Tuesday, August 23, 2016

College Football Rankings - 2016 Preseason

It's that time again! The first college football game is being played this weekend, with the first full weekend less than 2 weeks away. I have gone through my usual process of analyzing each team's current roster and adjusting each team's final ranking from last season based on returning talent relative to other teams and transfers. After weeks of research, here are my full preseason rankings, along with my picks to win each conference and my 4 playoff teams at the bottom of the post:





Rec
ProjRec

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
SOS
MOV
1
2
Oklahoma
-27.98


11
1


2
3
Clemson
-27.06


11
1


3
1
Alabama
-22.55


9
3


4
5
Ole Miss
-21.47


9
3


5
16
LSU
-21.33


10
2


6
14
Tennessee
-19.87


10
2


7
6
Stanford
-19.53


9
3


8
12
Florida State
-19.46


9
3


9
7
Michigan
-18.54


10
2


10
10
Washington
-18.11


9
3


11
15
USC
-17.22


8
4


12
17
Boise State
-16.89


11
1


13
4
Ohio State
-16.43


9
3


14
9
Baylor
-15.77


9
3


15
11
North Carolina
-15.55


9
3


16
34
South Florida
-15.53


10
2


17
20
Houston
-15.24


10
2


18
8
Notre Dame
-15


9
3


19
53
Georgia Southern
-14.43


10
2


20
13
Mississippi State
-13.85


8
4


21
31
Toledo
-13.74


10
2


22
38
Louisville
-13.71


8
4


23
21
Western Kentucky
-13.38


10
2


24
19
TCU
-12.96


9
3


25
27
Brigham Young
-12.68


8
4


26
32
Oregon
-12.1


7
5


27
23
Michigan State
-11.82


8
4


28
58
Boston College
-11.6


8
4


29
35
West Virginia
-11.49


8
4


30
44
Nebraska
-11.41


9
3


31
48
Georgia Tech
-10.93


7
5


32
18
Navy
-10.55


9
3


33
30
Wisconsin
-10.49


7
5


34
37
Oklahoma State
-10.2


8
4


35
22
Arkansas
-9.879


7
5


36
45
Virginia Tech
-9.833


7
5


37
52
Washington State
-9.566


7
5


38
28
UCLA
-9.408


7
5


39
33
San Diego State
-9.396


10
2


40
25
California
-9.345


7
5


41
51
Western Michigan
-9.134


9
3


42
43
Appalachian State
-8.939


9
3


43
42
Georgia
-8.864


8
4


44
40
North Carolina State
-8.764


6
6


45
36
Iowa
-8.761


8
4


46
46
Temple
-8.451


10
2


47
29
Memphis
-8.167


8
4


48
57
Miami (FL)
-7.936


6
6


49
49
Pittsburgh
-7.824


7
5


50
24
Utah
-7.798


7
5


51
41
Texas A&M
-7.138


6
6


52
26
Bowling Green
-6.332


8
4


53
54
Southern Miss
-5.427


10
2


54
70
Syracuse
-5.26


5
7


55
50
Arizona State
-5.107


6
6


56
39
Florida
-5.008


7
5


57
56
Duke
-4.95


6
6


58
47
Auburn
-4.539


5
7


59
62
Northwestern
-4.101


6
6


60
68
Minnesota
-3.482


7
5


61
59
Penn State
-3.447


6
6


62
72
Northern Illinois
-3.173


8
4


63
55
Air Force
-3.156


9
3


64
69
Texas
-2.633


5
7


65
73
Illinois
-2.373


5
7


66
61
Texas Tech
-2.352


6
6


67
76
Central Michigan
-2.213


8
4


68
82
Wake Forest
-2.177


6
6


69
64
Utah State
-2.045


7
5


70
78
Virginia
-1.918


5
7


71
71
Middle Tennessee
-1.829


8
4


72
74
East Carolina
-1.219


6
6


73
80
Vanderbilt
-0.902


5
7


74
91
Maryland
-0.803


6
6


75
60
Arizona
-0.626


5
7


76
89
Connecticut
0.4764


6
6


77
67
Cincinnati
0.6207


6
6


78
86
Akron
0.9367


6
6


79
79
Kansas State
0.9668


5
7


80
81
Colorado
1.0603


4
8


81
77
Missouri
1.4382


5
7


82
75
Indiana
1.6946


5
7


83
85
New Mexico
1.8122


8
4


84
93
Kentucky
1.8736


5
7


85
65
Louisiana Tech
2.1647


7
5


86
66
Arkansas State
2.378


8
4


87
63
Marshall
2.786


7
5


88
95
Nevada
3.2552


7
5


89
88
Ohio
3.3335


7
5


90
90
Iowa State
3.9517


4
8


91
83
San Jose State
4.4141


6
6


92
92
Tulsa
5.1507


6
6


93
84
Colorado State
5.6237


6
6


94
99
Purdue
6.7225


4
8


95
96
Rutgers
7.2177


3
9


96
87
South Carolina
7.5585


4
8


97
101
Oregon State
8.1414


2
10


98
94
Troy
9.6771


6
6


99
98
UNLV
10.414


5
7


100
100
Georgia State
10.539


5
7


101
105
Florida International
12.421


5
7


102
97
Buffalo
13.082


4
8


103
107
Ball State
13.494


4
8


104
103
Louisiana-Lafayette
13.828


5
7


105
113
Southern Methodist
13.868


3
9


106
109
Wyoming
14.291


3
9


107
102
Florida Atlantic
14.748


5
7


108
118
UTSA
14.968


5
7


109
114
Miami (OH)
15.17


4
8


110
110
Kent State
15.249


3
9


111
121
Old Dominion
15.638


5
7


112
119
Hawaii
15.743


3
10


113
111
Army
17.513


4
8


114
106
Fresno State
17.829


2
10


115
108
South Alabama
18.307


3
9


116
104
Massachusetts
18.387


3
9


117
120
Louisiana-Monroe
19.206


3
9


118
112
Idaho
19.208


4
8


119
124
UTEP
19.637


5
7


120
116
Tulane
19.787


3
9


121
117
Rice
20.209


4
8


122
122
New Mexico State
21.348


2
10


123
125
UCF
21.961


2
10


124
115
Texas State
23.395


3
9


125
123
Eastern Michigan
23.994


2
10


126
127
Charlotte
25.488


3
9


127
126
Kansas
27.741


1
11


128
128
North Texas
34.689


1
11



Conference Champions

American - South Florida (champ), Houston (runner-up)
ACC - Clemson (champ), North Carolina (runner-up)
Big 12 - Oklahoma (champ), Baylor (runner-up)
Big 10 - Ohio State (champ), Nebraska (runner-up)
Conference USA - Western Kentucky (champ), Southern Miss (runner-up)
MAC - Toledo (champ), Bowling Green (runner-up)
MWC - Boise State (champ), San Diego State (runner-up)
Pac 12 - Stanford (champ), USC (runner-up)
SEC - LSU (champ), Tennessee (runner-up)
Sun Belt - Georgia Southern (champ), Appalachian State (runner-up)

Playoff Teams

Oklahoma
Clemson
LSU
Tennessee

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