The divisional round starts today, so I've added in the wild card scores and updated all possible remaining matchups to determine each team's odds of advancing in the playoffs and of winning the Super Bowl. Change in odds from last week is in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Conference Championship
1. Rams - 71.3% (+8.0)
2. Saints - 70.5% (-0.8)
3. Chiefs - 64.1% (+0.8)
4. Patriots - 53.3% (-3.0)
5. Chargers - 46.7% (+29.1)
6. Colts - 35.9% (+22.1)
7. Eagles - 29.5% (+19.5)
8. Cowboys - 28.7% (+16.0)
The Chargers were happy with the Colts win, which gave them a better divisional matchup and dropped the Patriots odds a bit as well.
Odds of Reaching Super Bowl
1. Saints - 45.0% (+0.9)
2. Chiefs - 39.7% (-0.7)
3. Rams - 34.5% (+4.3)
4. Patriots - 23.4% (-1.5)
5. Chargers - 22.1% (+14.0)
6. Colts - 14.9% (+9.6)
7. Eagles - 10.9% (+7.7)
8. Cowboys - 9.6% (+5.7)
The Rams had the biggest bump during the bye due to the Seahawks and the Bears going down.
Odds of Winning Super Bowl
1. Saints - 25.3% (+0.1)
2. Chiefs - 20.6% (+0.0)
3. Rams - 18.2% (+1.9)
4. Chargers - 10.6% (+6.9)
5. Patriots - 10.5% (-0.5)
6. Colts - 6.6% (+4.4)
7. Eagles - 4.5% (+3.2)
8. Cowboys - 3.6% (+2.1)
The Chargers' win at Baltimore gave them the biggest bump in odds in every round, since it was an impressive road win coupled with an easier path for this weekend.
My Picks
Divisional
(1) Chiefs over (6) Colts
(5) Chargers over (2) Patriots
(1) Saints over (6) Eagles
(2) Rams over (4) Cowboys
Conference Championships
(1) Chiefs over (5) Chargers
(2) Rams over (1) Saints
Super Bowl
(1) Chiefs over (2) Rams
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