Tuesday, March 22, 2011

NCAA Tournament Odds - 22 Mar

The odds of each team winning the championship have changed considerably in the past week, with 52 teams now eliminated from the tournament. 28 of those teams saw their odds shrink to 0 (they lost a game, so they can't win anymore), and 24 of those teams already had no chance. VCU is the only team that has completely defied the odds, with no chance of winning the title initially, but a small one now. Here are each team's odds of advancing in the tournament and winning the championship.

Elite Eight

1. Kansas - 78.3
2. Duke - 71.9
3. Wisconsin - 66.4
4. Ohio State - 66.1
5. BYU - 60.5
6. Florida State - 60.2
7. North Carolina - 58.7
8. San Diego State - 56.3
9. Connecticut - 43.7
10. Marquette - 41.3
11. VCU - 39.8
12. Florida - 39.5
13. Kentucky - 33.9
14. Butler - 33.6
15. Arizona - 28.1
16. Richmond - 21.7

Final Four

1. Kansas - 60.4
2. Ohio State - 48.8
3. Duke - 46.5
4. BYU - 35.0
5. Wisconsin - 34.4
6. San Diego State - 24.9
7. North Carolina - 20.7
8. Florida Stae - 19.9
9. Kentucky - 19.5
10. Florida - 18.7
11. Connecticut - 16.6
12. Arizona - 12.0
13. Butler - 11.9
14. Marquette - 10.9
15. Richmond - 10.6
16. VCU - 9.1

Championship Game

1. Kansas - 38.2
2. Ohio State - 31.0
3. Duke - 25.9
4. BYU - 18.3
5. Wisconsin - 17.2
6. San Diego State - 10.9
7. Kentucky - 9.2
8. North Carolina - 8.9
9. Florida State - 8.0
10. Florida - 7.8
11. Connecticut - 6.2
12. Arizona - 4.05
13. Butler - 4.00
14. Marquette - 3.8
15. Richmond - 3.7
16. VCU - 2.7

Champion

1. Ohio State - 20.6
2. Kansas - 20.3
3. Duke - 16.0
4. BYU - 8.2
5. Wisconsin - 7.3
6. San Diego State - 5.4
7. Kentucky - 4.7
8. North Carolina - 4.1
9. Connecticut - 2.70
10. Florida - 2.67
11. Florida State - 2.4
12. Arizona - 1.6
13. Marquette - 1.4
14. Butler - 1.0
15. Richmond - 0.9
16. VCU - 0.5

Possible Championship Matchup Odds

All #1 (Kansas vs. Ohio State or Duke) - 21.8
1991 Rematch (Duke vs. Kansas) - 9.9
All Big 10 (Ohio State vs. Wisconsin) - 5.3
UK vs. KU - 3.5
All ACC (Florida State vs. UNC or Duke) - 2.8
All West (BYU vs. Arizona or San Diego State) - 2.7
All Cats (BYU vs. Arizona or Kentucky) - 2.4
2007 Rematch (Ohio State vs. Florida) - 2.4
All MWC (San Diego State vs. BYU) - 2.0
All #2 (Florida vs. San Diego State or North Carolina) - 1.5
All Birds (Kansas vs. Marquette) - 1.4
Kemba vs. Jimmer - 1.1
2010 Rematch (Duke vs. Butler) - 1.0
All Native Americans (San Diego State vs. Florida State) - 0.9
All SEC (Kentucky vs. Florida) - 0.7
All Wisconsin (Wisconsin vs. Marquette) - 0.6
All Cinderella (Marquette vs. VCU, Richmond, or Florida State) - 0.5
All Canines (UConn vs. Butler) - 0.2

NBA Player of the Day

Dwight Howard - ORL - 28 pts, 18 reb, 4 ast, 4 stl, 4 blk, 9-11 FG, 10-12 FT
Howard was the 20th player this season to record 28 points and 18 rebounds in the same game, but he was only the third to add at least 4 assists to those totals and the only one to record either 4 blocks or 4 steals in that same game, and Howard did all of the above is leading Orlando over Cleveland last night. To make his performance even more amazing, he hit 10 of 12 free throws, well above his career average of 59.7%

Predictions - 22 Mar

NBA

Bulls at Hawks - Bulls by 4
Wizards at Trail Blazers - Blazers by 12
Suns at Lakers - Lakers by 9

Prediction Results - 21 Mar

NBA: 7-0 (1.000) 615-252 overall (.709)

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