The Conference Finals begin tomorrow, with only 1 of the 3 teams that started out with the best odds is still alive, with Cleveland and Boston bowing out in round 2 while dealing with injuries. Here are each remaining team's odds of making the Finals and of winning the Finals, and the top 4 Finals MVP favorites, along with a backup choice for each team:
Odds of Making NBA Finals
(1) Thunder - 90.7% (+7.9)
(3) Knicks - 59.5% (+56.1)
(4) Pacers - 40.5% (+39.6)
(6) Timberwolves - 9.3% (+3.8)
The Western Conference played out how I expected, so neither team's odds changed that much, but I expected the Celtics and Cavaliers to be the final teams in the East, so New York and Indiana have much better odds of reaching the Finals than they did a month ago.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Thunder - 87.3% (+21.5)
(6) Timberwolves - 6.1% (+4.5)
(3) Knicks - 4.5% (+4.1)
(4) Pacers - 2.8% (+2.7)
Other than the Thunder, these teams were all big longshots to win it all originally, and while those 3 have seen their odds improve a bit, the Thunder are huge favorites to win their first title in Oklahoma, and the franchise's first title since they won in 1979 as the Supersonics.
Most Valuable Player
1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - PG - OKC
29.0 Pts (#5), 5.9 Reb, 6.4 Ast (#7), 1.5 Stl (#13), 0.7 Blk, .478 FG%, .293 3P%, .854 FT%
2. Jalen Brunson - PG - NYK
28.8 Pts (#6), 3.9 Reb, 7.7 Ast (#5), 0.4 Stl, 0.3 Blk, .440 FG%, .363 3P%, .819 FT%
3. Tyrese Haliburton - PG - IND
17.5 Pts, 5.5 Reb, 9.3 Ast (#1), 0.7 Stl, 0.9 Blk, .474 FG%, .338 3P%, .794 FT%
4. Anthony Edwards - SG - MIN
26.5 Pts (#8), 8.0 Reb (#16), 5.9 Ast (#10), 1.5 Stl (#14), 0.8 Blk, .445 FG%, .385 3P%, .737 FT%
Honorable Mention: Julius Randle - PF - MIN, Jalen Williams - SG - OKC, Karl-Anthony Towns - C - NYK, TJ McConnell - PG - IND
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