkeyes by 16
Middle Tennessee at Minnesota - Blue Raiders by 3
Missouri State at Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 46
Richmond at Virginia - Cavaliers by 39
Georgia Tech at Tulane - Yellowjackets by 14
Eastern Michigan at Florida - Gators by 34
Nicholls State at Arkansas - Razorbacks by 35
(15) Ole Miss at Vanderbilt - Rebels by 44
Campbell at Appalachian State - Mountaineers by 3
Old Dominion at North Carolina State - Wolfpack by 3
Wagner at Florida International - Seahawks by 1
Savannah State at Georgia Southern - Eagles by 10
(7) Michigan State at (3) Oregon - Ducks by 14
Gardner-Webb at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 4
(17) Arizona State at New Mexico - Sun Devils by 30
SE Missouri State at Kansas - Jayhawks by 5
Murray State at (25) Louisville - Cardinals by 46
Florida A&M at Miami (FL) - Hurricanes by 33
Duke at Troy - Blue Devils by 47
East Carolina at (21) South Carolina - Pirates by 11
San Jose State at (5) Auburn - Tigers by 36
Louisiana Tech at Louisiana-Lafayette - Ragin Cajuns by 34
Rhode Island at Marshall - Thundering Herd by 28
Alcorn State at Southern Miss - Braves by 3
Idaho at Louisiana-Monroe - Warhawks by 17
Lamar at (9) Texas A&M - Aggies by 52
Sam Houston at (12) LSU - Tigers by 29
Citadel at (1) Florida State - Seminoles by 52
BYU at Texas - Cougars by 9
Towson at West Virginia - Mountaineers by 32
Northwestern State at (10) Baylor - Bears by 51
Michigan at (16) Notre Dame - Wolverines by 2
Virginia Tech at (8) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 26
San Diego State at (21) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 22
Grambling State at Houston - Cougars by 22
Idaho State at Utah State - Aggies by 22
Northern Colorado at UNLV - Bears by 3
Memphis at (11) UCLA - Bruins by 10
Colorado State at Boise State - Broncos by 1
Air Force at Wyoming - Falcons by 13
Oregon State at Hawaii - Beavers by 3
Texas Tech at UTEP - Miners by 5

Sunday

New Orleans at Atlanta - Saints by 4
Minnesota at Saint Louis - Rams by 9
Cleveland at Pittsburgh - Steelers by 12
Jacksonville at Philadelphia - Eagles by 15
Oakland at NY Jets - Jets by 15
Cincinnati at Baltimore - Bengals by 9
Buffalo at Chicago - Bills by 1
Washington at Houston - Redskins by 1
Tennessee at Kansas City - Chiefs by 14
New England at Miami - Dolphins by 5
Carolina at Tampa Bay - Panthers by 1
San Francisco at Dallas - 49ers by 11
Indianapolis at Denver - Broncos by 3

Monday

NY Giants at Detroit - Lions by 8
San Diego at Arizona - Cardinals by 1

Prediction Results

College Football: 68-16 (.810)
Upsets: 3-7 (.300)
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