NFL Playoff Odds

The NFL Playoffs are starting today, with 14 teams vying for the chance to win the Super Bowl next month, and there are a lot of teams with a really good chance of winning it all, not including the defending champs, so are also in the field but have a smaller chance. Here are my odds for each team to advance through each round of the playoffs, along with my picks for how everything will turn out over the next month:

Odds of Winning Wild Card

(5) Rams - 79.8%

(2) Patriots - 64.7%

(5) Texans - 63.8%

(3) Jaguars - 63.3%

(6) 49ers - 53.9%

(2) Bears - 53.5%

(7) Packers - 46.5%

(3) Eagles - 46.1%

(6) Bills - 36.7%

(4) Steelers - 36.2%

(7) Chargers - 35.3%

(4) Panthers - 20.2%

Odds of Reaching Conference Championship

(1) Seahawks - 72.0%

(1) Broncos - 54.2%

(5) Rams - 50.5%

(3) Jaguars - 35.2%

(5) Texans - 34.2%

(2) Patriots - 32.5%

(2) Bears - 22.6%

(3) Eagles - 20.8%

(6) 49ers - 18.7%

(6) Bills - 17.1%

(7) Chargers - 14.0%

(4) Steelers - 12.8%

(7) Packers - 9.6%

(4) Panthers - 5.8%

Odds of Reaching Super Bowl

(1) Seahawks - 48.8%

(5) Rams - 27.7%

(1) Broncos - 25.6%

(3) Jaguars - 21.2%

(5) Texans - 18.9%

(2) Patriots - 17.0%

(6) Bills - 7.9%

(6) 49ers - 7.7%

(3) Eagles - 6.0%

(2) Bears - 5.7%

(4) Steelers - 4.8%

(7) Chargers - 4.6%

(7) Packers - 2.9%

(4) Panthers - 1.2%

Odds of Winning Super Bowl

(1) Seahawks - 32.0%

(5) Rams - 17.9%

(3) Jaguars - 9.8%

(1) Broncos - 9.0%

(5) Texans - 8.7%

(2) Patriots - 6.7%

(6) 49ers - 3.9%

(6) Bills - 3.0%

(3) Eagles - 2.6%

(2) Bears - 2.2%

(7) Chargers - 1.36%

(4) Steelers - 1.35%

(7) Packers - 1.1%

(4) Panthers - 0.4%

The NFC West has over a 50% chance of winning this year's Super Bowl, with the two best teams in the league for most of the season, who played twice this year, each game with a final margin of fewer than 3 points. 

My Picks

Wild Card

(2) Patriots over (7) Chargers

(3) Jaguars over (6) Bills

(5) Texans over (4) Steelers

(2) Bears over (7) Packers

(3) Eagles over (6) 49ers

(5) Rams over (4) Panthers

Divisional

(1) Broncos over (5) Texans

(2) Patriots over (3) Jaguars

(1) Seahawks over (5) Rams

(2) Bears over (3) Eagles

Conference

(2) Patriots over (1) Broncos

(1) Seahawks over (2) Bears

Super Bowl

(1) Seahawks over (2) Patriots