NCAA Basketball Rankings - 27 Jan

The West Virginia Mountaineers moved up to a #1 seed in my bracket projection yesterday, and they moved up to #3 in my rankings today as well, thanks to two straight blowout wins over Missouri and Texas. While those aren't great teams, the Mountaineers were impressive in both, and they get to play Texas Tech later in the week, which should be a little bit more of a test. Villanova made a huge jump to get into the top 25 this week, knocking off both Butler and Providence. Here are my full current rankings, with projected conference champs in bold, at-large teams underlined, and teams whose in/out status changed in italics:

				Actual
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	SOS	MOV
1	1	Kansas	-19.75	16	3	2	6
2	2	Duke	-19.29	16	3	35	4
3	5	West Virginia	-17.76	16	3	6	11
4	3	Gonzaga	-17.6	21	1	145	1
5	4	Dayton	-17.22	18	2	97	3
6	6	Baylor	-16.42	17	1	45	10
7	10	Michigan State	-15.92	15	5	10	19
8	7	Seton Hall	-15.91	15	4	4	23
9	8	San Diego State	-15.4	21	0	160	2
10	9	Arizona	-15.36	13	6	37	20
11	11	Maryland	-15.03	16	4	13	28
12	14	Oregon	-13.9	17	4	20	43
13	13	Ohio State	-13.82	13	7	29	35
14	12	Butler	-13.49	16	4	32	36
15	16	Louisville	-13.21	17	3	60	30
16	19	Colorado	-12.92	16	4	39	49
17	15	Florida State	-12.9	17	2	48	27
18	24	Penn State	-12.54	14	5	41	48
19	20	Houston	-12.47	16	4	66	26
20	18	Auburn	-12.35	17	2	70	37
21	35	Villanova	-12.24	16	3	19	69
22	22	Arkansas	-12.21	15	4	71	34
23	30	Marquette	-12.13	14	6	17	73
24	17	Wisconsin	-12.06	12	8	3	105
25	27	Alabama	-11.85	12	7	12	66
26	21	Stanford	-11.77	15	4	146	18
27	37	BYU	-11.76	15	7	40	33
28	31	LSU	-11.68	15	4	57	54
29	25	Iowa	-11.44	14	5	33	71
30	38	Kentucky	-11.34	15	4	91	42
31	44	Illinois	-11.19	15	5	62	51
32	39	Wichita State	-11.18	17	3	112	40
33	28	Purdue	-11.09	11	9	16	100
34	29	Florida	-11.06	12	7	15	96
35	41	Creighton	-11.05	16	5	73	60
36	36	Yale	-11.05	14	4	128	5
37	40	Saint Mary's	-11.04	17	4	85	38
38	23	Texas Tech	-11.02	12	7	77	55
39	26	Michigan	-10.83	11	8	11	121
40	33	Rutgers	-10.83	15	5	92	57
41	32	Minnesota	-10.79	11	9	1	138
42	43	Mississippi St	-10.29	12	7	52	86
43	46	VCU	-10.22	15	5	108	39
44	54	Rhode Island	-10.03	14	5	34	101
45	42	NC State	-10.01	14	6	59	75
46	45	Indiana	-9.972	15	5	58	104
47	59	Tennessee	-9.627	12	7	50	106
48	68	USC	-9.622	16	4	54	70
49	47	Iowa State	-9.598	9	10	21	137
50	48	Oklahoma	-9.585	13	6	7	143
51	53	Cincinnati	-9.576	12	7	53	84
52	34	Memphis	-9.319	14	5	110	63
53	49	Washington	-9.274	12	9	44	98
54	50	Vermont	-9.272	15	6	151	15
55	51	East Tennessee St	-9.133	18	3	262	12
56	66	Louisiana Tech	-8.806	15	5	292	8
57	67	Akron	-8.793	16	4	246	16
58	70	Utah State	-8.787	16	6	152	46
59	56	Richmond	-8.612	15	5	88	83
60	65	Xavier	-8.576	13	7	27	150
61	63	Georgetown	-8.539	12	8	24	141
62	73	Furman	-8.474	17	5	216	14
63	61	Virginia	-8.433	13	6	61	109
64	57	Northern Iowa	-8.386	17	3	177	31
65	72	SMU	-8.367	15	4	149	44
66	71	St. John's	-8.353	13	8	74	116
67	69	Arizona State	-8.252	12	7	28	153
68	62	UNC Greensboro	-8.251	16	5	242	24
69	74	Syracuse	-8.045	13	7	81	120
70	75	North Texas	-8.036	14	8	144	52
71	58	Liberty	-7.852	19	3	339	7
72	64	Virginia Tech	-7.55	14	6	111	102
73	79	Notre Dame	-7.448	11	8	115	93
74	52	Duquesne	-7.296	15	4	203	59
75	76	Providence	-7.284	11	10	30	173
76	87	North Colorado	-7.21	12	6	268	17
77	81	Georgia State	-7.188	14	7	131	45
78	55	DePaul	-7.024	13	7	104	125
79	91	TCU	-6.94	13	6	109	134
80	109	Tulsa	-6.934	14	6	119	90
81	85	Stephen F Austin	-6.794	17	3	345	9
82	83	San Francisco	-6.773	15	7	124	92
83	100	Nevada	-6.762	13	8	78	135
84	80	Connecticut	-6.732	10	9	100	133
85	98	Georgia Tech	-6.549	9	11	8	221
86	93	Oklahoma St	-6.459	10	9	14	212
87	60	Oregon State	-6.438	12	8	107	117
88	99	Loyola-Chicago	-6.329	14	7	243	53
89	78	Belmont	-6.233	14	7	315	13
90	77	Temple	-6.224	10	9	43	179
91	84	Pittsburgh	-6.215	13	7	86	165
92	86	Clemson	-6.18	10	9	38	210
93	94	Winthrop	-6.172	14	7	271	25
94	101	Davidson	-6.073	10	9	56	140
95	121	Boise State	-6.048	13	8	99	113
96	88	Texas	-5.789	12	7	69	184
97	92	Saint Louis	-5.65	15	5	193	110
98	82	Missouri	-5.622	9	10	47	190
99	104	Colorado State	-5.57	14	8	93	145
100	108	Kansas State	-5.45	10	11	31	222
101	126	North Carolina	-5.334	9	10	23	245
102	112	Harvard	-5.267	13	4	195	58
103	113	UT Arlington	-5.221	9	12	64	126
104	120	South Carolina	-5.211	11	8	87	163
105	97	Kent State	-5.204	14	6	267	50
106	107	New Mexico St	-5.124	15	6	259	41
107	89	Stony Brook	-5.115	13	8	139	80
108	95	Bradley	-5.05	14	7	232	77
109	111	Southern Utah	-4.978	11	7	205	62
110	114	Utah	-4.83	12	7	36	225
111	90	Miami	-4.816	10	9	5	259
112	96	UC Irvine	-4.779	12	9	208	65
113	131	Wright State	-4.716	18	4	350	22
114	105	Texas State	-4.641	12	9	194	85
115	115	Ball State	-4.58	11	8	275	68
116	119	UCF	-4.558	11	8	82	186
117	128	West Kentucky	-4.502	15	6	191	108
118	122	Wake Forest	-4.447	9	10	26	247
119	103	Georgia	-4.441	11	8	55	219
120	110	Toledo	-4.412	11	9	171	82
121	130	UC Riverside	-4.318	13	9	328	29
122	141	Colgate	-4.277	16	5	182	81
123	102	North Kentucky	-4.115	14	7	291	47
124	117	St. Bonaventure	-4.011	12	8	106	132
125	135	Murray State	-3.98	15	5	351	21
126	136	Ole Miss	-3.775	10	9	84	204
127	129	Oral Roberts	-3.765	11	9	233	56
128	116	Washington St	-3.737	12	9	135	167
129	133	UNLV	-3.698	11	11	102	200
130	127	Hofstra	-3.687	15	7	230	74
131	118	William & Mary	-3.604	15	7	162	89
132	146	Northeastern	-3.584	11	10	214	94
133	142	Little Rock	-3.56	15	7	142	99
134	125	Pacific	-3.552	15	8	245	122
135	124	Indiana State	-3.523	11	8	118	157
136	139	South Dakota St	-3.513	15	8	284	67
137	147	Charlotte	-3.481	12	7	244	114
138	138	North Dakota St	-3.401	14	7	281	72
139	140	New Mexico	-3.322	16	6	227	130
140	149	Santa Clara	-3.215	17	5	329	97
141	143	West Carolina	-3.074	13	6	231	91
142	132	Northwestern	-3.013	6	13	25	275
143	106	Fresno State	-3.003	6	14	68	205
144	152	Chattanooga	-2.932	13	8	196	111
145	148	Sam Houston St	-2.928	14	6	349	32
146	150	Eastern Wash	-2.85	12	6	159	107
147	159	UCLA	-2.785	10	10	90	232
148	145	Wofford	-2.703	13	8	199	118
149	137	Charleston	-2.7	12	9	138	166
150	169	Austin Peay	-2.648	14	7	290	76
151	154	Penn	-2.637	8	7	105	161
152	155	Sacramento St	-2.623	11	6	219	115
153	144	Georgia Southern	-2.621	12	9	200	119
154	157	Pepperdine	-2.592	11	10	80	218
155	156	Boston U	-2.277	11	10	166	128
156	178	Towson	-2.27	12	9	169	158
157	123	Radford	-2.252	11	9	190	124
158	166	Sacred Heart	-1.895	12	9	279	61
159	163	Nebraska	-1.888	7	13	18	293
160	161	North Arizona	-1.849	10	7	156	146
161	160	Buffalo	-1.786	13	7	228	172
162	174	Missouri State	-1.673	10	11	123	198
163	180	Drake	-1.657	15	6	283	131
164	170	Rider	-1.647	11	8	150	136
165	171	Abilene Christian	-1.634	11	8	346	64
166	158	Marshall	-1.581	9	12	167	194
167	181	Delaware	-1.461	15	7	254	129
168	151	UC Santa Barbara	-1.454	13	7	327	95
169	173	George Mason	-1.448	13	7	168	215
170	134	St. Francis (PA)	-1.446	12	8	224	123
171	153	Tulane	-1.431	10	9	129	216
172	196	Appalachian St	-1.38	11	10	165	164
173	172	Nicholls	-1.37	14	7	336	78
174	162	South Florida	-1.334	8	12	98	264
175	167	Florida Intl	-1.24	14	7	322	87
176	188	North Illinois	-1.213	11	9	192	149
177	164	Valparaiso	-1.204	11	10	132	183
178	183	Southern Illinois	-1.147	11	10	204	175
179	182	Prairie View A&M	-1.144	9	10	121	155
180	179	Portland State	-1.087	10	12	164	147
181	189	UTEP	-1.086	12	9	263	152
182	168	Lafayette	-0.967	12	7	264	127
183	202	South Dakota	-0.866	14	8	305	139
184	198	Montana State	-0.853	11	9	212	144
185	184	Montana	-0.831	11	9	126	202
186	176	La Salle	-0.782	10	9	96	255
187	193	Bowling Green	-0.71	15	5	314	160
188	190	Bryant	-0.639	10	10	250	148
189	175	Cal Baptist	-0.577	14	6	352	79
190	177	Air Force	-0.518	9	12	143	220
191	185	Old Dominion	-0.463	8	13	116	250
192	204	Siena	-0.419	9	9	179	193
193	186	North Florida	-0.38	12	10	148	187
194	165	Coastal Carolina	-0.332	11	10	303	191
195	194	Monmouth	-0.159	12	7	174	178
196	192	Central Michigan	-0.066	11	8	278	170
197	197	South Alabama	0.096	12	10	302	174
198	218	Boston College	0.105	10	10	76	297
199	199	Dartmouth	0.12	7	10	188	176
200	211	California	0.176	9	10	89	323