Monday, March 16, 2020

NCAA Bracket - Final

With the cancellation of the final games of most conference tournaments and the entire NCAA tournament, we will never know exactly which teams would have made the field and who would have won the championship, but I've analyzed all of the available data and projected what I feel the field would have looked like using only the games that were played, and I'm also projecting how I think the tournament would have played out. There were only a few changes from my previous bracket, with Stanford dropping out in favor of Texas, and Colorado dropping a few spots after a terrible loss on the final day of the season. Here is my full final bracket and tournament projection:


WEST


EAST
1
Gonzaga

1
Dayton
16
Siena

16
Winthrop
8
Marquette

8
Arizona
9
Florida

9
Oklahoma
5
Ohio State

5
West Virginia
12
Stephen F Austin

12
Cincinnati
4
Oregon

4
Auburn
13
Akron

13
Belmont
6
Penn State

6
BYU
11
Richmond

11
Arizona State/Texas Tech
3
Seton Hall

3
Duke
14
Bradley

14
North Texas
7
Michigan

7
Illinois
10
Colorado

10
East Tennessee State
2
San Diego State

2
Villanova
15
Northern Kentucky

15
UC Irvine

SOUTH


MIDWEST
1
Baylor

1
Kansas
16
Boston U/Prairie View

16
Robert Morris/NC Central
8
USC

8
LSU
9
Wichita State

9
Rutgers
5
Wisconsin

5
Louisville
12
Liberty

12
Yale
4
Kentucky

4
Butler
13
Vermont

13
New Mexico State
6
Iowa

6
Virginia
11
Xavier/Texas

11
Utah State
3
Maryland

3
Michigan State
14
Hofstra

14
Eastern Washington
7
Saint Mary’s

7
Houston
10
Providence

10
Indiana
2
Florida State

2
Creighton
15
Little Rock

15
North Dakota State

Last Four Byes

Colorado
Providence
Indiana
Richmond

Last Four In

Arizona State
Xavier
Texas Tech
Texas

First Four Out

Mississippi State
Saint Louis
Rhode Island
NC State

Next Four Out

Stanford
Northern Iowa
Purdue
Arkansas

Teams by Conference

Big 10 - 10
Big East - 7
Big 12 - 6
Pac 12 - 5
SEC - 4
ACC - 4
AAC - 3
WCC - 3
Atl 10 - 2
MWC - 2

Projected Tournament

First Round

(1) Gonzaga
(9) Florida
(5) Ohio State
(4) Oregon

(11) Richmond
(3) Seton Hall
(10) Colorado
(2) San Diego State

(1) Baylor
(9) Wichita State
(5) Wisconsin
(13) Vermont

(11) Texas
(3) Maryland
(10) Providence
(2) Florida State

(1) Dayton
(9) Oklahoma
(5) West Virginia
(4) Auburn

(11) Texas Tech
(3) Duke
(10) East Tennessee State
(2) Villanova

(1) Kansas
(9) Rutgers
(5) Louisville
(4) Butler

(11) Utah State
(3) Michigan State
(10) Indiana
(2) Creighton

13 total upsets in the first round, which is usually around the higher end of the range.

Sweet 16

(1) Gonzaga
(5) Ohio State
(3) Seton Hall
(2) San Diego State

(1) Baylor
(13) Vermont
(3) Maryland
(10) Providence

(1) Dayton
(5) West Virginia
(3) Duke
(2) Villanova

(1) Kansas
(5) Louisville
(3) Michigan State
(10) Indiana

3 double-digit seeds make it into the Sweet 16, including a true Cinderella in America East champ Vermont.

Elite Eight

(1) Gonzaga
(3) Seton Hall

(1) Baylor
(10) Providence

(5) West Virginia
(3) Duke

(1) Kansas
(3) Michigan State

Providence continues their hot streak over the past month by reaching the Elite Eight despite being a 10 seed.

Final Four

(1) Gonzaga
(1) Baylor
(5) West Virginia
(1) Kansas

3 Big 12 teams make it to the Final Four, including a surprise appearance from West Virginia.

Championship

(1) Gonzaga
(1) Kansas

Gonzaga makes their second appearance in the title game.

Champions

(1) Gonzaga

The Bulldogs take home their first title in the tournament that never was.

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