Logan's Sports Ratings: Predictions

Monday, April 6, 2015

Predictions - 6 Apr

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Portland at Brooklyn - Trail Blazers by 6

NCAA

(1) Wisconsin vs. (1) Duke - Blue Devils by 1

Prediction Results

NBA: 4-3 (.572) 779-363 overall (.682)
Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 76-92 overall (.452)

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My rating system

When formulating any statistical rating system, the most important step is removing as much human bias as possible from the equation. I use Strength of Schedule, Home Advantage, and Margin of Victory data that is straight from the actual game results, along with an adjustment for momentum. I go 50 levels deep on the Strength of Schedule to ensure that all teams are connected, and what comes out is a highly accurate system for predicting future results based on past performance.

My college basketball pick of the day is done eliminator-style, meaning that each team can only be picked once in a season, and that team is being picked to win the game, not cover the spread.

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