These are my picks for the winners and runners-up in each of the conference tournaments that are beginning this week. The American Conference regular season ends later today, so I will update this page tomorrow to include my prediction for that conference. Conference seeds are in parentheses:
American
Atlantic 10
Winner: (3) Davidson, Runner-Up: (1) Rhode Island
ACC
Winner: (2) Duke, Runner-Up: (1) Virginia
Big 12
Winner: (5) TCU, Runner-Up: (2) Texas Tech
Big East
Winner: (2) Villanova, Runner-Up: (4) Creighton
Big Sky
Winner: (6) Portland State, Runner-Up: (5) Northern Colorado
Big West
Winner: (3) UC Irvine, Runner-Up: (1) UC Davis
Conference USA
Winner: (3) Western Kentucky, Runner-Up: (1) Middle Tennessee
Ivy
Winner: (2) Penn, Runner-Up: (1) Harvard
MAC
Winner: (2) Toledo, Runner-Up: (1) Buffalo
MEAC
Winner: (1) Hampton, Runner-Up: (6) North Carolina Central
Mountain West
Winner: (8) UNLV, Runner-Up: (2) Boise State
Pac 12
Winner: (9) Arizona State, Runner-Up: (6) Oregon
SEC
Winner: (2) Tennessee, Runner-Up: (1) Auburn
Southland
Winner: (3) Stephen F Austin, Runner-Up: (4) Sam Houston State
SWAC
Winner: (3) Texas Southern, Runner-Up: (4) Southern
Sun Belt
Winner: (1) Louisiana, Runner-Up: (3) Georgia Southern
WAC
Winner: (1) New Mexico State, Runner-Up: (3) Grand Canyon
Showing posts with label Conference Tournaments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Conference Tournaments. Show all posts
Sunday, March 4, 2018
Monday, February 26, 2018
Conference Tournament Predictions - Week 1
These are my picks for the winners and runners-up for the 12 conferences that have finished their regular season schedule and are getting ready to begin their conference tournaments, which determine which teams get an automatic bid to March Madness, with seed in parentheses:
America East
Winner: (1) Vermont, Runner-Up: (2) UMBC
Atlantic Sun
Winner: (1) Florida Gulf Coast, Runner-Up: (2) Lipscomb
Big South
Winner: (3) Winthrop, Runner-Up: (1) UNC Asheville
Big Ten
Winner: (3) Purdue, Runner-Up: (1) Michigan State
Colonial
Winner: (5) Towson, Runner-Up: (3) Hofstra
Horizon
Winner: (1) Northern Kentucky, Runner-Up: (2) Wright State
MAAC
Winner: (2) Canisius, Runner-Up: (8) Monmouth
Missouri Valley
Winner: (1) Loyola-Chicago, Runner-Up: (10) Valparaiso
Northeast
Winner: (1) Wagner, Runner-Up: (3) St. Francis (PA)
Ohio Valley
Winner: (2) Belmont, Runner-Up: (1) Murray State
Patriot
Winner: (1) Bucknell, Runner-Up: (2) Colgate
Southern
Winner: (3) Furman, Runner-Up: (1) UNC Greensboro
Summit
Winner: (2) South Dakota, Runner-Up: (1) South Dakota State
West Coast
Winner: (2) Saint Mary's, Runner-Up: (1) Gonzaga
This page was updated on 3/1 to add in the America East and Colonial tournaments.
America East
Winner: (1) Vermont, Runner-Up: (2) UMBC
Atlantic Sun
Winner: (1) Florida Gulf Coast, Runner-Up: (2) Lipscomb
Big South
Winner: (3) Winthrop, Runner-Up: (1) UNC Asheville
Big Ten
Winner: (3) Purdue, Runner-Up: (1) Michigan State
Colonial
Winner: (5) Towson, Runner-Up: (3) Hofstra
Horizon
Winner: (1) Northern Kentucky, Runner-Up: (2) Wright State
MAAC
Winner: (2) Canisius, Runner-Up: (8) Monmouth
Missouri Valley
Winner: (1) Loyola-Chicago, Runner-Up: (10) Valparaiso
Northeast
Winner: (1) Wagner, Runner-Up: (3) St. Francis (PA)
Ohio Valley
Winner: (2) Belmont, Runner-Up: (1) Murray State
Patriot
Winner: (1) Bucknell, Runner-Up: (2) Colgate
Southern
Winner: (3) Furman, Runner-Up: (1) UNC Greensboro
Summit
Winner: (2) South Dakota, Runner-Up: (1) South Dakota State
West Coast
Winner: (2) Saint Mary's, Runner-Up: (1) Gonzaga
This page was updated on 3/1 to add in the America East and Colonial tournaments.
Tuesday, March 7, 2017
College Basketball Conference Tournament Predictions - Week 2
The final conference tournaments are starting in the next few days, and I've got my predictions for the champ and runner-up from each conference. Of the 7 tournaments that have already concluded, I picked the correct winner in 5. Let's see how many more I can get. Seeds are in parentheses:
ACC
Champ:(6) Virginia
Runner-up:(5) Duke
American
Champ:(2) Cincinnati
Runner-up:(1) SMU
Atlantic 10
Champ:(4) Rhode Island
Runner-up:(2) VCU
Big 12
Champ:(5) Oklahoma State
Runner-up:(3) Baylor
Big East
Champ:(1) Villanova
Runner-up:(6) Creighton
Big Sky
Champ:(8) Portland State
Runner-up:(6) Montana State
Big Ten
Champ:(9) Michigan
Runner-up:(11) Ohio State
Big West
Champ:(1) UC Irvine
Runner-up:(6) Cal State Northridge
Conference USA
Champ:(2) Louisiana Tech
Runner-up:(1) Middle Tennessee
Ivy
Champ:(1) Princeton
Runner-up:(3) Yale
MAC
Champ:(8) Eastern Michigan
Runner-up:(7) Toledo
MEAC
Champ:(1) North Carolina Central
Runner-up:(2) Norfolk State
MWC
Champ:(6) San Diego State
Runner-up:(1) Nevada
Pac 12
Champ:(3) UCLA
Runner-up:(1) Oregon
SEC
Champ:(2) Florida
Runner-up:(1) Kentucky
Southland
Champ:(7) SE Louisiana
Runner-up:(5) Sam Houston State
Sun Belt
Champ:(1) UT Arlington
Runner-up:(7) Louisiana Lafayette
SWAC
Champ:(1) Texas Southern
Runner-up:(3) Southern
WAC
Champ:(2) New Mexico State
Runner-up:(1) CSU Bakersfield
Tuesday, February 28, 2017
College Basketball Conference Tournament Predictions - Week 1
13 conferences are starting their tournaments this week, while the remaining 19 will start next week, so I've gone through each conference's bracket and picked the teams I feel will win each conference and it's automatic NCAA berth, along with the runner-up. Each team's conference seed is in parentheses.
America East
Champ: (1) Vermont
Runner-up: (3) Albany
Atlantic Sun
Champ: (1) Florida Gulf Coast
Runner-up: (2) Lipscomb
Big South
Champ: (1) Winthrop
Runner-up: (2) UNC Asheville
Colonial
Champ: (1) UNC Wilmington
Runner-up: (6) Northeastern
Horizon
Champ: (5) Wright State
Runner-up: (2) Valparaiso
MAAC
Champ: (2) Saint Peter's
Runner-up: (1) Monmouth
Missouri Valley
Champ: (2) Wichita State
Runner-up: (1) Illinois State
Northeast
Champ: (1) Mount St. Mary's
Runner-up: (2) LIU Brooklyn
Ohio Valley
Champ: (1) Belmont
Runner-up: (7) Murray State
Patriot
Champ: (1) Bucknell
Runner-up: (3) Lehigh
Southern
Champ: (3) East Tennessee State
Runner-up: (5) Wofford
Summit
Champ: (7) IUPUI
Runner-up: (5) Denver
West Coast
Champ: (1) Gonzaga
Runner-up: (2) Saint Mary's
America East
Champ: (1) Vermont
Runner-up: (3) Albany
Atlantic Sun
Champ: (1) Florida Gulf Coast
Runner-up: (2) Lipscomb
Big South
Champ: (1) Winthrop
Runner-up: (2) UNC Asheville
Colonial
Champ: (1) UNC Wilmington
Runner-up: (6) Northeastern
Horizon
Champ: (5) Wright State
Runner-up: (2) Valparaiso
MAAC
Champ: (2) Saint Peter's
Runner-up: (1) Monmouth
Missouri Valley
Champ: (2) Wichita State
Runner-up: (1) Illinois State
Northeast
Champ: (1) Mount St. Mary's
Runner-up: (2) LIU Brooklyn
Ohio Valley
Champ: (1) Belmont
Runner-up: (7) Murray State
Patriot
Champ: (1) Bucknell
Runner-up: (3) Lehigh
Southern
Champ: (3) East Tennessee State
Runner-up: (5) Wofford
Summit
Champ: (7) IUPUI
Runner-up: (5) Denver
West Coast
Champ: (1) Gonzaga
Runner-up: (2) Saint Mary's
Monday, March 9, 2015
College Basketball Rankings - 9 Mar
The regular season is over, and championship week is in full swing, with 4 automatic bids already determined, and 28 more to come this week before the other 36 teams are picked on Sunday. These are my last full rankings of the season, with my March Madness breakdown just over a week away. Teams in bold are conference champions or top remaining seeds, teams in italics are projected at-large selections, underlines indicate that the team's in/out status has changed this week:
Ohio State dropped out of the AP top 25 this week after getting blown out at home by Wisconsin last night, but people should keep an eye on this Buckeye team over the next month. They are projected to be a #8 seed in the tournament, which makes them very scary, since they have the talent of a #3 seed, so they could be the first team to knock out a #1 this year.
Texas is no longer receiving any votes in the AP Poll, which is mostly due to them having a losing record in the conference, but they play in the Big 12, the toughest league top-to-bottom in the entire country, and they managed to get a couple wins against the top teams in the conference, while keeping it close in several others. Since they are currently looking like they are right on the edge of being selected, I see a deep run in the conference tourney for the Longhorns, and perhaps a surprise conference title.
Conference Tournament Predictions
C=Champion, R=Runner-up
American - Tulsa (C) Memphis (R)
ACC - Virginia (C) Duke (R)
Atlantic 10 - Rhode Island (C) Richmond (R)
Big 12 - Texas (C) West Virginia (R)
Big East - Villanova (C) Xavier (R)
Big Sky - Eastern Washington (C) Montana (R)
Big Ten - Wisconsin (C) Michigan State (R)
Big West - Cal Poly (C) Hawaii (R)
Conference USA - Western Kentucky (C) UTEP (R)
Ivy - Harvard (C) Yale (R)
MEAC - Norfolk State (C) North Carolina Central (R)
MAC - Buffalo (C) Bowling Green (R)
MWC - Boise State (C) UNLV (R)
Pac 12 - Utah (C) Arizona (R)
SEC - Kentucky (C) South Carolina (R)
Southland - Sam Houston (C) Stephen F Austin (R)
Sun Belt - Georgia State (C) UL Monroe (R)
SWAC - Southern (C) Texas Southern (R)
WAC - New Mexico State (C) Seattle (R)
Note: Southern U is ineligible to participate in the NCAA Tournament, so Texas Southern is my pick to earn the tournament bid.
Of the 4 tournaments that have concluded, I correctly picked 3 champions and 2 runners-up. Of the 9 still in progress from last week, I have 6 champs and 6 runners-up still standing.
|
|
|
|
|
Record
|
|
||
|
TW
|
LW
|
Team
|
Rating
|
W
|
L
|
MOV
|
SOS
|
|
1
|
1
|
Kentucky
|
-26.135
|
31
|
0
|
1
|
41
|
|
2
|
2
|
Wisconsin
|
-23.387
|
28
|
3
|
4
|
14
|
|
3
|
3
|
Duke
|
-22.907
|
28
|
3
|
7
|
11
|
|
4
|
5
|
Arizona
|
-22.297
|
28
|
3
|
3
|
65
|
|
5
|
4
|
Virginia
|
-21.865
|
28
|
2
|
9
|
24
|
|
6
|
6
|
Villanova
|
-21.278
|
29
|
2
|
11
|
33
|
|
7
|
9
|
Gonzaga
|
-19.884
|
30
|
2
|
2
|
97
|
|
8
|
10
|
North Carolina
|
-19.642
|
21
|
10
|
26
|
2
|
|
9
|
8
|
Utah
|
-19.619
|
23
|
7
|
6
|
72
|
|
10
|
7
|
Ohio State
|
-19.292
|
22
|
9
|
13
|
58
|
|
11
|
11
|
Oklahoma
|
-17.186
|
21
|
9
|
36
|
5
|
|
12
|
14
|
Notre Dame
|
-16.97
|
26
|
5
|
15
|
71
|
|
13
|
12
|
Louisville
|
-16.829
|
24
|
7
|
29
|
28
|
|
14
|
16
|
Iowa State
|
-16.545
|
22
|
8
|
30
|
15
|
|
15
|
15
|
Kansas
|
-16.362
|
24
|
7
|
68
|
1
|
|
16
|
13
|
Baylor
|
-16.051
|
23
|
8
|
33
|
23
|
|
17
|
18
|
Michigan State
|
-15.785
|
21
|
10
|
41
|
26
|
|
18
|
17
|
Butler
|
-15.681
|
22
|
9
|
43
|
18
|
|
19
|
19
|
Wichita State
|
-14.866
|
28
|
4
|
12
|
117
|
|
20
|
20
|
West Virginia
|
-14.787
|
23
|
8
|
57
|
7
|
|
21
|
22
|
Georgetown
|
-14.604
|
20
|
9
|
77
|
3
|
|
22
|
21
|
Texas
|
-14.597
|
19
|
12
|
59
|
17
|
|
23
|
23
|
Iowa
|
-14.586
|
21
|
10
|
58
|
27
|
|
24
|
24
|
Xavier
|
-13.544
|
19
|
12
|
63
|
20
|
|
25
|
35
|
Davidson
|
-13.39
|
23
|
6
|
14
|
94
|
|
26
|
25
|
BYU
|
-13.053
|
24
|
8
|
17
|
104
|
|
27
|
28
|
Illinois
|
-12.724
|
19
|
12
|
64
|
45
|
|
28
|
26
|
Minnesota
|
-12.623
|
17
|
14
|
67
|
62
|
|
29
|
32
|
Northern Iowa
|
-12.622
|
30
|
3
|
21
|
100
|
|
30
|
29
|
Arkansas
|
-12.509
|
24
|
7
|
52
|
69
|
|
31
|
30
|
Maryland
|
-12.465
|
26
|
5
|
89
|
38
|
|
32
|
33
|
North Carolina State
|
-12.43
|
19
|
12
|
111
|
21
|
|
33
|
34
|
Purdue
|
-12.218
|
20
|
11
|
87
|
37
|
|
34
|
27
|
Virginia Commonwealth
|
-12.124
|
22
|
9
|
65
|
49
|
|
35
|
39
|
Providence
|
-11.861
|
21
|
10
|
120
|
10
|
|
36
|
36
|
Georgia
|
-11.709
|
20
|
10
|
117
|
16
|
|
37
|
38
|
Florida
|
-11.612
|
15
|
16
|
122
|
9
|
|
38
|
40
|
Oklahoma State
|
-11.414
|
18
|
12
|
94
|
30
|
|
39
|
44
|
Miami (FL)
|
-11.365
|
20
|
11
|
99
|
40
|
|
40
|
37
|
Stanford
|
-10.979
|
18
|
12
|
88
|
51
|
|
41
|
45
|
Vanderbilt
|
-10.911
|
19
|
12
|
80
|
76
|
|
42
|
41
|
Ole Miss
|
-10.815
|
20
|
11
|
98
|
47
|
|
43
|
31
|
Indiana
|
-10.677
|
19
|
12
|
104
|
50
|
|
44
|
43
|
SMU
|
-10.366
|
24
|
6
|
31
|
122
|
|
45
|
42
|
LSU
|
-10.276
|
22
|
9
|
84
|
68
|
|
46
|
47
|
Texas A&M
|
-10.273
|
20
|
10
|
101
|
57
|
|
47
|
46
|
Syracuse
|
-10.108
|
18
|
13
|
124
|
39
|
|
48
|
51
|
Dayton
|
-10.032
|
23
|
7
|
55
|
86
|
|
49
|
54
|
Cincinnati
|
-9.9957
|
22
|
9
|
61
|
91
|
|
50
|
49
|
St. John's
|
-9.9749
|
21
|
10
|
128
|
43
|
|
51
|
50
|
Boise State
|
-9.9655
|
24
|
7
|
19
|
190
|
|
52
|
52
|
San Diego State
|
-9.8908
|
24
|
7
|
45
|
116
|
|
53
|
56
|
Stephen F Austin
|
-9.8196
|
27
|
4
|
10
|
328
|
|
54
|
53
|
Buffalo
|
-9.7076
|
22
|
9
|
50
|
82
|
|
55
|
48
|
TCU
|
-9.6207
|
17
|
14
|
96
|
77
|
|
56
|
55
|
UCLA
|
-9.0983
|
19
|
12
|
136
|
46
|
|
57
|
65
|
George Washington
|
-9.0484
|
20
|
11
|
70
|
81
|
|
58
|
62
|
Georgia State
|
-8.983
|
22
|
9
|
20
|
201
|
|
59
|
61
|
South Carolina
|
-8.8218
|
15
|
15
|
140
|
48
|
|
60
|
60
|
Richmond
|
-8.7573
|
19
|
12
|
102
|
74
|
|
61
|
64
|
Oregon
|
-8.693
|
23
|
8
|
109
|
83
|
|
62
|
57
|
Rhode Island
|
-8.6018
|
21
|
8
|
54
|
113
|
|
63
|
59
|
Murray State
|
-8.5235
|
27
|
5
|
18
|
266
|
|
64
|
58
|
Sam Houston State
|
-8.3384
|
24
|
7
|
5
|
349
|
|
65
|
70
|
Colorado State
|
-8.263
|
26
|
5
|
37
|
185
|
|
66
|
63
|
Arizona State
|
-8.054
|
17
|
14
|
147
|
60
|
|
67
|
71
|
Old Dominion
|
-8.0393
|
24
|
6
|
47
|
198
|
|
68
|
74
|
Yale
|
-7.974
|
22
|
9
|
39
|
130
|
|
69
|
69
|
Alabama
|
-7.8801
|
18
|
13
|
153
|
61
|
|
70
|
67
|
Seton Hall
|
-7.8313
|
16
|
14
|
187
|
22
|
|
71
|
72
|
Illinois State
|
-7.7757
|
21
|
12
|
73
|
98
|
|
72
|
68
|
Central Michigan
|
-7.7008
|
22
|
7
|
23
|
298
|
|
73
|
76
|
Hofstra
|
-7.5426
|
20
|
13
|
28
|
159
|
|
74
|
66
|
North Carolina Central
|
-7.5305
|
24
|
6
|
8
|
346
|
|
75
|
73
|
Pittsburgh
|
-7.1346
|
19
|
13
|
176
|
54
|
|
76
|
80
|
Valparaiso
|
-7
|
27
|
5
|
22
|
293
|
|
77
|
88
|
Wofford
|
-6.9989
|
27
|
6
|
49
|
151
|
|
78
|
77
|
Iona
|
-6.9974
|
26
|
7
|
46
|
149
|
|
79
|
82
|
Green Bay
|
-6.9577
|
24
|
7
|
42
|
221
|
|
80
|
91
|
Temple
|
-6.8878
|
22
|
9
|
110
|
88
|
|
81
|
78
|
Connecticut
|
-6.8666
|
17
|
13
|
118
|
80
|
|
82
|
85
|
Kansas State
|
-6.8431
|
15
|
16
|
233
|
6
|
|
83
|
89
|
William & Mary
|
-6.7838
|
20
|
11
|
53
|
150
|
|
84
|
83
|
Michigan
|
-6.7392
|
15
|
15
|
217
|
32
|
|
85
|
86
|
Eastern Kentucky
|
-6.7025
|
19
|
11
|
27
|
243
|
|
86
|
75
|
Toledo
|
-6.5783
|
19
|
12
|
100
|
89
|
|
87
|
87
|
Louisiana Tech
|
-6.5606
|
24
|
7
|
34
|
242
|
|
88
|
92
|
Penn State
|
-6.4937
|
16
|
15
|
205
|
36
|
|
89
|
79
|
Saint Mary's
|
-6.4108
|
21
|
9
|
105
|
109
|
|
90
|
90
|
Clemson
|
-6.3243
|
16
|
14
|
211
|
44
|
|
91
|
81
|
Harvard
|
-6.2232
|
21
|
7
|
56
|
182
|
|
92
|
94
|
Memphis
|
-6.0387
|
18
|
13
|
123
|
103
|
|
93
|
84
|
Georgia Tech
|
-6.0071
|
12
|
18
|
242
|
4
|
|
94
|
97
|
Colorado
|
-6.003
|
14
|
16
|
193
|
53
|
|
95
|
96
|
Creighton
|
-5.8574
|
13
|
18
|
214
|
42
|
|
96
|
101
|
South Dakota State
|
-5.7988
|
22
|
9
|
25
|
290
|
|
97
|
93
|
Marquette
|
-5.5191
|
12
|
18
|
258
|
12
|
|
98
|
95
|
Northwestern
|
-5.4945
|
15
|
16
|
235
|
34
|
|
99
|
106
|
Tennessee
|
-5.3552
|
15
|
15
|
239
|
29
|
|
100
|
100
|
Nebraska
|
-5.2007
|
13
|
17
|
248
|
19
|
|
101
|
99
|
Vermont
|
-5.0957
|
18
|
13
|
38
|
287
|
|
102
|
102
|
UTEP
|
-5.0895
|
21
|
9
|
83
|
193
|
|
103
|
105
|
La Salle
|
-5.0173
|
16
|
15
|
190
|
67
|
|
104
|
104
|
UNLV
|
-4.9277
|
17
|
14
|
127
|
102
|
|
105
|
108
|
Florida State
|
-4.844
|
16
|
15
|
227
|
56
|
|
106
|
117
|
Boston College
|
-4.7942
|
12
|
18
|
254
|
35
|
|
107
|
107
|
Tulsa
|
-4.6531
|
21
|
9
|
112
|
124
|
|
108
|
120
|
St. Bonaventure
|
-4.4892
|
17
|
12
|
138
|
90
|
|
109
|
115
|
UC Santa Barbara
|
-4.4265
|
18
|
12
|
91
|
153
|
|
110
|
112
|
Cleveland State
|
-4.4134
|
18
|
14
|
79
|
189
|
|
111
|
98
|
UC Irvine
|
-4.3962
|
18
|
12
|
75
|
163
|
|
112
|
116
|
Coastal Carolina
|
-4.3613
|
24
|
9
|
24
|
335
|
|
113
|
111
|
Northeastern
|
-4.2774
|
22
|
11
|
114
|
120
|
|
114
|
114
|
Evansville
|
-4.2158
|
19
|
12
|
115
|
167
|
|
115
|
109
|
New Mexico State
|
-4.1378
|
21
|
10
|
35
|
321
|
|
116
|
127
|
Morehead State
|
-4.0745
|
17
|
17
|
81
|
197
|
|
117
|
121
|
UC Davis
|
-4.0674
|
24
|
5
|
48
|
281
|
|
118
|
103
|
Wake Forest
|
-4.0154
|
13
|
18
|
277
|
13
|
|
119
|
118
|
Washington
|
-3.9673
|
16
|
14
|
201
|
78
|
|
120
|
113
|
Chattanooga
|
-3.9034
|
22
|
10
|
82
|
222
|
|
121
|
110
|
Oregon State
|
-3.8978
|
17
|
13
|
182
|
92
|
|
122
|
130
|
UL Lafayette
|
-3.8811
|
19
|
12
|
44
|
310
|
|
123
|
138
|
Eastern Michigan
|
-3.8753
|
19
|
12
|
72
|
271
|
|
124
|
124
|
Bowling Green
|
-3.8662
|
19
|
10
|
103
|
179
|
|
125
|
123
|
San Diego
|
-3.763
|
15
|
16
|
174
|
85
|
|
126
|
122
|
Georgia Southern
|
-3.7513
|
21
|
8
|
40
|
326
|
|
127
|
131
|
Pepperdine
|
-3.6416
|
18
|
12
|
135
|
115
|
|
128
|
126
|
Stony Brook
|
-3.5388
|
23
|
10
|
62
|
246
|
|
129
|
119
|
Massachusetts
|
-3.5354
|
17
|
14
|
225
|
64
|
|
130
|
146
|
Belmont
|
-3.4966
|
22
|
10
|
106
|
183
|
|
131
|
132
|
South Carolina Upstate
|
-3.4875
|
23
|
11
|
16
|
350
|
|
132
|
129
|
Akron
|
-3.4343
|
18
|
13
|
116
|
200
|
|
133
|
125
|
Albany
|
-3.3767
|
23
|
8
|
69
|
239
|
|
134
|
128
|
Tennessee-Martin
|
-3.1282
|
18
|
12
|
74
|
216
|
|
135
|
134
|
Eastern Washington
|
-2.9506
|
23
|
8
|
51
|
308
|
|
136
|
133
|
North Florida
|
-2.7979
|
23
|
11
|
32
|
315
|
|
137
|
141
|
San Francisco
|
-2.7502
|
14
|
18
|
185
|
107
|
|
138
|
147
|
Portland
|
-2.7232
|
17
|
14
|
144
|
140
|
|
139
|
142
|
California
|
-2.6874
|
17
|
14
|
251
|
70
|
|
140
|
136
|
Charlotte
|
-2.6798
|
14
|
17
|
157
|
110
|
|
141
|
137
|
High Point
|
-2.6663
|
22
|
9
|
71
|
274
|
|
142
|
140
|
New Mexico
|
-2.5979
|
15
|
15
|
164
|
126
|
|
143
|
135
|
Columbia
|
-2.5337
|
13
|
15
|
151
|
148
|
|
144
|
149
|
Mercer
|
-2.4814
|
18
|
15
|
107
|
220
|
|
145
|
150
|
Western Michigan
|
-2.4599
|
19
|
12
|
133
|
152
|
|
146
|
145
|
Kent State
|
-2.4558
|
21
|
10
|
129
|
176
|
|
147
|
154
|
Wyoming
|
-2.3843
|
22
|
9
|
95
|
300
|
|
148
|
151
|
UNC Wilmington
|
-2.3491
|
19
|
12
|
137
|
118
|
|
149
|
143
|
Long Beach State
|
-2.3058
|
16
|
16
|
197
|
79
|
|
150
|
144
|
Western Kentucky
|
-2.238
|
19
|
11
|
119
|
228
|
|
151
|
148
|
DePaul
|
-2.0865
|
12
|
19
|
288
|
31
|
|
152
|
139
|
Utah State
|
-2.0392
|
18
|
12
|
131
|
196
|
|
153
|
161
|
Texas Tech
|
-1.9543
|
13
|
18
|
286
|
55
|
|
154
|
152
|
New Hampshire
|
-1.7281
|
19
|
12
|
66
|
305
|
|
155
|
158
|
St. Francis (NY)
|
-1.6296
|
23
|
10
|
78
|
299
|
|
156
|
164
|
Hawaii
|
-1.5855
|
20
|
12
|
126
|
283
|
|
157
|
153
|
East Tennessee State
|
-1.3922
|
17
|
14
|
143
|
169
|
|
158
|
160
|
Dartmouth
|
-1.3733
|
14
|
14
|
165
|
123
|
|
159
|
155
|
Canisius
|
-1.3562
|
16
|
14
|
156
|
161
|
|
160
|
163
|
Winthrop
|
-1.2362
|
19
|
13
|
60
|
322
|
|
161
|
175
|
Manhattan
|
-1.2359
|
18
|
13
|
132
|
184
|
|
162
|
178
|
Loyola (IL)
|
-1.234
|
19
|
13
|
170
|
164
|
|
163
|
168
|
Norfolk State
|
-1.1475
|
19
|
12
|
93
|
275
|
|
164
|
166
|
Radford
|
-1.1053
|
21
|
11
|
92
|
301
|
|
165
|
169
|
Princeton
|
-1.0729
|
15
|
14
|
150
|
202
|
|
166
|
159
|
Cornell
|
-1.0098
|
13
|
17
|
178
|
142
|
|
167
|
165
|
Rider
|
-0.9588
|
21
|
11
|
148
|
175
|
|
168
|
157
|
Colgate
|
-0.9317
|
16
|
17
|
145
|
172
|
|
169
|
162
|
Charleston Southern
|
-0.928
|
19
|
11
|
90
|
309
|
|
170
|
181
|
Montana
|
-0.8762
|
18
|
11
|
85
|
286
|
|
171
|
185
|
American
|
-0.8514
|
17
|
15
|
162
|
121
|
|
172
|
170
|
USC
|
-0.8218
|
11
|
19
|
280
|
66
|
|
173
|
167
|
Oakland
|
-0.7907
|
16
|
16
|
212
|
112
|
|
174
|
180
|
Saint Joseph's
|
-0.7749
|
13
|
17
|
252
|
84
|
|
175
|
172
|
Cal Poly
|
-0.7535
|
13
|
15
|
152
|
155
|
|
176
|
156
|
Virginia Tech
|
-0.7448
|
10
|
21
|
296
|
52
|
|
177
|
179
|
Mississippi State
|
-0.6366
|
13
|
18
|
257
|
87
|
|
178
|
182
|
Auburn
|
-0.4847
|
12
|
19
|
298
|
59
|
|
179
|
183
|
Northern Illinois
|
-0.4369
|
14
|
15
|
196
|
136
|
|
180
|
190
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-0.3544
|
16
|
15
|
169
|
214
|
|
181
|
196
|
Lafayette
|
-0.3514
|
19
|
12
|
149
|
209
|
|
182
|
193
|
Saint Peter's
|
-0.3357
|
16
|
18
|
163
|
178
|
|
183
|
171
|
Quinnipiac
|
-0.2927
|
15
|
15
|
173
|
234
|
|
184
|
177
|
UL Monroe
|
-0.2913
|
20
|
11
|
108
|
302
|
|
185
|
173
|
Monmouth
|
-0.2495
|
18
|
15
|
183
|
162
|
|
186
|
176
|
Lehigh
|
-0.1565
|
16
|
14
|
161
|
205
|
|
187
|
201
|
Washington State
|
-0.0228
|
13
|
17
|
291
|
63
|
|
188
|
174
|
UT Arlington
|
0.01929
|
16
|
14
|
180
|
173
|
|
189
|
184
|
UAB
|
0.02147
|
16
|
15
|
209
|
166
|
|
190
|
187
|
NJIT
|
0.05572
|
18
|
11
|
97
|
316
|
|
191
|
202
|
Robert Morris
|
0.08963
|
18
|
14
|
177
|
192
|
|
192
|
188
|
Rutgers
|
0.171
|
10
|
21
|
335
|
8
|
|
193
|
195
|
Florida Gulf Coast
|
0.46437
|
22
|
10
|
113
|
323
|
|
194
|
189
|
James Madison
|
0.53033
|
19
|
13
|
245
|
125
|
|
195
|
191
|
Samford
|
0.68015
|
13
|
19
|
166
|
238
|
|
196
|
197
|
Missouri
|
0.80884
|
9
|
22
|
332
|
25
|
|
197
|
198
|
Maryland-Eastern Shore
|
0.80986
|
18
|
13
|
139
|
215
|
|
198
|
192
|
Detroit
|
0.83917
|
15
|
18
|
204
|
181
|
|
199
|
194
|
Northern Arizona
|
0.84647
|
18
|
13
|
160
|
241
|
|
200
|
186
|
Indiana State
|
0.85883
|
15
|
16
|
236
|
132
|
|
201
|
212
|
St. Francis (PA)
|
0.98065
|
16
|
15
|
159
|
207
|
|
202
|
205
|
George Mason
|
1.06001
|
9
|
21
|
303
|
73
|
|
203
|
199
|
Bucknell
|
1.09111
|
19
|
14
|
198
|
195
|
|
204
|
204
|
Oral Roberts
|
1.0998
|
18
|
13
|
158
|
252
|
|
205
|
209
|
Western Carolina
|
1.1523
|
15
|
17
|
207
|
145
|
|
206
|
203
|
IPFW
|
1.20146
|
16
|
14
|
125
|
311
|
|
207
|
208
|
Tennessee Tech
|
1.21038
|
12
|
18
|
181
|
230
|
|
208
|
210
|
Elon
|
1.37359
|
15
|
18
|
194
|
212
|
|
209
|
211
|
Sacramento State
|
1.42712
|
19
|
10
|
121
|
313
|
|
210
|
226
|
Gardner-Webb
|
1.46412
|
20
|
14
|
179
|
251
|
|
211
|
206
|
SIU-Edwardsville
|
1.47108
|
12
|
16
|
184
|
276
|
|
212
|
200
|
VMI
|
1.47966
|
11
|
19
|
203
|
204
|
|
213
|
217
|
Texas State
|
1.6475
|
13
|
16
|
154
|
291
|
|
214
|
207
|
Eastern Illinois
|
1.6544
|
17
|
14
|
215
|
187
|
|
215
|
220
|
Duquesne
|
1.72984
|
11
|
18
|
263
|
114
|
|
216
|
229
|
North Dakota State
|
1.83069
|
21
|
9
|
130
|
314
|
|
217
|
214
|
UNC Asheville
|
1.83267
|
15
|
16
|
146
|
296
|
|
218
|
213
|
Northern Kentucky
|
1.86417
|
13
|
17
|
175
|
273
|
|
219
|
216
|
Incarnate Word
|
1.86572
|
18
|
10
|
86
|
344
|
|
220
|
219
|
Southeast Missouri State
|
1.8969
|
13
|
17
|
188
|
259
|
|
221
|
224
|
Fresno State
|
2.0703
|
15
|
16
|
223
|
188
|
|
222
|
243
|
Santa Clara
|
2.11425
|
14
|
18
|
272
|
105
|
|
223
|
215
|
Mount St. Mary's
|
2.13712
|
15
|
15
|
219
|
158
|
|
224
|
223
|
Denver
|
2.17734
|
12
|
18
|
226
|
229
|
|
225
|
222
|
Tulane
|
2.1889
|
15
|
15
|
228
|
226
|
|
226
|
227
|
Towson
|
2.23532
|
12
|
20
|
213
|
194
|
|
227
|
218
|
Boston University
|
2.33273
|
13
|
17
|
229
|
171
|
|
228
|
225
|
Idaho
|
2.34566
|
13
|
16
|
171
|
294
|
|
229
|
232
|
Air Force
|
2.37815
|
13
|
16
|
195
|
279
|
|
230
|
235
|
Southern Illinois
|
2.39478
|
12
|
21
|
250
|
160
|
|
231
|
228
|
Bryant
|
2.51539
|
16
|
15
|
218
|
199
|
|
232
|
221
|
Fordham
|
2.60038
|
9
|
20
|
295
|
93
|
|
233
|
231
|
Texas Southern
|
2.61808
|
19
|
12
|
167
|
244
|
|
234
|
230
|
Ball State
|
2.83329
|
7
|
22
|
265
|
128
|
|
235
|
239
|
Holy Cross
|
2.83582
|
14
|
16
|
222
|
232
|
|
236
|
244
|
Texas A&M-CC
|
2.83703
|
18
|
12
|
134
|
329
|
|
237
|
240
|
South Dakota
|
2.85254
|
17
|
15
|
189
|
284
|
|
238
|
241
|
UC Riverside
|
2.91952
|
14
|
16
|
224
|
224
|
|
239
|
237
|
Army
|
2.99023
|
15
|
15
|
206
|
258
|
|
240
|
238
|
Sacred Heart
|
3.01063
|
15
|
17
|
200
|
263
|
|
241
|
255
|
Houston
|
3.03758
|
12
|
18
|
243
|
213
|
|
242
|
233
|
Miami (OH)
|
3.16042
|
13
|
18
|
276
|
147
|
|
243
|
252
|
Ohio
|
3.23035
|
10
|
19
|
297
|
106
|
|
244
|
242
|
Northwestern State
|
3.31424
|
17
|
12
|
141
|
338
|
|
245
|
236
|
UT San Antonio
|
3.3374
|
14
|
15
|
191
|
297
|
|
246
|
234
|
East Carolina
|
3.37982
|
13
|
18
|
249
|
211
|
|
247
|
247
|
Howard
|
3.54365
|
16
|
15
|
142
|
317
|
|
248
|
245
|
Northern Colorado
|
3.57855
|
15
|
14
|
172
|
324
|
|
249
|
251
|
Arkansas-Little Rock
|
3.73228
|
13
|
17
|
232
|
260
|
|
250
|
246
|
Bradley
|
3.77968
|
9
|
24
|
290
|
137
|
|
251
|
248
|
Pacific
|
3.7837
|
12
|
19
|
274
|
139
|
|
252
|
258
|
Portland State
|
3.78502
|
15
|
13
|
192
|
289
|
|
253
|
249
|
UNC Greensboro
|
3.83109
|
11
|
22
|
238
|
249
|
|
254
|
253
|
Missouri State
|
4.14775
|
11
|
20
|
282
|
127
|
|
255
|
256
|
Milwaukee
|
4.19605
|
14
|
16
|
269
|
131
|
|
256
|
272
|
Siena
|
4.36576
|
11
|
20
|
271
|
146
|
|
257
|
254
|
College of Charleston
|
4.36819
|
9
|
24
|
310
|
99
|
|
258
|
263
|
Delaware
|
4.38088
|
10
|
20
|
302
|
95
|
|
259
|
260
|
Wright State
|
4.38214
|
11
|
20
|
261
|
168
|
|
260
|
266
|
Delaware State
|
4.43177
|
15
|
16
|
199
|
265
|
|
261
|
259
|
CSU Bakersfield
|
4.4339
|
13
|
18
|
155
|
342
|
|
262
|
264
|
Hartford
|
4.45665
|
14
|
16
|
240
|
250
|
|
263
|
261
|
North Texas
|
4.48725
|
14
|
16
|
255
|
253
|
|
264
|
257
|
Drexel
|
4.50161
|
11
|
19
|
299
|
135
|
|
265
|
262
|
Weber State
|
4.59432
|
12
|
17
|
231
|
272
|
|
266
|
276
|
Pennsylvania
|
4.76457
|
9
|
18
|
311
|
96
|
|
267
|
267
|
Omaha
|
4.76724
|
12
|
17
|
208
|
295
|
|
268
|
281
|
Alabama State
|
4.7923
|
18
|
9
|
76
|
351
|
|
269
|
265
|
Navy
|
4.79574
|
13
|
19
|
267
|
208
|
|
270
|
274
|
Brown
|
4.81381
|
13
|
18
|
264
|
186
|
|
271
|
250
|
Loyola Marymount
|
4.84702
|
8
|
23
|
336
|
75
|
|
272
|
292
|
Furman
|
4.98061
|
11
|
21
|
279
|
170
|
|
273
|
269
|
LIU Brooklyn
|
5.00104
|
12
|
18
|
262
|
206
|
|
274
|
268
|
Lamar
|
5.04817
|
15
|
15
|
186
|
333
|
|
275
|
286
|
Rice
|
5.12822
|
11
|
19
|
253
|
256
|
|
276
|
271
|
UMKC
|
5.29575
|
13
|
18
|
221
|
292
|
|
277
|
270
|
Campbell
|
5.29594
|
10
|
22
|
246
|
264
|
|
278
|
273
|
Saint Louis
|
5.41588
|
11
|
20
|
329
|
108
|
|
279
|
275
|
Seattle
|
5.51437
|
14
|
14
|
202
|
343
|
|
280
|
288
|
Florida International
|
5.71494
|
15
|
16
|
237
|
268
|
|
281
|
282
|
CS Northridge
|
5.75727
|
9
|
23
|
304
|
154
|
|
282
|
280
|
Drake
|
5.75891
|
9
|
22
|
326
|
101
|
|
283
|
284
|
South Florida
|
5.76818
|
9
|
22
|
318
|
129
|
|
284
|
277
|
UMass Lowell
|
5.80852
|
12
|
17
|
270
|
138
|
|
285
|
285
|
Youngstown State
|
5.89235
|
11
|
21
|
266
|
248
|
|
286
|
287
|
Grand Canyon
|
5.90742
|
17
|
14
|
220
|
341
|
|
287
|
291
|
Southern
|
5.92263
|
16
|
16
|
168
|
345
|
|
288
|
289
|
North Dakota
|
6.04589
|
9
|
21
|
268
|
235
|
|
289
|
279
|
Hampton
|
6.06671
|
12
|
17
|
234
|
277
|
|
290
|
294
|
Troy
|
6.07461
|
10
|
19
|
241
|
304
|
|
291
|
296
|
IUPUI
|
6.18561
|
10
|
21
|
306
|
119
|
|
292
|
301
|
Appalachian State
|
6.34394
|
12
|
17
|
308
|
134
|
|
293
|
278
|
Fairfield
|
6.36591
|
7
|
24
|
316
|
143
|
|
294
|
305
|
South Alabama
|
6.64432
|
11
|
20
|
283
|
231
|
|
295
|
304
|
UIC
|
6.69641
|
10
|
24
|
309
|
157
|
|
296
|
297
|
Wagner
|
6.75534
|
10
|
20
|
281
|
217
|
|
297
|
293
|
Florida Atlantic
|
6.82612
|
9
|
20
|
273
|
261
|
|
298
|
290
|
Southeastern Louisiana
|
6.83961
|
10
|
22
|
256
|
255
|
|
299
|
298
|
Prairie View
|
6.86865
|
14
|
17
|
210
|
320
|
|
300
|
283
|
Arkansas State
|
6.93444
|
11
|
18
|
289
|
225
|
|
301
|
308
|
Marshall
|
6.97543
|
11
|
20
|
293
|
233
|
|
302
|
299
|
Houston Baptist
|
7.01487
|
12
|
16
|
216
|
337
|
|
303
|
295
|
UCF
|
7.02189
|
12
|
17
|
321
|
191
|
|
304
|
302
|
CS Fullerton
|
7.07394
|
9
|
22
|
294
|
223
|
|
305
|
303
|
Nevada
|
7.19543
|
9
|
21
|
312
|
219
|
|
306
|
300
|
The Citadel
|
7.28583
|
11
|
19
|
285
|
257
|
|
307
|
311
|
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
7.33305
|
8
|
21
|
292
|
240
|
|
308
|
307
|
Loyola (MD)
|
7.35207
|
11
|
19
|
317
|
141
|
|
309
|
316
|
Lipscomb
|
7.42162
|
14
|
17
|
259
|
285
|
|
310
|
306
|
Niagara
|
7.54201
|
8
|
22
|
331
|
133
|
|
311
|
314
|
Marist
|
7.54233
|
7
|
25
|
320
|
144
|
|
312
|
309
|
Southern Utah
|
7.5502
|
10
|
19
|
275
|
267
|
|
313
|
315
|
Longwood
|
7.57003
|
11
|
23
|
287
|
247
|
|
314
|
310
|
McNeese State
|
8.02614
|
14
|
15
|
247
|
340
|
|
315
|
317
|
Jacksonville State
|
8.03331
|
12
|
19
|
301
|
237
|
|
316
|
312
|
New Orleans
|
8.25922
|
10
|
17
|
244
|
332
|
|
317
|
313
|
Jackson State
|
8.26128
|
11
|
20
|
230
|
334
|
|
318
|
319
|
Idaho State
|
8.68631
|
7
|
23
|
278
|
303
|
|
319
|
318
|
Austin Peay
|
8.8758
|
8
|
22
|
327
|
180
|
|
320
|
320
|
Utah Valley
|
8.9699
|
11
|
18
|
284
|
306
|
|
321
|
321
|
Montana State
|
9.65294
|
7
|
24
|
324
|
227
|
|
322
|
322
|
Bethune-Cookman
|
9.788
|
11
|
20
|
260
|
347
|
|
323
|
323
|
Southern Miss
|
9.79641
|
9
|
20
|
333
|
218
|
|
324
|
327
|
Binghamton
|
10.1992
|
6
|
26
|
334
|
210
|
|
325
|
324
|
South Carolina State
|
10.2943
|
10
|
21
|
314
|
282
|
|
326
|
326
|
Liberty
|
10.5564
|
8
|
24
|
307
|
331
|
|
327
|
329
|
Tennessee State
|
10.6166
|
5
|
26
|
342
|
156
|
|
328
|
325
|
Coppin State
|
10.6893
|
7
|
22
|
339
|
165
|
|
329
|
328
|
Presbyterian
|
10.6961
|
10
|
22
|
325
|
280
|
|
330
|
332
|
Chicago State
|
10.7933
|
8
|
23
|
323
|
254
|
|
331
|
331
|
Morgan State
|
10.8024
|
7
|
23
|
330
|
203
|
|
332
|
335
|
North Carolina A&T
|
11.021
|
9
|
22
|
313
|
307
|
|
333
|
330
|
Western Illinois
|
11.4373
|
8
|
20
|
338
|
269
|
|
334
|
333
|
Abilene Christian
|
11.518
|
10
|
21
|
315
|
327
|
|
335
|
336
|
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
11.5685
|
12
|
20
|
305
|
318
|
|
336
|
334
|
UMBC
|
11.7672
|
4
|
26
|
344
|
177
|
|
337
|
339
|
Jacksonville
|
12.8208
|
10
|
22
|
322
|
325
|
|
338
|
337
|
Alabama A&M
|
12.8385
|
9
|
19
|
300
|
339
|
|
339
|
345
|
Nicholls State
|
12.8573
|
10
|
18
|
328
|
319
|
|
340
|
340
|
Central Connecticut State
|
12.9351
|
5
|
26
|
345
|
236
|
|
341
|
338
|
Savannah State
|
12.9976
|
9
|
21
|
341
|
262
|
|
342
|
342
|
Stetson
|
13.0035
|
9
|
22
|
319
|
336
|
|
343
|
343
|
Maine
|
13.2746
|
3
|
27
|
346
|
111
|
|
344
|
341
|
Kennesaw State
|
13.6147
|
10
|
22
|
343
|
270
|
|
345
|
344
|
UT Pan American
|
13.6979
|
9
|
21
|
337
|
312
|
|
346
|
346
|
San Jose State
|
16.4885
|
2
|
28
|
349
|
174
|
|
347
|
347
|
Alcorn State
|
17.2232
|
5
|
25
|
340
|
348
|
|
348
|
349
|
Central Arkansas
|
19.1327
|
2
|
27
|
350
|
245
|
|
349
|
348
|
Mississippi Valley State
|
19.9
|
6
|
25
|
347
|
288
|
|
350
|
350
|
Florida A&M
|
20.6775
|
2
|
27
|
348
|
278
|
|
351
|
351
|
Grambling State
|
26.0663
|
2
|
26
|
351
|
330
|
Ohio State dropped out of the AP top 25 this week after getting blown out at home by Wisconsin last night, but people should keep an eye on this Buckeye team over the next month. They are projected to be a #8 seed in the tournament, which makes them very scary, since they have the talent of a #3 seed, so they could be the first team to knock out a #1 this year.
Texas is no longer receiving any votes in the AP Poll, which is mostly due to them having a losing record in the conference, but they play in the Big 12, the toughest league top-to-bottom in the entire country, and they managed to get a couple wins against the top teams in the conference, while keeping it close in several others. Since they are currently looking like they are right on the edge of being selected, I see a deep run in the conference tourney for the Longhorns, and perhaps a surprise conference title.
Conference Tournament Predictions
C=Champion, R=Runner-up
American - Tulsa (C) Memphis (R)
ACC - Virginia (C) Duke (R)
Atlantic 10 - Rhode Island (C) Richmond (R)
Big 12 - Texas (C) West Virginia (R)
Big East - Villanova (C) Xavier (R)
Big Sky - Eastern Washington (C) Montana (R)
Big Ten - Wisconsin (C) Michigan State (R)
Big West - Cal Poly (C) Hawaii (R)
Conference USA - Western Kentucky (C) UTEP (R)
Ivy - Harvard (C) Yale (R)
MEAC - Norfolk State (C) North Carolina Central (R)
MAC - Buffalo (C) Bowling Green (R)
MWC - Boise State (C) UNLV (R)
Pac 12 - Utah (C) Arizona (R)
SEC - Kentucky (C) South Carolina (R)
Southland - Sam Houston (C) Stephen F Austin (R)
Sun Belt - Georgia State (C) UL Monroe (R)
SWAC - Southern (C) Texas Southern (R)
WAC - New Mexico State (C) Seattle (R)
Note: Southern U is ineligible to participate in the NCAA Tournament, so Texas Southern is my pick to earn the tournament bid.
Of the 4 tournaments that have concluded, I correctly picked 3 champions and 2 runners-up. Of the 9 still in progress from last week, I have 6 champs and 6 runners-up still standing.
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