|
|
|
|
|
Rec
|
ProjRec
|
|
|||
|
TW
|
LW
|
Team
|
Rating
|
W
|
L
|
W
|
L
|
SOS
|
MOV
|
|
1
|
1
|
Alabama
|
-29.58
|
13
|
0
|
13
|
0
|
22
|
1
|
|
2
|
2
|
Clemson
|
-26.21
|
13
|
0
|
13
|
0
|
44
|
2
|
|
3
|
3
|
Georgia
|
-23.16
|
11
|
2
|
11
|
2
|
5
|
7
|
|
4
|
4
|
Michigan
|
-18.67
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
24
|
9
|
|
5
|
5
|
Notre Dame
|
-17.9
|
12
|
0
|
12
|
0
|
34
|
8
|
|
6
|
6
|
Mississippi State
|
-17.07
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
12
|
17
|
|
7
|
7
|
Missouri
|
-16.72
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
24
|
|
8
|
9
|
Ohio State
|
-16.7
|
12
|
1
|
12
|
1
|
41
|
11
|
|
9
|
8
|
Oklahoma
|
-15.79
|
12
|
1
|
12
|
1
|
38
|
12
|
|
10
|
10
|
UCF
|
-15.27
|
12
|
0
|
12
|
0
|
115
|
4
|
|
11
|
12
|
Fresno State
|
-14.56
|
11
|
2
|
11
|
2
|
92
|
5
|
|
12
|
13
|
LSU
|
-14.15
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
11
|
35
|
|
13
|
14
|
Penn State
|
-13.7
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
30
|
20
|
|
14
|
11
|
West Virginia
|
-13.54
|
8
|
3
|
8
|
3
|
48
|
16
|
|
15
|
15
|
Florida
|
-12.85
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
31
|
31
|
|
16
|
17
|
Texas A&M
|
-12.64
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
2
|
47
|
|
17
|
19
|
Utah State
|
-12.29
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
123
|
3
|
|
18
|
16
|
Iowa
|
-12.27
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
57
|
18
|
|
19
|
22
|
Washington
|
-12.19
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
37
|
25
|
|
20
|
21
|
Kentucky
|
-11.91
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
19
|
38
|
|
21
|
18
|
Appalachian State
|
-11.72
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
113
|
6
|
|
22
|
20
|
Utah
|
-11.67
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
4
|
27
|
33
|
|
23
|
23
|
Washington State
|
-11.59
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
77
|
14
|
|
24
|
26
|
Auburn
|
-11.04
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
10
|
51
|
|
25
|
24
|
Cincinnati
|
-10.68
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
102
|
10
|
|
26
|
27
|
Syracuse
|
-10.55
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
66
|
19
|
|
27
|
25
|
Boise State
|
-10.53
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
64
|
21
|
|
28
|
30
|
Miami
|
-9.868
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
51
|
34
|
|
29
|
29
|
South Carolina
|
-9.452
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
56
|
|
30
|
28
|
Texas
|
-8.385
|
9
|
4
|
9
|
4
|
25
|
52
|
|
31
|
35
|
Stanford
|
-8.173
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
33
|
42
|
|
32
|
37
|
NC State
|
-8.049
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
93
|
22
|
|
33
|
32
|
Purdue
|
-7.964
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
15
|
61
|
|
34
|
33
|
Vanderbilt
|
-7.673
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
8
|
63
|
|
35
|
34
|
Ohio
|
-7.376
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
116
|
13
|
|
36
|
36
|
Temple
|
-6.749
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
89
|
27
|
|
37
|
39
|
Oregon
|
-6.278
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
82
|
39
|
|
38
|
38
|
Pittsburgh
|
-6.144
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
6
|
1
|
76
|
|
39
|
43
|
Georgia Tech
|
-6.032
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
47
|
48
|
|
40
|
40
|
Memphis
|
-5.947
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
106
|
26
|
|
41
|
42
|
Army
|
-5.811
|
9
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
105
|
23
|
|
42
|
44
|
Michigan State
|
-5.529
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
17
|
68
|
|
43
|
31
|
Iowa State
|
-5.495
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
45
|
53
|
|
44
|
47
|
Arizona State
|
-5.221
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
56
|
49
|
|
45
|
41
|
Oklahoma State
|
-5.208
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
50
|
60
|
|
46
|
51
|
Boston College
|
-5.125
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
54
|
57
|
|
47
|
45
|
Buffalo
|
-4.772
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
109
|
29
|
|
48
|
52
|
Virginia
|
-4.7
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
75
|
45
|
|
49
|
50
|
Wisconsin
|
-4.459
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
52
|
62
|
|
50
|
49
|
Houston
|
-4.379
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
118
|
30
|
|
51
|
46
|
Northwestern
|
-4.347
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
20
|
73
|
|
52
|
48
|
Texas Tech
|
-4.02
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
43
|
64
|
|
53
|
54
|
Georgia Southern
|
-3.634
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
117
|
32
|
|
54
|
55
|
Toledo
|
-3.549
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
111
|
37
|
|
55
|
58
|
Duke
|
-3.335
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
26
|
72
|
|
56
|
56
|
BYU
|
-3.335
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
62
|
54
|
|
57
|
57
|
Troy
|
-3.223
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
114
|
36
|
|
58
|
60
|
UAB
|
-3.183
|
10
|
3
|
10
|
3
|
121
|
28
|
|
59
|
53
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-3.172
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
74
|
44
|
|
60
|
61
|
Nebraska
|
-2.558
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
28
|
80
|
|
61
|
62
|
Maryland
|
-2.431
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
21
|
86
|
|
62
|
63
|
Minnesota
|
-2.394
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
36
|
78
|
|
63
|
64
|
Arkansas State
|
-2.394
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
103
|
41
|
|
64
|
67
|
North Texas
|
-2.132
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
130
|
15
|
|
65
|
65
|
Ole Miss
|
-2.129
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
16
|
93
|
|
66
|
66
|
USC
|
-1.972
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
29
|
77
|
|
67
|
59
|
TCU
|
-1.925
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
35
|
81
|
|
68
|
69
|
Miami (OH)
|
-1.417
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
78
|
58
|
|
69
|
70
|
Tennessee
|
-1.171
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
6
|
102
|
|
70
|
73
|
Indiana
|
-0.821
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
14
|
96
|
|
71
|
75
|
Eastern Michigan
|
-0.758
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
104
|
46
|
|
72
|
77
|
Northern Illinois
|
-0.74
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
49
|
69
|
|
73
|
71
|
California
|
-0.557
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
67
|
70
|
|
74
|
76
|
Air Force
|
-0.397
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
96
|
55
|
|
75
|
68
|
Marshall
|
-0.171
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
120
|
43
|
|
76
|
72
|
Kansas State
|
-0.15
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
42
|
87
|
|
77
|
79
|
Wake Forest
|
-0.127
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
55
|
84
|
|
78
|
74
|
Baylor
|
0.1884
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
46
|
85
|
|
79
|
78
|
Florida Intl
|
0.3095
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
129
|
40
|
|
80
|
81
|
Nevada
|
0.5767
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
99
|
59
|
|
81
|
80
|
Arizona
|
0.6024
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
61
|
83
|
|
82
|
83
|
Louisiana
|
0.6434
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
6
|
68
|
65
|
|
83
|
82
|
Florida Atlantic
|
1.1163
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
76
|
67
|
|
84
|
91
|
Virginia Tech
|
1.3649
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
58
|
92
|
|
85
|
84
|
Wyoming
|
1.79
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
71
|
74
|
|
86
|
85
|
San Diego State
|
1.9608
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
91
|
71
|
|
87
|
86
|
Colorado
|
2.1818
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
65
|
88
|
|
88
|
87
|
Tulane
|
2.3544
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
70
|
79
|
|
89
|
88
|
UCLA
|
2.3828
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
4
|
111
|
|
90
|
90
|
Western Michigan
|
2.7532
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
86
|
75
|
|
91
|
89
|
Southern Miss
|
2.8175
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
5
|
127
|
50
|
|
92
|
93
|
Florida State
|
3.5803
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
18
|
110
|
|
93
|
92
|
SMU
|
3.7753
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
59
|
94
|
|
94
|
94
|
North Carolina
|
4.2103
|
2
|
9
|
2
|
9
|
39
|
100
|
|
95
|
96
|
Louisiana Tech
|
5.1292
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
119
|
66
|
|
96
|
98
|
Arkansas
|
5.2353
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
9
|
119
|
|
97
|
97
|
South Florida
|
5.4481
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
101
|
89
|
|
98
|
100
|
Louisiana Monroe
|
5.4966
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
97
|
82
|
|
99
|
95
|
Kansas
|
5.602
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
53
|
103
|
|
100
|
99
|
Navy
|
5.7043
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
10
|
40
|
107
|
|
101
|
101
|
Hawaii
|
6.4053
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
5
|
107
|
91
|
|
102
|
102
|
Tulsa
|
7.1285
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
95
|
99
|
|
103
|
103
|
Charlotte
|
7.3902
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
98
|
95
|
|
104
|
104
|
Coastal Carolina
|
8.3058
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
7
|
81
|
101
|
|
105
|
109
|
Liberty
|
9.3098
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
126
|
90
|
|
106
|
105
|
Illinois
|
9.8952
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
69
|
114
|
|
107
|
106
|
Ball State
|
10.073
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
85
|
106
|
|
108
|
107
|
Akron
|
10.256
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
73
|
108
|
|
109
|
108
|
UNLV
|
10.428
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
100
|
105
|
|
110
|
110
|
New Mexico
|
11.042
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
90
|
109
|
|
111
|
111
|
Old Dominion
|
11.421
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
124
|
97
|
|
112
|
114
|
UMass
|
11.611
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
8
|
88
|
112
|
|
113
|
113
|
Rutgers
|
11.723
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
32
|
127
|
|
114
|
112
|
Western Kentucky
|
11.813
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
122
|
98
|
|
115
|
116
|
Kent State
|
12.601
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
79
|
113
|
|
116
|
117
|
Oregon State
|
12.861
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
23
|
128
|
|
117
|
118
|
San Jose State
|
12.919
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
63
|
123
|
|
118
|
119
|
Texas State
|
13.052
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
125
|
104
|
|
119
|
115
|
East Carolina
|
13.197
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
83
|
121
|
|
120
|
120
|
Colorado State
|
13.381
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
87
|
117
|
|
121
|
121
|
Georgia State
|
13.594
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
72
|
122
|
|
122
|
122
|
South Alabama
|
13.875
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
80
|
120
|
|
123
|
123
|
Bowling Green
|
14.16
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
84
|
116
|
|
124
|
124
|
Central Michigan
|
14.345
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
94
|
115
|
|
125
|
125
|
Louisville
|
14.773
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
10
|
13
|
129
|
|
126
|
127
|
New Mexico State
|
17.278
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
112
|
118
|
|
127
|
126
|
UT San Antonio
|
17.864
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
9
|
110
|
125
|
|
128
|
128
|
Rice
|
19.208
|
2
|
11
|
2
|
11
|
108
|
126
|
|
129
|
129
|
UTEP
|
21.397
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
128
|
124
|
|
130
|
130
|
Connecticut
|
21.904
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
60
|
130
|
16-Team Playoff
In this model, I give each of the 10 conference champs an automatic berth, then add in 6 wild card teams, with no conference allowed to have more than 2 representatives in the playoff. Here is how it would be seeded, going according to the final Committee Rankings:
1. Alabama - SEC champ
2. Clemson - ACC champ
3. Notre Dame - Independent wild card
4. Oklahoma - Big 12 champ
5. Georgia - SEC wild card
6. Ohio State - Big 10 champ
7. Michigan - Big 10 wild card
8. UCF - AAC champ
9. Washington - Pac 12 champ
10. Washington State - Pac 12 wild card
11. Texas - Big 12 wild card
12. Syracuse - ACC wild card
13. Fresno State - MWC champ
14. Appalachian State - Sun Belt champ
15. UAB - Conf USA champ
16. Northern Illinois - MAC champ
First Round
(1) Alabama over (16) Northern Illinois
(2) Clemson over (15) UAB
(3) Notre Dame over (14) Appalachian State
(13) Fresno State over (4) Oklahoma
(5) Georgia over (12) Syracuse
(6) Ohio State over (11) Texas
(7) Michigan over (10) Washington State
(8) UCF over (9) Washington
Second Round
(1) Alabama over (8) UCF
(2) Clemson over (7) Michigan
(6) Ohio State over (3) Notre Dame
(5) Georgia over (13) Fresno State
Semifinals
(1) Alabama over (5) Georgia
(2) Clemson over (6) Ohio State
Championship
(1) Alabama over (2) Clemson
While the final result may end up being exactly the same, I believe 2 of the final four teams would likely change, and the smaller conference champs would at least get a chance to play for something, because currently they play without any hope of winning a championship.
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