Tuesday, February 28, 2017

College Basketball Conference Tournament Predictions - Week 1

13 conferences are starting their tournaments this week, while the remaining 19 will start next week, so I've gone through each conference's bracket and picked the teams I feel will win each conference and it's automatic NCAA berth, along with the runner-up. Each team's conference seed is in parentheses.

America East

Champ: (1) Vermont
Runner-up: (3) Albany

Atlantic Sun

Champ: (1) Florida Gulf Coast
Runner-up: (2) Lipscomb

Big South

Champ: (1) Winthrop
Runner-up: (2) UNC Asheville

Colonial

Champ: (1) UNC Wilmington
Runner-up: (6) Northeastern

Horizon

Champ: (5) Wright State
Runner-up: (2) Valparaiso

MAAC

Champ: (2) Saint Peter's
Runner-up: (1) Monmouth

Missouri Valley

Champ: (2) Wichita State
Runner-up: (1) Illinois State

Northeast

Champ: (1) Mount St. Mary's
Runner-up: (2) LIU Brooklyn

Ohio Valley

Champ: (1) Belmont
Runner-up: (7) Murray State

Patriot

Champ: (1) Bucknell
Runner-up: (3) Lehigh

Southern

Champ: (3) East Tennessee State
Runner-up: (5) Wofford

Summit

Champ: (7) IUPUI
Runner-up: (5) Denver

West Coast

Champ: (1) Gonzaga
Runner-up: (2) Saint Mary's

Monday, February 27, 2017

College Basketball Rankings - 27 Feb

Gonzaga lost for the first time this season in their final game of the regular season, but the loss wasn't enough to drop them from the #1 ranking they've held for a month. The hottest team in the country has been Butler, who went on the road to Villanova and Xavier this week and beat both by at least 8 points. Here are my full current rankings, with projected conference champs in bold, at-large teams underlined, and teams whose in/out status changed this week in italics:





Record

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
MOV
SOS
1
1
Gonzaga
-21.04
29
1
1
111
2
4
North Carolina
-19.67
25
5
6
17
3
3
West Virginia
-19.14
23
6
5
45
4
2
Villanova
-18.99
27
3
8
20
5
5
Kentucky
-18.89
24
5
10
24
6
6
Florida
-18.78
23
6
9
4
7
7
Louisville
-18.35
23
6
20
9
8
10
Kansas
-17.23
26
3
27
2
9
8
Virginia
-17.22
19
9
32
3
10
9
Purdue
-16.86
23
6
14
43
11
12
UCLA
-16.53
25
3
3
83
12
11
Duke
-16.46
22
7
34
13
13
16
Wichita State
-16.2
27
4
2
187
14
14
Florida State
-16.11
23
6
29
35
15
15
Oregon
-15.45
26
4
12
78
16
13
Baylor
-15.39
23
6
43
19
17
18
SMU
-15.12
25
4
7
88
18
25
Butler
-14.78
23
6
48
12
19
20
Saint Mary's
-14.53
26
3
4
155
20
26
Oklahoma State
-14.38
20
9
50
15
21
17
Wisconsin
-14.38
22
7
37
40
22
19
Cincinnati
-14.33
25
4
13
84
23
21
Iowa State
-14.28
19
9
53
14
24
24
Arizona
-13.61
26
4
28
64
25
23
Notre Dame
-13.58
22
7
55
32
26
22
Creighton
-13.27
22
7
36
61
27
28
Michigan
-12.3
19
10
68
36
28
27
Wake Forest
-11.87
16
12
92
7
29
33
Minnesota
-11.85
22
7
79
42
30
35
Miami (FL)
-11.8
20
8
88
33
31
31
South Carolina
-11.77
21
8
56
54
32
32
Dayton
-11.42
23
5
21
100
33
36
Clemson
-10.78
14
14
154
1
34
34
Northwestern
-10.52
20
9
80
49
35
44
Arkansas
-10.45
22
7
69
55
36
41
Marquette
-10.42
17
11
75
46
37
40
Houston
-10.29
20
8
44
89
38
39
Indiana
-10.19
16
13
105
51
39
37
VCU
-10.17
23
6
49
85
40
42
Virginia Tech
-10.13
20
8
110
41
41
29
Kansas State
-10.09
17
12
129
27
42
30
Maryland
-9.861
22
7
97
57
43
38
Xavier
-9.831
18
11
167
8
44
56
Vanderbilt
-9.796
16
13
142
11
45
45
Middle Tennessee
-9.712
25
4
15
169
46
50
Rhode Island
-9.638
19
9
58
75
47
43
Texas Tech
-9.515
17
12
112
63
48
46
Syracuse
-9.495
17
13
156
25
49
62
Illinois
-9.437
17
12
133
37
50
58
Michigan State
-9.216
18
11
166
18
51
47
UNC Wilmington
-9.148
26
5
23
152
52
49
TCU
-9.056
17
12
165
30
53
51
California
-9.049
19
9
81
86
54
54
Illinois State
-8.982
25
5
35
129
55
55
Vermont
-8.788
26
5
16
201
56
59
Utah
-8.785
18
10
40
153
57
61
Providence
-8.708
18
11
152
39
58
57
East Tennessee State
-8.702
24
6
17
230
59
53
Georgia
-8.631
17
12
163
23
60
72
Princeton
-8.488
19
6
19
127
61
66
Nevada
-8.43
23
6
39
132
62
60
UT Arlington
-8.4
22
6
31
125
63
63
Seton Hall
-8.089
18
10
158
29
64
65
Bucknell
-8.078
23
8
30
168
65
48
Tennessee
-8.004
15
14
188
16
66
71
Monmouth
-7.973
26
5
38
139
67
52
Georgetown
-7.847
14
15
183
28
68
70
Ohio State
-7.758
16
13
177
44
69
87
BYU
-7.558
21
10
62
131
70
67
Texas A&M
-7.478
15
13
157
52
71
64
Pittsburgh
-7.416
15
14
238
10
72
68
Belmont
-7.366
22
5
33
186
73
69
USC
-7.309
21
8
114
71
74
79
Iowa
-7.265
16
13
171
50
75
73
UNC Asheville
-7.081
23
8
18
236
76
77
UCF
-6.998
19
10
87
94
77
74
Texas
-6.599
10
19
272
6
78
97
Oklahoma
-6.584
10
18
241
5
79
75
Furman
-6.374
21
10
47
173
80
85
Winthrop
-6.347
23
6
22
259
81
90
Ohio
-6.191
18
9
46
214
82
78
Alabama
-6.187
16
12
140
74
83
80
Ole Miss
-6.063
18
11
192
53
84
86
Penn State
-5.959
14
15
230
22
85
83
Georgia Tech
-5.866
16
13
202
48
86
92
Memphis
-5.787
18
11
117
115
87
81
Charleston
-5.754
23
8
76
126
88
76
Chattanooga
-5.696
19
10
63
166
89
84
St. Bonaventure
-5.64
18
10
98
102
90
94
Akron
-5.573
23
6
64
179
91
89
Colorado
-5.504
16
13
141
87
92
104
Auburn
-5.41
17
12
206
38
93
95
Louisiana Tech
-5.406
21
9
26
320
94
88
Davidson
-5.367
14
13
148
69
95
96
Valparaiso
-5.34
24
7
54
239
96
98
Connecticut
-5.323
14
14
175
60
97
91
San Diego State
-5.319
16
12
73
157
98
108
Saint Peter's
-5.288
18
12
59
184
99
93
Florida Gulf Coast
-5.265
23
7
41
261
100
112
Richmond
-5.045
17
11
153
81
101
117
Oakland
-5.034
24
7
42
289
102
105
Lehigh
-4.999
18
11
51
190
103
102
CSU Bakersfield
-4.965
21
7
24
299
104
103
St. John's
-4.916
13
16
225
34
105
82
Nebraska
-4.822
12
15
253
26
106
106
Boise State
-4.713
18
9
96
120
107
99
New Mexico State
-4.692
24
5
25
330
108
107
Loyola (CHI)
-4.669
18
13
74
216
109
115
Colorado State
-4.346
20
9
82
225
110
101
Arkansas State
-4.238
19
9
90
130
111
125
Georgia State
-4.238
18
10
72
192
112
100
Mississippi State
-4.229
14
14
209
72
113
118
Harvard
-4.198
18
7
52
271
114
113
San Francisco
-4.169
20
11
103
182
115
116
Towson
-4.091
19
12
106
124
116
110
George Mason
-4.029
18
11
125
143
117
120
NC State
-3.838
15
15
283
31
118
121
Stanford
-3.812
14
14
231
56
119
114
UNC Greensboro
-3.811
22
8
67
253
120
124
Albany
-3.783
19
12
66
237
121
126
Lipscomb
-3.561
19
12
57
249
122
133
Fresno State
-3.544
17
11
109
174
123
122
Iona
-3.486
19
12
95
144
124
119
Temple
-3.444
15
15
223
59
125
109
William & Mary
-3.34
16
13
116
138
126
130
Northeastern
-3.217
15
15
159
79
127
138
South Dakota
-3.168
21
10
83
226
128
132
Georgia Southern
-3.112
18
11
100
167
129
127
Toledo
-3.075
15
14
122
164
130
139
Old Dominion
-3.046
18
10
107
208
131
111
Buffalo
-3.02
15
14
102
163
132
134
Mercer
-2.98
14
16
136
119
133
128
Elon
-2.856
18
13
121
185
134
136
Yale
-2.814
15
10
101
172
135
137
Louisiana Lafayette
-2.809
17
11
93
224
136
129
Troy
-2.766
16
13
70
257
137
123
La Salle
-2.598
14
13
219
66
138
135
North Dakota State
-2.511
19
10
99
202
139
150
Wofford
-2.494
15
16
126
165
140
146
New Hampshire
-2.493
19
11
61
268
141
131
North Carolina Central
-2.463
22
6
11
350
142
140
Penn
-2.438
12
13
147
93
143
149
Eastern Michigan
-2.351
14
15
119
203
144
159
George Washington
-2.307
16
13
205
90
145
144
North Dakota
-2.247
18
8
45
322
146
145
Northern Kentucky
-2.182
21
10
91
245
147
156
Tennessee State
-1.905
17
12
108
200
148
160
Wright State
-1.888
20
11
111
233
149
155
IPFW
-1.87
19
11
86
321
150
142
Rice
-1.841
20
9
60
329
151
169
Kent State
-1.81
17
12
124
219
152
161
Gardner-Webb
-1.792
18
13
71
279
153
147
UC Irvine
-1.775
17
13
84
250
154
143
Missouri State
-1.659
16
15
160
207
155
157
Rutgers
-1.654
14
16
244
68
156
152
Santa Clara
-1.647
16
15
179
151
157
141
New Mexico
-1.634
16
13
189
107
158
154
Massachusetts
-1.609
14
15
208
99
159
162
Tulsa
-1.578
14
14
256
70
160
178
Utah State
-1.569
13
15
198
122
161
148
Samford
-1.463
17
13
127
227
162
153
Weber State
-1.378
16
11
65
286
163
151
Green Bay
-1.3
17
13
120
228
164
172
UMBC
-1.189
18
11
89
277
165
168
Arizona State
-1.061
14
16
274
67
166
192
Western Michigan
-0.996
13
15
200
110
167
164
Marshall
-0.974
16
13
164
161
168
175
Siena
-0.937
15
16
187
96
169
171
Boston University
-0.811
17
13
145
211
170
163
Canisius
-0.769
17
14
172
135
171
193
Hofstra
-0.731
15
16
197
136
172
166
Ball State
-0.727
18
11
128
266
173
182
Southern Illinois
-0.69
16
15
211
113
174
184
Texas Southern
-0.589
17
11
85
178
175
180
Wyoming
-0.584
17
12
178
218
176
177
Eastern Washington
-0.581
20
9
104
287
177
170
Saint Joseph's
-0.547
10
18
273
62
178
158
Denver
-0.542
16
13
151
196
179
179
Grand Canyon
-0.443
21
9
94
328
180
174
Evansville
-0.374
15
16
212
162
181
165
Morehead State
-0.363
14
15
173
176
182
167
Northern Iowa
-0.308
14
15
257
77
183
186
Omaha
-0.289
16
13
186
103
184
214
Utah Valley
-0.114
13
15
115
256
185
173
Boston College
0.0541
9
20
324
47
186
196
Jacksonville State
0.1036
17
14
137
199
187
183
Stony Brook
0.1181
17
12
169
209
188
194
Coastal Carolina
0.3413
14
15
222
145
189
205
South Dakota State
0.3428
15
16
191
170
190
203
Missouri
0.3518
7
21
298
65
191
195
UAB
0.3578
15
14
182
215
192
198
New Orleans
0.3743
17
10
78
327
193
185
Liberty
0.3975
19
12
135
302
194
207
Rider
0.4077
17
14
161
204
195
189
Texas State
0.4785
16
11
149
280
196
190
Fairfield
0.4959
16
13
193
181
197
187
Murray State
0.5321
14
16
138
267
198
204
Loyola Marymount
0.5977
15
14
216
191
199
188
IUPUI
0.6213
13
17
184
158
200
191
Mount St. Mary's
0.7876
16
15
180
128
201
200
Washington
0.808
9
19
299
73
202
176
Navy
0.8532
15
15
185
231
203
206
Fordham
0.9612
13
16
252
123
204
213
DePaul
1.0122
9
20
319
58
205
218
Northern Illinois
1.0134
15
14
174
284
206
199
Holy Cross
1.037
15
16
204
148
207
201
Montana
1.0635
14
15
170
241
208
202
Tennessee-Martin
1.1131
20
11
146
265
209
211
East Carolina
1.2398
13
16
249
154
210
220
Indiana State
1.3378
11
19
271
91
211
209
LSU
1.3603
9
19
332
21
212
181
Central Michigan
1.4771
16
13
196
252
213
197
Eastern Illinois
1.4785
14
15
150
288
214
208
Columbia
1.7267
11
14
210
217
215
212
South Alabama
1.7307
13
15
213
232
216
217
South Carolina Upstate
1.7492
17
14
144
301
217
210
Wagner
1.7589
15
13
131
307
218
233
UTEP
1.8282
13
15
181
275
219
215
San Jose State
1.9043
14
13
224
222
220
223
Lamar
1.9993
16
13
77
347
221
219
Cleveland State
2.0127
9
21
263
114
222
225
UC Davis
2.1263
18
11
123
310
223
234
Texas A&M-CC
2.312
18
9
118
331
224
238
LIU Brooklyn
2.3355
20
11
143
314
225
221
Portland State
2.4908
14
13
113
336
226
232
James Madison
2.5518
9
22
270
118
227
227
High Point
2.5698
15
15
176
303
228
224
Southeast Missouri State
2.5968
14
17
194
276
229
231
Idaho
2.623
15
12
162
313
230
216
Appalachian State
2.6544
8
19
246
141
231
240
Houston Baptist
2.724
15
12
139
309
232
229
Loyola (MD)
2.9302
14
15
236
183
233
241
UMKC
2.9687
15
15
232
246
234
237
North Florida
2.9749
13
18
217
229
235
222
Arkansas-Little Rock
2.983
13
15
226
258
236
228
Drexel
2.9891
9
22
264
121
237
242
Army
3.0232
12
18
229
243
238
226
Sam Houston State
3.0293
18
11
130
338
239
230
Duquesne
3.0405
10
19
294
117
240
239
Air Force
3.207
11
18
258
251
241
235
Long Beach State
3.2821
13
18
233
140
242
263
Bowling Green
3.31
13
16
265
210
243
244
Tennessee Tech
3.3708
12
19
227
242
244
260
Bradley
3.3863
12
19
296
97
245
246
Southeastern Louisiana
3.4862
15
15
134
335
246
251
Montana State
3.5595
15
14
199
315
247
261
Louisiana Monroe
3.565
8
20
260
198
248
243
Kennesaw State
3.5652
13
17
207
264
249
236
UIC
3.5846
14
17
221
282
250
250
Washington State
3.6437
13
15
316
92
251
247
Western Kentucky
3.6625
13
16
251
159
252
248
Oral Roberts
3.6856
8
22
285
98
253
249
Stephen F Austin
3.7658
16
12
168
325
254
258
Pacific
3.8299
10
21
293
104
255
253
St. Francis (PA)
3.8419
14
15
195
304
256
256
Fairleigh Dickinson
3.8896
11
18
215
235
257
254
NJIT
3.9996
11
19
243
206
258
257
Jacksonville
4.1673
17
14
155
337
259
245
Colgate
4.3284
10
21
269
175
260
252
Radford
4.335
13
17
275
194
261
264
Bryant
4.4426
12
19
234
247
262
255
Niagara
4.6565
9
22
281
188
263
265
Eastern Kentucky
4.6835
12
19
282
195
264
262
Cornell
4.7346
7
20
295
109
265
270
Brown
4.8027
12
16
261
263
266
267
Robert Morris
4.8687
13
18
259
238
267
266
Campbell
4.892
14
16
214
308
268
273
Hawaii
4.9322
14
13
228
340
269
259
San Diego
4.9372
13
17
302
160
270
268
Charlotte
5.1143
12
15
290
221
271
278
Charleston Southern
5.176
11
18
237
285
272
276
Cal State Fullerton
5.1947
14
13
190
343
273
275
Tulane
5.2124
5
23
333
76
274
271
Florida Atlantic
5.2424
10
17
245
297
275
277
Alcorn State
5.3635
16
11
132
348
276
282
Portland
5.4869
10
21
311
149
277
283
Northern Colorado
5.5636
9
18
254
240
278
274
UMass Lowell
5.5881
11
20
276
255
279
286
The Citadel
5.7243
10
20
292
197
280
280
Drake
5.7559
7
23
313
150
281
279
Milwaukee
5.7658
8
23
301
146
282
297
Austin Peay
5.782
11
19
286
189
283
288
Seattle
5.9285
13
15
235
333
284
284
Oregon State
5.9767
5
25
340
80
285
281
Norfolk State
6.026
15
14
203
324
286
287
Manhattan
6.0988
10
21
314
105
287
295
CS Northridge
6.1489
11
16
247
305
288
272
Quinnipiac
6.1655
10
20
308
156
289
269
UNLV
6.2137
10
19
329
137
290
306
Detroit
6.2767
8
22
309
116
291
300
Texas San Antonio
6.3149
12
17
266
260
292
312
American
6.4677
8
21
307
177
293
285
Western Illinois
6.4678
8
19
297
223
294
292
Sacred Heart
6.5611
13
18
255
294
295
294
Delaware
6.6218
12
19
318
171
296
305
Saint Louis
6.8796
10
19
339
101
297
291
Binghamton
6.9332
12
19
268
273
298
290
UC Riverside
6.949
8
19
278
296
299
302
Maryland-Eastern Shore
6.9907
11
18
240
274
300
316
Cal Poly
7.0787
10
18
279
262
301
289
Miami (OH)
7.1622
10
19
305
269
302
298
Youngstown State
7.1691
11
20
303
212
303
296
Sacramento State
7.2314
11
16
267
312
304
303
Abilene Christian
7.2444
13
14
220
339
305
293
Dartmouth
7.2578
6
19
315
180
306
308
Hampton
7.4081
12
15
218
332
307
299
Florida International
7.6082
6
23
291
295
308
311
South Florida
7.7108
7
20
343
95
309
304
Prairie View A&M
7.7374
10
19
250
278
310
314
Stetson
7.7591
11
20
284
293
311
309
VMI
7.8231
6
22
337
112
312
307
Central Arkansas
8.0575
8
22
312
134
313
315
Marist
8.1139
8
23
334
108
314
310
Pepperdine
8.1609
9
21
344
106
315
301
UT Rio Grande Valley
8.1715
10
20
288
298
316
319
Nicholls
8.2729
14
15
262
319
317
313
Southern
8.3725
14
15
201
351
318
318
Western Carolina
8.5168
8
22
345
82
319
324
Morgan State
8.8167
13
14
242
344
320
326
Grambling State
8.9636
12
15
239
341
321
327
SIU-Edwardsville
9.1204
7
23
321
248
322
323
Idaho State
9.2402
5
23
326
147
323
317
Northwestern State
9.2534
11
16
280
334
324
325
Savannah State
9.3173
11
16
277
316
325
321
Jackson State
9.4946
11
17
248
345
326
329
Lafayette
9.6878
9
20
336
205
327
331
Northern Arizona
10.056
8
21
310
292
328
322
Incarnate Word
10.092
11
16
289
342
329
330
Maine
10.142
7
24
338
193
330
341
Southern Miss
10.474
9
20
322
300
331
332
Hartford
10.492
9
23
335
220
332
333
McNeese State
10.719
7
20
323
291
333
328
Delaware State
10.758
9
21
287
306
334
320
North Texas
10.787
8
20
327
317
335
334
Southern Utah
11.072
5
24
320
290
336
335
South Carolina State
11.141
10
18
325
244
337
337
Howard
11.665
7
22
317
281
338
336
Alabama State
11.727
8
19
300
326
339
340
UC Santa Barbara
11.919
5
21
347
213
340
339
Central Connecticut
12.044
6
23
330
272
341
338
Chicago State
12.157
6
24
346
133
342
346
Bethune-Cookman
12.694
7
21
304
346
343
342
Mississippi Valley State
12.922
5
24
342
142
344
343
St. Francis (BKN)
12.934
4
27
341
270
345
347
Coppin State
13.459
8
21
331
283
346
345
Florida A&M
13.576
7
21
306
349
347
344
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
14.204
7
23
328
318
348
348
Longwood
14.26
6
23
350
254
349
349
Presbyterian
14.37
5
24
351
234
350
350
North Carolina A&T
17.066
2
27
348
323
351
351
Alabama A&M
17.678
2
24
349
311