Monday, December 2, 2013

College Basketball Rankings - 2 Dec

Iowa and Oklahoma State each lost a game this week, and since none of the other top teams were great this week, the Hawkeyes and Cowboys remained in the top 2 spots, although they switched spots with each other. Unlike college football, where undefeated teams are commonplace, it hasn't happened in college basketball in decades, and it probably won't this year either, with no team having a greater than 2% chance of doing it less than a month into the schedule. Here are my full rankings for all games through yesterday:

Rank
LW
Team
Record
Rating
PredRec
Undef%
1
2
Iowa
7
1
-28.3111
27
4

2
1
Oklahoma State
7
1
-26.1597
27
4

3
17
Iowa State
5
0
-24.4938
24
4
0.6
4
5
UCLA
7
0
-23.8974
28
3
2.0
5
13
Arizona
7
0
-22.093
26
5

6
12
Villanova
7
0
-21.9969
27
4
0.7
7
38
Ohio State
6
0
-21.7404
25
5

8
4
Kansas
6
1
-21.0383
24
7

9
9
Utah
6
0
-20.5185
25
5
0.1
10
7
Kentucky
7
1
-20.4642
25
6

11
32
Memphis
5
1
-20.3724
26
5

12
15
Pittsburgh
7
0
-20.121
26
5
0.3
13
19
Michigan State
7
0
-19.3839
24
7

14
23
Louisiana Tech
6
1
-19.0304
27
4

15
10
Massachusetts
6
0
-18.8306
26
4
0.4
16
34
San Diego State
5
1
-18.7568
26
4
0.3
17
14
Clemson
6
1
-17.904
23
7

18
61
Wichita State
8
0
-17.8322
28
3
1.9
19
70
Louisville
6
1
-17.6221
24
7

20
8
LSU
5
2
-17.601
23
7

21
47
Michigan
5
2
-17.0968
20
10

22
25
Cincinnati
6
0
-16.9658
24
7

23
37
Creighton
5
2
-16.8525
22
8

24
35
Florida State
5
2
-16.4502
21
9

25
6
Boise State
6
0
-16.4414
22
7

26
39
North Carolina Central
5
1
-16.3529
28
3

27
18
Connecticut
7
0
-16.0626
25
6

28
33
Wisconsin
8
0
-15.9248
22
9

29
66
Virginia
7
1
-15.9234
23
8

30
11
Saint Louis
6
2
-15.9033
24
7

31
3
George Washington
6
1
-15.7401
24
6

32
57
Virginia Commonwealth
7
2
-15.4915
24
8

33
50
Oregon
7
0
-15.4491
23
7

34
31
Gonzaga
7
1
-15.419
24
7

35
51
Saint Mary's
6
0
-15.3314
23
6
0.1
36
80
Drake
6
1
-15.2869
24
6

37
28
Charleston Southern
3
3
-15.2776
23
6

38
76
Florida
6
1
-15.2045
22
9

39
29
Missouri
7
0
-15.115
23
7

40
30
Duke
6
2
-14.4683
21
10

41
46
Indiana
6
1
-14.3419
21
10

42
41
Georgetown
4
2
-14.3218
19
11

43
21
Drexel
4
2
-14.0216
22
7

44
20
South Carolina
2
2
-13.9899
19
10

45
36
New Mexico
5
1
-13.1253
20
10

46
78
Dayton
6
1
-12.9482
23
8

47
40
Harvard
7
1
-12.8125
23
7

48
55
Delaware
4
3
-12.529
20
11

49
60
Nebraska-Omaha
5
3
-12.5183
23
7

50
95
Butler
5
2
-12.4803
19
11

51
24
Arkansas
4
2
-12.4313
20
11

52
100
Brigham Young
6
2
-12.3867
21
10

53
69
Tennessee
5
2
-12.0749
20
11

54
73
West Virginia
5
2
-12.0268
18
13

55
63
Iona
3
2
-11.9379
23
6

56
163
Syracuse
7
0
-11.903
21
10

57
16
Baylor
7
1
-11.8457
20
11

58
72
North Carolina
4
2
-11.7433
19
12

59
53
Colorado
7
1
-11.6336
20
11

60
44
Illinois
7
0
-11.5522
19
12

61
54
Southern Methodist
6
2
-11.4803
20
11

62
68
Mercer
5
3
-11.3789
24
7

63
22
Arizona State
7
2
-11.0299
19
12

64
217
Marquette
5
3
-10.9016
18
13

65
26
Louisiana-Monroe
2
1
-10.8842
18
8

66
77
UC Irvine
5
3
-10.8551
23
9

67
48
Utah State
5
1
-10.39
21
9

68
82
Princeton
5
1
-10.3096
20
8

69
67
Southeast Missouri State
6
2
-10.1234
23
7

70
27
Xavier
5
3
-10.0315
17
14

71
42
Eastern Kentucky
6
2
-10.017
22
8

72
111
Hawaii
5
2
-9.95612
21
7

73
106
North Carolina State
4
2
-9.94537
18
13

74
99
Cleveland State
4
3
-9.92203
21
10

75
124
New Mexico State
7
2
-9.78387
23
9

76
71
Toledo
6
0
-9.77527
24
7

77
58
Morehead State
6
3
-9.75203
23
8

78
102
Oklahoma
5
1
-9.48453
18
13

79
83
Brown
5
2
-9.45564
19
9

80
84
Texas
6
1
-9.39093
18
13

81
79
Pacific
6
1
-9.11701
19
9

82
92
Ole Miss
6
0
-9.04783
19
12

83
45
Minnesota
6
2
-8.93665
17
14

84
146
Ohio
6
1
-8.92322
24
8

85
98
Charlotte
6
1
-8.77089
22
7

86
123
Louisiana-Lafayette
5
2
-8.62549
22
9

87
59
Valparaiso
5
4
-8.59415
19
12

88
56
Southern Miss
6
1
-8.28943
23
7

89
91
Wyoming
5
2
-8.2576
20
11

90
110
Maryland
5
2
-8.05715
16
15

91
49
Bucknell
3
4
-8.02667
18
11

92
62
Providence
7
2
-7.97785
17
14

93
52
Youngstown State
6
3
-7.92744
20
11

94
140
Holy Cross
4
3
-7.89136
19
11

95
96
Belmont
7
2
-7.85719
22
9

96
90
UC Santa Barbara
3
2
-7.77648
19
10

97
101
Towson
6
2
-7.66097
21
10

98
118
Penn State
6
2
-7.60962
16
15

99
150
Cal Poly
2
5
-7.5171
16
13

100
43
Manhattan
4
2
-7.5168
20
8

101
108
North Dakota State
4
3
-7.48799
19
10

102
93
St. Bonaventure
5
2
-7.38111
18
12

103
133
Alabama
3
3
-7.08566
14
17

104
88
San Diego
7
2
-7.08351
19
11

105
112
Eastern Michigan
5
1
-6.96632
21
10

106
122
Wake Forest
6
2
-6.89472
17
14

107
119
Temple
3
3
-6.83802
15
15

108
75
East Carolina
6
2
-6.73729
22
9

109
104
Oral Roberts
4
3
-6.65733
22
9

110
89
Bryant University
5
2
-6.45857
22
9

111
126
Stanford
6
2
-6.41032
15
15

112
159
Dartmouth
3
1
-6.34833
18
10

113
136
Northeastern
2
5
-6.33771
16
14

114
86
Sam Houston State
5
3
-6.30724
21
9

115
85
Boston University
5
2
-6.21631
19
12

116
235
American University
2
4
-6.04595
16
13

117
233
Quinnipiac
4
1
-6.03258
20
8

118
134
IPFW
6
3
-5.81187
22
9

119
94
Fresno State
6
3
-5.75801
16
15

120
148
Stephen F Austin
6
2
-5.58005
23
8

121
129
Texas A&M
6
2
-5.53591
17
14

122
240
Colgate
4
2
-5.53046
18
11

123
87
Chattanooga
3
5
-5.51835
20
10

124
144
Virgnia Tech
5
3
-5.51714
15
15

125
155
Columbia
4
4
-5.47137
18
13

126
125
Saint Joseph's
4
2
-5.42656
16
14

127
229
Middle Tennessee
6
1
-5.38835
20
10

128
117
Eastern Washington
5
2
-5.31395
20
11

129
202
Northwestern
4
4
-5.1889
13
18

130
103
USC Upstate
5
3
-5.17972
20
11

131
137
Kent State
8
1
-5.0657
21
10

132
113
Wright State
5
3
-4.85476
19
12

133
165
Portland
5
3
-4.67959
16
14

134
109
Boston College
3
4
-4.63239
12
19

135
143
Cal State Bakersfield
5
3
-4.4493
20
10

136
191
Northern Iowa
3
3
-4.44641
15
15

137
161
California
5
2
-4.41969
15
16

138
132
Nevada
3
5
-4.32813
14
17

139
121
St. John's
5
2
-4.25768
14
17

140
145
Nebraska
5
2
-4.11201
13
17

141
174
St. Francis (NY)
5
3
-4.08579
22
9

142
196
Richmond
6
2
-4.04806
16
15

143
81
DePaul
4
3
-3.95022
14
17

144
198
Green Bay
4
2
-3.76094
16
13

145
183
Washington State
4
4
-3.7562
13
17

146
156
Detroit
4
4
-3.73887
16
15

147
114
Milwaukee
7
2
-3.72366
17
13

148
176
George Mason
5
2
-3.6652
13
15

149
128
High Point
3
3
-3.56461
17
12

150
179
Texas Tech
6
2
-3.5078
14
17

151
256
UTEP
4
4
-3.42185
19
12

152
232
Colorado State
6
2
-3.3082
18
13

153
201
Miami (FL)
5
3
-3.27165
14
17

154
105
Notre Dame
5
1
-3.25069
14
18

155
182
Vanderbilt
4
2
-3.18986
13
17

156
190
Yale
4
3
-3.07984
14
14

157
65
South Florida
4
2
-3.05471
14
16

158
170
Winthrop
5
1
-3.04151
18
10

159
221
William & Mary
4
3
-2.96157
15
14

160
115
Florida International
7
3
-2.89421
19
12

161
152
South Alabama
4
3
-2.85345
17
14

162
139
Missouri State
6
1
-2.83891
17
13

163
135
Idaho State
2
2
-2.74918
17
12

164
184
Northern Colorado
4
2
-2.71401
19
10

165
178
UNLV
3
3
-2.66052
14
16

166
167
Bradley
5
2
-2.63646
16
15

167
211
Albany
4
3
-2.60011
18
11

168
175
Purdue
6
2
-2.55644
13
18

169
64
Radford
4
2
-2.50501
20
10

170
162
Marshall
4
3
-2.48106
17
14

171
173
UCF
3
2
-2.40767
14
15

172
218
Kansas State
4
3
-2.39957
12
19

173
213
Akron
1
2
-2.35168
15
14

174
160
Arkansas State
4
2
-2.14117
17
13

175
74
North Dakota
2
4
-2.09658
16
13

176
164
Grand Canyon
4
3
-1.80811
13
10

177
268
Fordham
3
2
-1.78012
13
16

178
120
Seton Hall
4
3
-1.73479
13
18

179
172
Texas-Arlington
2
6
-1.676
14
17

180
193
Gardner-Webb
4
4
-1.59099
18
13

181
127
Georgia Tech
5
3
-1.58135
12
19

182
288
Weber State
1
3
-1.43029
16
13

183
185
Navy
4
3
-1.38065
15
14

184
130
Robert Morris
3
5
-1.36711
15
16

185
131
Indiana State
5
2
-1.17405
15
15

186
208
Pennsylvania
2
4
-1.11189
12
16

187
194
UAB
6
2
-1.05263
17
13

188
177
Oregon State
3
2
-0.96224
11
17

189
230
North Florida
4
4
-0.91423
17
14

190
168
Tennessee Tech
5
4
-0.71544
16
15

191
186
Coastal Carolina
2
5
-0.62245
17
13

192
204
Southern Illinois
2
6
-0.56393
13
18

193
207
Duquesne
2
3
-0.5378
12
17

194
141
Lafayette
1
5
-0.52914
10
18

195
224
USC
5
3
-0.49282
12
19

196
166
Bowling Green
2
4
-0.47708
13
18

197
200
Western Michigan
5
2
-0.44169
15
14

198
187
Stony Brook
5
3
-0.40671
19
11

199
209
Oakland
1
7
-0.30933
11
20

200
157
Southeastern Louisiana
3
3
-0.28038
18
11

201
222
Ball State
2
4
-0.21686
13
16

202
149
Evansville
5
2
-0.17865
15
16

203
283
Loyola (MD)
4
1
-0.05723
14
14

204
97
Elon
4
4
0.038749
17
14

205
180
La Salle
3
4
0.235409
11
19

206
189
Georgia Southern
3
5
0.370549
17
14

207
116
Mississippi State
5
1
0.411261
14
15

208
241
Western Kentucky
4
2
0.433142
15
16

209
254
Sacred Heart
1
6
0.466484
14
16

210
169
Houston
6
2
0.467559
13
18

211
107
Northwestern State
3
3
0.482961
15
14

212
138
Seattle
3
3
0.485953
15
14

213
237
Illinois State
3
4
0.587409
12
18

214
192
Old Dominion
4
3
0.764749
14
17

215
206
Northern Illinois
2
4
0.79054
12
18

216
216
Tulsa
1
6
0.900305
12
18

217
158
San Francisco
5
4
0.919774
12
18

218
245
North Carolina-Wilmington
5
5
0.947855
13
18

219
231
East Tennessee State
3
5
1.125669
15
16

220
142
Santa Clara
2
4
1.181707
10
20

221
195
Lehigh
3
5
1.191852
13
18

222
275
Idaho
4
4
1.366712
16
15

223
153
San Jose State
2
6
1.401391
11
19

224
234
IUPUI
1
7
1.424248
11
20

225
215
Montana
1
4
1.451038
14
15

226
264
Southern University
3
4
1.468066
17
12

227
239
Loyola Marymount
5
2
1.496949
12
18

228
257
Georgia
2
4
1.504577
8
22

229
212
Jackson State
2
6
1.628051
15
14

230
147
UNC Greensboro
4
3
1.658753
17
14

231
325
Liberty
3
5
1.81936
15
16

232
290
North Texas
5
3
1.922811
15
15

233
255
Texas State
2
6
1.953305
12
19

234
251
Portland State
4
2
1.968627
16
13

235
252
Georgia State
2
5
1.993769
12
19

236
249
Pepperdine
5
3
2.014015
12
18

237
203
James Madison
2
6
2.03839
9
21

238
188
Washington
4
3
2.136702
11
20

239
151
Delaware State
1
5
2.290431
14
15

240
226
Campbell
4
3
2.525693
16
15

241
286
Charleston
3
5
2.551511
13
18

242
220
Vermont
3
6
2.559944
14
16

243
246
Western Illinois
2
4
2.562043
12
17

244
266
Maryland-Eastern Shore
2
3
2.59566
15
14

245
223
Hampton
3
5
2.699684
15
14

246
154
Cal State Fullerton
2
6
2.837383
11
19

247
297
Mount St. Mary's
2
6
2.899623
12
17

248
301
Arkansas-Little Rock
2
4
3.003596
11
18

249
199
Rider
2
4
3.025475
13
16

250
243
New Hampshire
2
4
3.040173
14
15

251
250
Utah Valley
2
4
3.211453
13
16

252
293
Lipscomb
3
4
3.283103
13
16

253
259
Alabama State
3
2
3.420824
19
10

254
284
Northern Arizona
2
6
3.544553
12
19

255
277
Davidson
2
5
3.574156
13
17

256
285
Wofford
2
4
3.596856
13
16

257
282
Central Michigan
5
3
3.749694
14
16

258
242
Niagara
1
6
3.751829
12
18

259
225
Jacksonville
2
4
3.780193
14
15

260
247
Texas-Pan American
4
5
3.911548
14
17

261
320
Buffalo
3
2
3.950297
13
16

262
271
South Dakota
2
3
4.014006
12
17

263
244
Wagner
4
4
4.020379
14
16

264
261
Western Carolina
5
5
4.039716
15
17

265
205
Murray State
2
5
4.14016
11
17

266
228
Auburn
4
1
4.339983
9
20

267
276
Texas Southern
3
5
4.345988
13
14

268
258
Appalachian State
1
5
4.384695
13
16

269
236
Rutgers
4
4
4.429101
9
22

270
219
Sacramento State
2
3
4.470168
13
16

271
302
Hofstra
2
5
4.487966
10
21

272
269
LIU Brooklyn
2
4
4.686458
11
18

273
267
Loyola (IL)
3
5
4.711312
10
20

274
248
Troy
2
3
4.735625
11
19

275
318
Austin Peay
4
3
4.903983
15
15

276
210
Florida A&M
2
5
4.904518
13
16

277
321
St. Peter's
2
4
4.935242
11
16

278
310
Tennessee State
0
8
4.942334
9
21

279
278
Rice
3
4
4.989038
11
18

280
281
Siena
2
7
5.00559
12
18

281
214
Kennesaw State
3
7
5.042972
11
20

282
260
TCU
4
3
5.167079
9
21

283
329
Fairfield
1
6
5.396749
10
21

284
291
Chicago State
3
4
5.45006
14
17

285
270
Rhode Island
6
3
5.680444
10
21

286
171
NJIT
4
4
5.739224
13
16

287
319
UC Riverside
2
3
5.781274
12
18

288
312
Long Beach State
1
7
5.795991
8
22

289
279
Savannah State
2
7
6.010177
11
20

290
294
South Dakota State
3
6
6.192878
11
19

291
181
New Orleans
1
3
6.233914
11
15

292
289
Texas A&M-CC
3
6
6.248676
14
17

293
287
Florida Atlantic
1
6
6.302547
9
22

294
273
UNC-Asheville
1
7
6.411979
11
19

295
303
Norfolk State
5
3
6.648366
14
16

296
253
Monmouth
3
4
6.914705
13
18

297
263
Virginia Military
3
3
6.981236
11
17

298
272
Northern Kentucky
1
6
7.121321
9
21

299
334
Hartford
2
6
7.277026
11
20

300
347
Illinois-Chicago
3
4
7.283954
8
22

301
309
Massachusetts Lowell
1
6
7.492845
10
18

302
331
Eastern Illinois
3
4
7.907343
10
19

303
313
Alcorn State
3
3
7.969615
13
15

304
317
Florida Gulf Coast
4
3
8.067729
12
18

305
295
St. Francis (PA)
1
6
8.215514
9
20

306
328
UMBC
2
5
8.278639
10
19

307
292
UC Davis
3
5
8.313111
10
21

308
304
Lamar
1
7
8.560089
9
21

309
265
North Carolina A&T
2
5
8.580593
10
21

310
307
Jacksonville State
3
6
8.609006
9
21

311
300
Bethune-Cookman
3
6
8.667313
10
21

312
305
Houston Baptist
2
5
8.723874
12
19

313
314
Morgan State
1
7
8.90976
9
19

314
338
Denver
1
4
9.322168
6
23

315
197
Stetson
0
9
9.407405
7
23

316
311
Incarnate Word
6
1
9.517741
17
9

317
262
Canisius
3
3
9.887682
10
21

318
298
Alabama A&M
1
4
9.91535
11
17

319
238
Prairie View A&M
1
7
9.996529
9
19

320
344
Central Connecticut State
1
5
10.03827
9
20

321
333
Montana State
2
5
10.18994
10
21

322
274
Tulane
4
4
10.62273
9
22

323
308
Longwood
2
6
10.71973
9
22

324
296
Coppin State
2
4
10.94483
8
20

325
323
Cal State Northridge
4
4
11.03441
10
22

326
306
SIU-Edwardsville
1
6
11.2895
8
22

327
324
Howard
2
7
11.48487
7
24

328
280
Air Force
3
4
11.89423
7
22

329
299
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
2
6
12.5689
9
19

330
316
Binghamton
1
6
12.6041
6
23

331
339
Furman
3
3
12.62824
10
19

332
327
Citadel
2
6
12.78413
9
22

333
337
Mississippi Valley State
1
6
12.79222
5
16

334
335
Central Arkansas
2
4
13.39483
8
21

335
350
Fairleigh Dickinson
3
6
13.63965
7
23

336
330
UMKC
1
5
13.80732
5
24

337
322
Tennessee-Martin
2
8
13.88913
7
24

338
315
Army
1
5
14.11344
4
25

339
342
South Carolina State
2
5
14.4949
6
23

340
336
Samford
3
6
14.615
8
23

341
326
Abilene Christian
2
8
14.68972
11
19

342
340
Nicholls State
1
4
15.14446
7
20

343
227
Maine
1
5
15.26502
6
22

344
332
Miami (OH)
0
4
16.31263
2
27

345
343
Presbyterian
1
7
16.76195
5
26

346
346
McNeese State
2
5
17.34789
7
24

347
341
Marist
0
7
17.44978
3
27

348
345
UTSA
1
6
18.19986
4
25

349
349
Cornell
0
9
18.59429
1
27

350
348
Southern Utah
1
4
20.7061
2
27

351
351
Grambling State
0
3
25.4084
1
22


Iowa State has joined their instate rivals in the top 3, with a perfect record so far and wins over BYU and Michigan, both pretty good teams. Next week's matchup with Iowa will not get the press it should, but it should be one of the best games of the season.

Arizona joined 2 other Pac 12 teams in the top 10 this week after defeating Duke at Madison Square Garden on Friday. They've also beaten San Diego State on the road already, so these Wildcats are for real, and the Pac 12 is back to being a power conference after nearly being a 1-bid league just a couple years ago.

Villanova also made the top 10 this week after back-to-back wins over Kansas and Iowa in the Bahamas over Thanksgiving weekend, which also kept the Wildcats undefeated. Their schedule eases up for a while now, with two tough road games to close out the year, at Syracuse and Butler.

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Orlando at Washington - Wizards by 3
New Orleans at Chicago - Bulls by 5
Atlanta at San Antonio - Spurs by 15
Houston at Utah - Rockets by 10
Indiana at Portland - Trail Blazers by 1

College Basketball

(15) Florida at (13) Connecticut - Huskies by 7
Auburn at (17) Iowa State - Cyclones by 35
Loyola (MD) at West Virginia - Mountaineers by 18
Edward Waters at North Florida - Ospreys by 32
Boston at Quinnipiac - Bobcats by 6
Western Kentucky at Bowling Green - Falcons by 7
Wright State at Morehead State - Eagles by 11
Maryland-Eastern Shore at UMBC - Retrievers by 1
Baptist Bible at Delaware State - Hornets by 28
Chattanooga at Georgia - Mocs by 1
Texas-Pan American at SIU-Edwardsville - Broncs by 2
Valley City State at North Dakota State - Bison by 38
Alcorn State at Troy - Trojans by 9
Utah Valley at South Dakota - Coyotes by 5
Niagara at Arkansas State - Red Wolves by 12
Spring Hill at South Alabama - Jaguars by 34
McNeese State at SMU - Mustangs by 35
Vanderbilt at Texas - Longhorns by 12
Mercer at Oklahoma - Sooners by 4
Black Hills State at Wyoming - Cowboys by 39
UC Davis at Seattle - Redhawks by 14
Loyola Marymount at UC Riverside - Highlanders by 1
UC Irvine at California - Anteaters by 1

Pick of the Day


Seattle

The Redhawks are hosting UC Davis tonight, and while I don't think it will be a blowout, they've been better than the Aggies so far this year, but I am by no means ultra-confident tonight. I'm crossing my fingers for #25.

Prediction Results

NBA: 7-1 (.875) 166-89 overall (.651)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 26-20 overall (.565)
College Basketball: 31-12 (.721) 1096-259 overall (.809)
Upsets: 5-2 (.714) 114-63 overall (.644)

2 comments:

  1. Datya driven calculations are only as good as the data and Arizona is 7-0 not 6-1 as you have indicated. You probably need to recalculate.

    ReplyDelete
  2. What time do you release your pick of the day?

    ReplyDelete