Two games have now been completed in each playoff series, and 7 of the 8 series stand at 2-0, with only Washington and San Antonio winning on the road so far. I've updated each team's chances of winning their first round series from its current standing, as well as advancing through each remaining round below:
Odds of Winning First Round
1. Warriors - 99.1% (+3.0)
2. Hawks - 98.1% (+4.9)
3. Bulls - 94.4% (+15.8)
4. Cavaliers - 93.7% (+17.2)
5. Rockets - 93.0% (+19.1)
6. Grizzlies - 83.2% (+36.2)
7. Wizards - 82.5% (+48.6)
8. Spurs - 58.1% (+1.4)
9. Clippers - 41.9% (-1.4)
10. Raptors - 17.5% (-48.6)
11. Trail Blazers - 16.8% (-36.2)
12. Mavericks - 7.0% (-19.1)
13. Celtics - 6.3% (-17.2)
14. Bucks - 5.6% (-15.8)
15. Nets - 1.9% (-4.9)
The smallest changes came from the #1 seeds, which had little space to improve their odds, and from the Spurs, which earned a split with the Clippers, which pretty much makes it a 5-game series with San Antonio holding home court.
Odds of Winning Second Round
1. Warriors - 92.4% (+2.7)
2. Hawks - 79.6% (+6.6)
3. Cavaliers - 62.6% (+9.1)
4. Spurs - 46.0% (-2.4)
5. Bulls - 34.9% (+1.9)
6. Clippers - 31.3% (-3.0)
7. Rockets - 22.3% (+6.7)
8. Wizards - 16.3% (+9.9)
9. Grizzlies - 6.4% (+2.8)
10. Raptors - 3.7% (-15.3)
11. Celtics - 1.9% (-7.7)
The biggest jump here belongs to Washington, which was not expected to win the first round originally but took a 2-0 lead on the road in Toronto. Cleveland also moved up well after earning two tough victories over a hot Celtics squad.
Odds of Making NBA Finals
1. Warriors - 65.6% (+4.0)
2. Hawks - 39.6% (-0.7)
3. Cavaliers - 38.8% (+6.3)
4. Spurs - 18.4% (-3.2)
5. Bulls - 17.4% (+1.3)
6. Clippers - 11.0% (-1.5)
7. Rockets - 3.5% (+1.0)
8. Wizards - 2.8% (+1.6)
9. Grizzlies - 1.3% (+1.3)
The Cavaliers had the biggest jump this week, mostly because they were projected to have a long series with Boston, which is not looking to be the case at this point.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
1. Warriors - 57.4% (+2.9)
2. Spurs - 14.6% (-3.2)
3. Cavaliers - 8.3% (+1.8)
4. Clippers - 8.2% (-1.3)
5. Hawks - 6.9% (-0.3)
6. Bulls - 2.3% (+0.3)
7. Rockets - 1.7% (+0.5)
Golden State made the largest leap here after handling their business at home, which is all they need to do to win this year's title.
Predictions
Upset picks are in italics.
NBA Playoffs
Cleveland at Boston - Cavaliers by 2
Chicago at Milwaukee - Bulls by 2
Golden State at New Orleans - Warriors by 6
Prediction Results
NBA Playoffs: 2-1 (.667) 13-3 overall (.813)
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